Super Bowl prop bets have rapidly gained popularity at online sportsbooks, which is evident by the thousands available. However, there are still conventional Super Bowl bets for the Kansas City Chiefs vs Philadelphia Eagles that are highly appealing to veteran sports bettors like the Over/Under.
The Over/Under, commonly referred to as Total, is a traditional NFL wager that could provide plenty of value for this year’s Super Bowl matchup.
Let’s dive deeper into the Super Bowl 57 Total, analyze the two teams, and examine past Super Bowl trends to see if we can make a winning prediction.
A must-win game for both teams 🔥 @FranksRedHot
📺: #SBLVII — Sunday, Feb. 12 at 6:30pm ET on FOX
📱: Stream on NFL+ pic.twitter.com/09bH4wq4h3— NFL (@NFL) February 8, 2023
How To Bet On The Super Bowl 57 Over Under Odds
Before doing anything on Super Bowl Sunday, it’s imperative to learn how to bet on the Super Bowl.
For the Super Bowl 57 Total, bettors wager on whether there will be more or less points scored than the number set by your preferred online sports betting site.
The Over in “over/under” represents more points being scored than the posted Super Bowl 57 total. Meanwhile, the Super Bowl 57 Under represents a total of fewer points being scored than the posted number. Let’s take a look at the latest Super Bowl 57 odds from Bovada.
Latest Super Bowl 57 Betting Odds Provided by Bovada:
| Team | Moneyline | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kansas City Chiefs | +100 | +1.5 (-110) | Over 51 (-110) |
| Philadelphia Eagles | -120 | -1.5 (-110) | Under 51 (-110) |
The Total for the 2023 Super Bowl is currently at 51 points. In other words, the combined number of Super Bowl points scored by the Chiefs and Eagles. A correct pick with odds of -110 will win $100.00 for a $110.00 bet.
For a winning bet on the Under, the total points scored in the Super Bowl must be less than 51 points. Conversely, a winning bet on the Over must see a score combine to surpass 51 points.
Alternate Super Bowl 57 Over Under Odds
Most reputable Super Bowl online betting sites offer alternate over/under lines. Many sports bettors know this as ‘buying points.’ Alternate Super Bowl totals enable bettors to change the over/under.
However, this can come at a cost if you want to move the Total in your direction.
For instance, the alternate Super Bowl 57 Over for 49 points at Bovada includes a price of -190. If you want 45 points on the Over, it will require paying -250.
The same can be done in the opposite direction on the Super Bowl Under. The larger the difference from 51 points, the higher the price is going to be on the odds.
For ultra-confident bettors, there is also the option of ‘selling points.’ Improve the return on your bet by selecting an alternate over/under line that makes it more difficult to win.
Assume you really like the Super Bowl 57 Over on Sunday. You are so confident that you see more than 60 points being scored. The alternate Over 60.5 at Bovada pays a cool +240.
More than 63.5 total points scored in Super Bowl 57? That bet pays an impressive +330.
Past Super Bowl Over Under Results
Super Bowl Total data since 20041.
| Super Bowl | Final Score | Total Result |
|---|---|---|
| Super Bowl 56 | Rams 26 – Bengals 23 | Under 49.5 |
| Super Bowl 55 | Buccaneers 31 – Chiefs 9 | Under 56 |
| Super Bowl 54 | Chiefs 31 – 49ers 20 | Under 53 |
| Super Bowl 53 | Patriots 13 – Rams 3 | Under 55.5 |
| Super Bowl 52 | Eagles 41 – Patriots 33 | Over 49 |
| Super Bowl 51 | Patriots 34 – Falcons 28 | Over 57.5 |
| Super Bowl 50 | Broncos 24 – Panthers 10 | Under 43 |
| Super Bowl 49 | Patriots 28 – Seahawks 24 | Over 47.5 |
| Super Bowl 48 | Seahawks 43 – Broncos 8 | Over 47.5 |
| Super Bowl 47 | Ravens 34 – 49ers 31 | Over 48 |
| Super Bowl 46 | Giants 21 – Patriots 17 | Under 53 |
| Super Bowl 45 | Packers 31 – Steelers 25 | Over 45 |
| Super Bowl 44 | Saints 31 – Colts 17 | Under 57 |
| Super Bowl 43 | Steelers 27 – Cardinals 23 | Over 46 |
| Super Bowl 42 | Giants 17 – Patriots 14 | Under 55 |
| Super Bowl 41 | Colts 29 – Bears 17 | Under 47 |
| Super Bowl 40 | Steelers 21 – Seahawks 10 | Under 47 |
| Super Bowl 39 | Patriots 24 – Eagles 21 | Under 46.5 |
| Super Bowl 38 | Patriots 32 – Panthers 29 | Over 37.5 |
Since Super Bowl 38 in 2004, the Over has won only eight times. That is a 42.1% success rate to the Over. The Super Bowl Under is on a four-game winning streak.
