Carney Completes Liberal Comeback, Wins Canadian Election

• Canada’s Liberal Party was down and out, and Prime Minister Justin Trudeau had to step down in January 2025.
• His replacement, Mark Carney, called an election, but the Conservatives were well ahead at the polls and the sportsbooks.
• On April 28, Carney was elected Prime Minister of Canada, and the Liberals were waiting to see if it would be a majority or minority government.

Canada’s Conservative Party looked to be surging to the lead ahead of an election called on April 28. Justin Trudeau had stepped down as Prime Minister, and Pierre Poilievre looked to be set as the first Conservative Prime Minister since Stephen Harper from 2006 to 2015.

But Mark Carney led the Liberals to a stunning comeback to win the Canadian election. Now, the Liberals are awaiting word on a majority or minority government.

Poilievre’s Similarities to Trump Too Much for Conservatives to Overcome

The Liberals were projected to win by midnight, ET, on Monday night, and it was confirmed later on.

As of Tuesday, at 10 AM ET, the Liberals had won 155 seats and were leading in 13 ridings as votes were still being tallied. A minimum of 172 seats are needed to form a majority government, but that is the only aspect of the Canadian election that is still in limbo.

It’s a massive collapse for the Conservatives, who were leading by a considerable margin in the 2025 Canadian federal election odds before Trudeau announced his resignation. To add insult to injury, Conservative leader Poilievre lost in his Ottawa riding of Carleton, falling to Liberal Bruce Fanjoy.

There are several factors that went into this Conservative fumbling, but it seems like many Canadians felt Poilievre was too similar to United States President Donald Trump with his rhetoric. Trump began his second term with a trade war against Canada and Mexico, and has repeatedly called for Canada to become the 51^st American state.

That hasn’t sat well with Canadians, and it backfired on the Conservative Party, who still managed 133 seats with leads in 11 ridings. It remains to be seen whether Poilievre will stay in power as the Conservative leader.

The Bloc Québécois took 21 seats, with the New Democratic Party snagging five seats, and one for the Green Party. NDP leader Jagmeet Singh also lost his riding, and stepped down from his NDP position.

What’s Next for Canada?

It looks like the Liberals are going to fall just short of a majority government, which means the party in power still has to work with the opposition to get things done. The Conservatives still garnered over 40% of the total vote, so the country is still divided.

Carney has a lot on his plate, dealing with Trump and the United States, as well as inflation and economical problems in Canada. We’ll see if the Liberals can pull out a few more seats to earn a majority government, but for now, they’ll be in power for the foreseeable future.