NFL Betting Trends You Should Know For Super Wild Card Weekend

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Rick Rockwell
Rick Rockwell in Football
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NFL Betting Trends Wild Card

We have made it to the NFL Playoffs, with the 14 remaining teams alive and still having a chance to win Super Bowl LVII in February. Twelve of the 14 teams alive will be in action this Super Wild Card weekend with the top seeds in the AFC and NFC earning a Bye Week.

Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs earned this valuable week of rest in the AFC while Jalen Hurts and the Eagles are the No. 1 seed in the NFC. Both Kansas City and Philadelphia will be hosting NFL Divisional Round games next weekend on Saturday, January 21 and Sunday, January 22.

NFL Regular Season Week 18 saw the Jaguars, Dolphins and Seahawks all qualify for this 2023 NFL Wild Card Round while Aaron Rodgers and the Packers, the Lions, Titans, and Steelers all had any hopes of 2022-23 NFL Postseason football dashed, even if they were victorious. The Homefield Advantage in the AFC is still a murky reality, with No. 2 seed Buffalo in a position where they would play the top-seeded Chiefs in a potential AFC Championship Game at a Neutral Site should both teams survive until that point in the season two weeks down the road.

Kansas City lost to both Cincinnati and Buffalo already in the 2022 NFL Regular Season.

FPI (FPI) gives the Bills an 86% chance of advancing, the Bengals a 73% chance, and the Chargers a 50% shot in the AFC. The computer gives the 49ers a 77% chance to eliminate the Seahawks, the Cowboys a 69% shot at beating TB with the Vikings getting a 58% chance to beat Big Blue.

Heading into the 2023 NFL Wild Card weekend, the final NFL Regular Season Trends show the Underdogs went a profitable 144-118-9 on the season (55%) with the Favorites finishing at 118-144-9 (45%). Home Underdogs ended up at 55-43-4 (56.1%) on the season.

There are two Home Underdogs on the 2023 Wild Card Weekend betting board, the Jaguars, who are 2-point dogs to the Chargers on Saturday in Jacksonville, and the Buccaneers who are 2½-point underdogs to the Cowboys on Monday night at Raymond James Stadium in Tampa.

The NFL Betting Trends in the Totals betting market reveals the Under winning 150 times (56%) with the Overs ending at 118-150 (44%) after NFL Regular Season Week 18 action. The 2022 NFL Regular Season was simply a great one for Underdog and Under bettors in a never-ending trend.

The Giants ATS cover in Week 18 enabled them to finish with a 13-4 ATS record (76.5%), passing the Bengals a (12-4) who only played 16 games because of the suspension in the Monday Night Football game against the Bills when Buffalo DB Damar Hamlin suffered a life-threatening injury.

Tom Brady and the Bucs ended up with the league’s worst ATS mark, going 4-12-1 (25%) followed by the miserable Bears (L10) who ended up with the league worst SU record when all was said and done.

Let’s look at the NFL betting trends for the 2023 Super Wild Card weekend in their order of play from Saturday to Monday. All Point Spreads, Totals, and Money Lines for the much-anticipated 2023 NFL Super Wild Card weekend can be found at the leading online NFL betting sites.

Seattle Seahawks at SF 49ers NFC Wild Card Weekend

  • The 49ers are 4-0 against the spread in its last 4 games on Saturday
  • Seattle is 0-5 against the spread in its last 5 vs the AFC
  • The Seahawks are 1-7 against the spread in their last 8 overall
  • San Francisco is 8-0 against the spread in its last 8 games vs the NFC West
  • The Over is 4-0 in the last 4 San Francisco Playoff games
  • The Over is 4-0 in the last 4 Niners Home games at Levi’s Stadium
  • The Seahawks are 6-2 against the spread in their last 8 Wild Card games
  • The Niners are 7-15-1 against the spread in the last 23 series meetings
  • Seattle is 3-7 against the spread in its last 10 Playoff games
  • The 49ers are 21-8 against the spread in their last 29 overall