The latest Super Bowl to eclipse the posted total was between the Eagles and Patriots in 2018. It wasn’t even close for the 49-point Super Bowl total. Nick Foles led the Eagles to a 41-33 victory and bettors to an easy win on the Over2.
Highest Total Score and Average Total Score In The Super Bowl
The highest total score in the Super Bowl happened on January 29, 1995, at Joe Robbie Stadium in Miami. Super Bowl 29 between the San Francisco 49ers and San Diego Chargers resulted in a final score of 49-263.
The 75 points scored in Super Bowl 29 is a point more than the 74 points scored between the Eagles and Patriots. Following four low-scoring Super Bowls, Philadelphia is back in the Big Game and possibly looking at another high-scoring contest.
There has been a total of 2584 points scored since Super Bowl 1 in 1967. Therefore, the average Super Bowl total points in 56 Super Bowl games is 46 points.
Overall, the Over has hit in 27 Super Bowls, while the Under has cashed in 28 games4. If the Chiefs and Eagles go Over, we will be even at 28 going into Super Bowl 58. It should be noted that the first Super Bowl did not have an Over/Under line.
Super Bowl 57 Over Under Predictions
Super Bowl 57 features two high-octane offenses at State Farm Stadium on Sunday, along with the Eagles defense which was considered one of the best in the league all year long. Let’s take a closer look at both teams before making our prediction.
A must-win game for both teams 🔥 @FranksRedHot
📺: #SBLVII — Sunday, Feb. 12 at 6:30pm ET on FOX
📱: Stream on NFL+ pic.twitter.com/09bH4wq4h3— NFL (@NFL) February 8, 2023
Kansas City Chiefs Offense Super Bowl 57 Preview
Chiefs Offensive Rankings5:
| Yards Per Game | Passing Yards Per Game | Rushing Yards Per Game | Yards Per Play | Average Time of Possession | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 1st | 21st | 1st | 11th | 1st |
The Chiefs return to the Super Bowl despite losing one of the most dynamic wide receivers in Tyreek Hill, who was traded to the Dolphins last offseason.
Despite losing Hill, the Chiefs still put-up incredible numbers as Patrick Mahomes had an MVP season without Tyreek. Mahomes passed for 5,250 yards, 41 touchdowns, and 12 interceptions. The favorite to win the 2023 NFL MVP also completed 67.1% of his passes6.
The former Texas Tech Red Raiders was able to spread the ball around in the absence of a true No. 1 wide receiver. Tight end Travis Kelce functioned as the primary receiver for Mahomes. Kelce finished the regular season with 110 receptions, 1,338 yards, and 12 touchdowns7.
The TE’s 110 receptions are a career-high, signaling his importance in the offense following Hill’s departure. Kelce continued to play well in the playoffs and enters Super Bowl 57 after tallying 176 yards and 3 touchdowns against the Jaguars and Bengals8.
Overall, the Chiefs are first in the NFL offensively. They’ve averaged 407.9 yards per game9 and 6.3 yards per play10. There is only one team that matches the Chiefs in points per game, which happens to be the Eagles at 28.7 ppg11.
There has been concern regarding Mahomes’ ankle injury. However, head coach Andy Reid stated to the media that Mahomes is healthy and capable of doing everything12.
The health of wide receivers JuJu Smith-Schuster and Kadarius Toney has also been discussed. Both players are scheduled to play despite nagging ailments.
