WNBA Picks Today — Expert WNBA Bets for Free

The Minnesota Lynx (16-8) look to bounce back following a tough loss to the Indiana Fever on Sunday. They dropped consecutive games against the Seattle Storm, 91-63, and Fever, 81-74. Minnesota found it difficult to get into a rhythm without Napheesa Collier on the floor in the losses.

Collier is currently suffering from plantar fascia on her left foot, which will have her sitting down for the near future. It’s a painful injury that can linger throughout the season, so the Lynx are going to be cautious with rushing her back. At least the offense has remained hot from the field, especially from three, where they’re shooting better than 50% recently.

shooting 50% from deep over the last five games. 🎯 pic.twitter.com/FiQY7Y2ACw

— Minnesota Lynx (@minnesotalynx) July 15, 2024

Despite Collier’s absence, there is still plenty of talent to like on this team. They will have a tough time competing against elite squads without Collier, but the Atlanta Dream (7-16) are not that. In fact, the Dream are dealing with significant injuries of their own right now.

It’s been a season-long issue for the Dream, which has been adding up recently. They are in the midst of a seven-game losing streak and 1-9 over their previous 10 outings. The main problem has been a lack of firepower. Atlanta ranks dead last in the WNBA, with an offensive rating of 93.7.

With an average of 75 points per game, the Dream are well off the pace from the rest of the WNBA. Despite the injuries for the Lynx, they are first in the league, with an impressive defensive rating of 93.3! That should be the difference in this contest, so consider laying the points on the home favorite for your WNBA picks today!

In the second of two WNBA games before the All-Star Break, the Indiana Fever (11-14) and Dallas Wings (5-10) square off at College Park Arena. If you look at the WNBA standings, this game doesn’t seem all that interesting. However, there is a solid chance of Caitlin Clark going off for a huge game tonight, so that is an exciting storyline to watch!

Caitlin Clark is the first @WNBA player ever to have 25+ points, 10+ assists, 5+ rebounds, 5+ steals, and 5+ three-pointers in a game 👀 pic.twitter.com/8S5DwBZ4al

— Indiana Fever (@IndianaFever) July 10, 2024

The Wings have been the worst defensive team in the WNBA this season. Indiana hasn’t been great, but the Wings have been abhorrently bad defensive in 2024. With a 109.3 defensive rating, the Wings rank dead last in defensive efficiency.

Opponents are shooting a red-hot 46.8% from the field against the Wings. Additionally, they are making an average of 32.7 field goals per game, which again, is last in the WNBA. Expect the Fever to take full advantage of this paper-thin defense on Wednesday night!

The Fever have moved into the top 5 offensively, with an average of 81.3 points scored per game. As bad as the Wings’ defense has been in 2024, the Fever aren’t that far back, though. Currently, the Fever are second-last with a defensive rating of 107.7.

Clark and the Fever are fun to watch, but it’s clear that the defense remains a work-in-progress. The Wings have been above-average offensively this season, with 81.1 points per game, to put them just 0.2 points behind the Fever’s offense. The logical best WNBA bet today is on the total, and the Over 176.5 points!

1. Be Patient And Pick Your Spots

Most of the WNBA season is played after the NBA Championship. The only major sport underway during the summer is baseball, so there is a tendency to look to WNBA for betting action.

With hundreds of WNBA bets available on a daily basis, some bettors get into the habit of playing too many plays. For our WNBA picks, we are patient and wait for the best spots. This can translate to only two or three bets per day, sometimes fewer!

The WNBA schedule will take us to mid-September, which is when the NFL is getting into full swing. Don’t treat the WNBA as a sport to keep yourself busy by blindly betting before then. Patience is key.

2. Compare Offensive Efficiency And Pace

Head coaches have different offensive philosophies for who they operate their offense. Some run-and-gun, while others prefer to slow it down and work from the inside out.

There will be teams who struggle against teams that push the pace. If two teams match up that like to run, it’s likely that the game will be high scoring. Conversely, the opposite will be true for half court offenses.

Additionally, this can be telling for determining the winner of the game and covering point spreads. Does your team of choice struggle against the fast break, or teams with size?

It’s vital to understand the dynamics of the opponent before confirming your wager!

3. Check The NET Ratings

The WNBA has a slew of advanced stats for bettors to dive into before deciding on the best bets. For a quick snapshot that compiles multiple metrics into one number, consider examining the Net Rating.

The Net Rating takes into consideration a team’s offensive and defensive efficiency. The offensive efficiency is subtracted from the defensive to calculate the Net Rating. This provides the point differential per 100 possessions.

Early in the season, using the Net Rating without an ample sample size can be ineffective. However, as the season progresses, it’s a helpful tool for your WNBA betting arsenal.

4. Look At Player Matchups

Critically important for wagering on the WNBA, prop bets in particular, is evaluating matchups on the floor. Let’s assume you are interested in betting on Caitlin Clark props.

Wouldn’t you like to know who her primary defender will be? If she has an easier matchup, there will be a higher probability of her having a stronger performance!  The same applies to teams that are poor at defending the three-pointer.

Clark’s stats show that she likes to spray shots from deep, so she should be more successful against teams that don’t have solid perimeter defenders. The same applies to players in the front court against teams that struggle on the interior.

5. Line Shopping

Line shopping for the best WNBA price for your bet is an important step for your strategy. It can be the difference between booking a profit and losing in any particular season!

For our daily WNBA best bets, we are using Bovada, BetUS, Everygame, BetWhale, and more to line shop. We highly recommend having a minimum of three top betting sites to compare the odds before locking in your wagers.