LA Chargers at Jacksonville Jaguars AFC Wild Card Weekend

  • The Chargers are 4-0-1 against the spread in it their last 5 games overall
  • The Chargers are 4-0 against the spread in their last 4 Wild Card round games
  • The Jaguars are 5-1-1 against the spread in their last 7 games vs the AFC
  • Jacksonville is 4-11 against the spread in its last 15 games after an ATS Loss
  • The Under is 8-1 in the last 9 Tennessee games vs the AFC
  • Jacksonville is 5-1 against the spread in the last 6 games in January
  • The Jaguars are 5-2 against the spread in their last 7 games in January
  • The Under is 5-0 in the last 5 Jaguars Wild Card round games
  • The Under is 9-1 in the last 10 Jaguars games played on a Saturday
  • The Chargers are 3-0-1 against the spread in the last 4 overall vs the AFC

Miami Dolphins at Buffalo Bills AFC Wild Card Weekend

  • The Bills are 3-1-1 against the spread in their last 5 games in January
  • Miami is 3-8-1 against the spread in its last 12 games played on Turf
  • Buffalo is a 1-4 against the spread in its last 5 games played on Turf
  • The Under is 5-0 in the last 5 Dolphins Wild Card games
  • The Dolphins are 5-1 against the spread in their last 6 games vs the AFC
  • Buffalo is 7-3-1 against the spread in the last 11 series meetings in Buffalo
  • The Over is 7-1 in the last 8 series meetings at Highmark Stadium
  • Miami is 6-1 against the spread in its last 7 games vs the AFC East
  • The Over is 11-5 in the last 16 series meetings

NY Giants at Minnesota Vikings NFC Wild Card Weekend

  • The Vikings are 1-4 against the spread in their last 5 games overall
  • Minnesota is 2-8-1 against the spread in its last 11 games vs the NFC
  • The Giants are 4-0 against the spread in their last 4 games overall
  • The Giants ended with the best Regular Season ATS Record of 13-4
  • New York NFC is 7-0 against the spread in its last 7 games after a SU Loss
  • The Road team is 9-4 against the spread in the last 13 series meetings
  • The Giants are 9-1 against the spread in their last 10 Road Playoff games
  • The Favorite is 6-1 against the spread in the last 7 series meetings

Baltimore Ravens at Cincinnati Bengals AFC WC Weekend

  • The Ravens are 8-3 against the spread in their last 11 Playoff games
  • Baltimore is 1-7-1 in its last 9 games vs the AFC
  • Cincinnati is 6-0 against the spread in its last 6 games at Home
  • The Ravens are 3-8 against the spread in the last 11 series meetings
  • The Bengals are 6-0 against the spread in their last 6 games in January
  • The Ravens are 8-3 against the spread in their last 11 games in the Playoffs
  • The Ravens are 6-1 against the spread in their last 7 Wild Card games
  • Baltimore is 7-1 against the spread in its last 8 Road games in the Playoffs
  • Cincinnati is 3-0-1 against the spread in the last 4 series meetings
  • The Road team is 6-2-1 over the last 9 series meetings in the AFC North rivalry

Dallas Cowboys at Tampa Bay Buccaneers NFC WC Weekend

  • The Cowboys are 20-8 against the spread in their last 28 games vs the NFC
  • Tampa Bay had the worst Regular Season ATS record in the NFL at 4-12-1
  • Dallas is 2-5 against the spread in its last 7 NFC Wild Card games
  • Tampa Bay is just 2-7-1 against the spread in its last 10 Home games at Raymond James
  • The Buccaneers are 4-1 against the spread in the last 5 Playoff games
  • The Under is 6-1 in the last 7 series meetings
  • The Underdog is 5-1 in the last 6 series meetings
  • The Cowboys are 6-18 against the spread in their last 24 games in January
  • Tampa Bay is 5-1 against the spread in the last 6 series meetings
  • Dallas is 6-2 against the spread in its last 8 games played on Monday
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Rick Rockwell
Sports and Casino Writer
Content Covered on TSG: Blog and News
Rick has been a professional writer for over 14 years with an extensive resume spanning projects and clients from around the world. But, his passions have always been sports and sports betting. Whether it’s being a credentialed media member to major sporting events, climbing into a racecar or a pro wrestling ring, Rick’s sports and sports betting knowledge, passion and versatility is on display with each article he writes for TSG.
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