For an x-factor on the Kansas City offense, we suggest watching out for running back Isiah Pacheco. The Rutgers product has seen his workload increase steadily this season.
Kansas City Chiefs Defense Super Bowl 57 Preview
Chiefs Defensive Rankings13:
| Yards Allowed Per Game | Passing Yards Allowed Per Game | Rushing Yards Allowed Per Game | Yards Allowed Per Play | Average Opponent Time of Possession | Points Allowed Per Game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10th | 19th | 8th | 9th | 11th | 15th |
Do the Chiefs have a severe disadvantage on defense in this Super Bowl matchup? A lot has been said about how the Chiefs’ defense does not compare to the Eagles.
While the Eagles statistically have the better defense, the Chiefs have some workhorses in their locker room that can make this a tough game for the Eagles’ talented offensive line.
Slowing the Eagles down on the ground is imperative to having success. But, pressure from Frank Clark and Chris Jones is how the Chiefs can win Super Bowl 57.
Chris Jones. One of the best in the game.@StoneColdJones | @Chiefs pic.twitter.com/EWXnMroq2I
— NFL (@NFL) January 31, 2023
Jones leads the Chiefs in sacks this season with 15.514. The disruptive defensive tackle has a decent chance of taking this game over. If he can get to Jalen Hurts enough, Jones would have to be considered a candidate for the MVP of Super Bowl 57.
Clark is heating up at the right time for the Chiefs. The native of Bakersfield, California, is coming off a big performance in the AFC Championship.
He was instrumental in the win, as he sacked Joe Burrow 1.5 times. This came after bringing down Trevor Lawrence behind the line of scrimmage against the Jaguars in the Divisional Round15.
The Eagles will want to run the ball up the middle and win the time of possession. However, the Chiefs have been tough to beat at the point of attack. KC is eighth in the NFL against the run as they’ve yielded an average of 107.3 yards per game on the ground16.
The secondary has not been up to par with the top teams in the NFL. However, the Chiefs’ secondary is not as bad as advertised. They get a sizable boost with defensive back L’Jarius Sneed out of concussion protocol17.
Sneed has been one of the most productive members of the Chiefs’ defense. Heading into Super Bowl 57, Sneed has notched 75 solo tackles, 3 forced fumbles, 3.5 sacks, and 3 interceptions18.
Philadelphia Eagles Offense Super Bowl 57 Preview
Eagles Offensive Rankings19:
| Yards Per Game | Passing Yards Per Game | Rushing Yards Per Game | Yards Per Play | Average Time of Possession | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3rd | 12th | 4th | 6th | 8th | 1st |
Jalen Hurts is making what he hopes to be the first of several Super Bowl appearances in his career.
As the betting favorite to win the Super Bowl 57 MVP, there is pressure on Hurts to lead the Eagles to victory.
Jalen Hurts has now passed Cam Newton for the most rushing touchdowns by a QB in a single season with 15 (including playoffs). pic.twitter.com/sdYqfsialx
— FOX Sports: NFL (@NFLonFOX) January 29, 2023
However, Hurts is every bit as deserving of being named the regular season MVP. The three-year quarterback out of Oklahoma reached his full potential this season.
Hurts passed for 3,701 yards, 22 touchdowns, and 6 interceptions. The threat of escaping trouble and running downhill makes Hurts an especially tough quarterback to slow down.
Along with his strong passing numbers, Hurts gained 760 rushing yards and 13 touchdowns as a runner20. The Chiefs cannot afford to allow Hurts to escape pressure, extend plays or run for first downs.
The addition of A.J. Brown and the development of DeVonta Smith took the Eagles to the next level offensively. Along with the offensive line, everything aligned perfectly for the Eagles this season.
Smith improved on his rookie campaign and eclipsed 1,000 yards receiving for the first time in his career. Hurts’ former teammate at Alabama hauled in 95 receptions for 1,196 yards and 7 touchdowns this past season.21
Is the former Heisman winner about to become a Super Bowl champ?@DevontaSmith_6 | @NewEraCap
📺: #SBLVII — Sunday, Feb. 12 at 6:30pm ET on FOX
📱: Stream on NFL+ pic.twitter.com/pjLaVKuf1K— NFL (@NFL) February 8, 2023
Opposite Smith, Brown immediately felt comfortable in his first season with the Eagles. The former Titan recorded a career-high with 1,496 yards and 11 touchdowns22.
