New York Mets @ Pittsburgh Pirates - July 8, 2024

As a former sports statistician turned analyst, I can’t help but dive into the numbers when previewing an MLB game. Tonight, the Pittsburgh Pirates are set to face off against the New York Mets, and my analysis points towards an intriguing matchup.

On the mound for the Pirates is Mitch Keller, boasting a solid 9-5 win-loss record with a 4.0 ERA and 8.6 strikeouts per game. Meanwhile, the Mets will send Christian Scott to pitch, who holds a less impressive 0-2 record with a 4.4 ERA and 8.6 strikeouts per game as well.

When it comes to batting, both teams showcase decent offensive capabilities. The Pirates average 4.1 runs, 7.9 hits, and close to 4 RBIs per game with a .225 batting average and a .653 on-base plus slugging percentage (OPS). On the other hand, the Mets have been slightly more productive at the plate, averaging 4.8 runs, 8.5 hits, and over 4 RBIs per game with a .238 batting average and a .713 OPS.

Considering these stats along with our prediction that the Pirates will come out victorious in this matchup, we can expect an exciting game with some offensive action from both sides. With an over/under expected to be surpassed tonight, fans might witness some high-scoring innings.

While Keller’s pitching performance has been more consistent than Scott’s this season, both teams have shown they can put runs on the board. It will be interesting to see if Keller can maintain his form against a slightly stronger Mets lineup or if Scott can turn things around for his team.

In conclusion, my data-driven analysis aligns with our prediction of a Pirates win tonight in what could be an entertaining high-scoring affair that surpasses the over/under line set for this game. Keep an eye out for key plays on both sides as each team looks to secure a valuable victory in this MLB showdown.