Tight end Dallas Goedert’s presence across the middle of the field can’t be understated, too. He allows for the field to open up deep for Smith and Brown.
However, what really makes this offense run so efficiently is the offensive line. According to Pro Football Focus, the Eagles have the best offensive line in the NFL23. It is hard to disagree.
Running back Miles Sanders figures to get involved early and often. He ran behind the best offensive line in football for 1,269 yards on 4.9 yards per carry24.
Philadelphia Eagles Defense Super Bowl 57 Preview
Eagles Defensive Rankings25:
| Yards Allowed Per Game | Passing Yards Allowed Per Game | Rushing Yards Allowed Per Game | Yards Allowed Per Play | Average Opponent Time of Possession | Points Allowed Per Game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 1st | 15th | 1st | 8th | 3rd |
The Eagles’ defense has one more assignment in front of them before being crowned Super Bowl champs. This is their biggest test of the season as they face Mahomes and the Chiefs.
Regarded as having the most depth in the NFL, there aren’t any exploitable weaknesses on the Eagles’ defense. Teams that get pressure tend to have success, and there isn’t another team in the NFL that gets as much pressure as the Eagles.
The Eagles were credited with 70 sacks this season. That is 15 sacks more than the team with the second-most sacks, Kansas City26. Both teams employ a dangerous pass rush, but there is no squad in the NFL better than the Eagles on the edge.
This @Eagles front 7 is something else. 🦅@NextGenStats | #FlyEaglesFly
📺: #SBLVII — Sunday at 6:30pm ET on FOX
📱: Stream on NFL+ pic.twitter.com/f3qSvl7k3I— NFL (@NFL) February 7, 2023
The Eagles can break the NFL record for most sacks in a year on Super Bowl Sunday. If the Eagles record 5 sacks, they will stand alone at the top of the NFL. Through the regular season and playoffs, the Eagles currently have the third-most27.
The Eagles are also the first team to have four players with at least 10 sacks in a season28. The pass rush is led by Haason Reddick on the edge.
Reddick notched 35 solo tackles, 16 sacks, and 5 forced fumbles in the regular season29. The playoffs did not serve as a deterrent for Reddick, as he stayed hot with 6 solo tackles and 3.5 sacks against the Giants and 49ers30.
There isn’t a defensive back in the league that wouldn’t like playing on the Eagles. The pass rush has allowed the secondary to have an easier time against quarterbacks. With 171 passing yards allowed per game, there isn’t another defense that compares31.
There she is. 🏆
📺: #SBLVII — Sunday at 6:30pm ET on FOX
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Super Bowl 57 Total Pick
There is no denying that the Chiefs and Eagles have offensive playmakers that can terrorize a defense. That said, this game could very well turn into a defensive struggle between two capable defenses.
While everyone is focusing on the matchup between Mahomes and Hurts, the game will be won in the trenches. We give the edge to the Eagles’ offensive and defensive lines.
TheSportsGeek anticipates the Eagles trying to turn this game into a grind-it-out fest. Chewing up the clock and keeping the ball away from Mahomes is imperative for Philly.
If the Eagles have success, which we believe they will for at least the first half, the pace should be slow. The game could open up in the second half, but Super Bowl 57 likely comes down to which defensive line creates some big plays in the 4th quarter. And, we like the Eagles to do that as well.
The public will most likely bet on the Over for this matchup due to the high scoring offenses that feature some of the league’s top stars. However, there is a strong case to be made for the Under.
We are fading the public and locking in the Under at 51 points. For our Super Bowl 57 prediction, a final score of 28-21 or 24-23 looks accurate. Take the Under this weekend.
Sources
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2. Super Bowl LII – Philadelphia Eagles vs. New England Patriots. Retrieved From https://www.pro-football-reference.com/boxscores/201802040nwe.htm
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