Best NFL Player Props This Week – Expert Picks for Week 10

Daniel Jones Over 0.5 Interceptions (+120)

The Giants (2-7) host the Panthers (2-7) in Germany this week. Both teams are a struggle to watch this season, but there are still valuable betting opportunities in this matchup between two of the worst teams in the NFL.

"It's tough. No one's happy with where we are now."

Daniel Jones talks about the Giants being 2-7: pic.twitter.com/cfIisYiKrY

— Giants Videos (@SNYGiants) November 6, 2024

Bovada has Giants’ quarterback Daniel Jones listed at over/under 0.5 interceptions for this international matchup. Carolina has just three picks this season, tied for the fifth-fewest in the NFL.

However, Jones has thrown five interceptions this year and is due for at least one against Carolina.

One of the few bright spots on the Panthers’ roster this year is running back Chuba Hubbard. Carolina will likely lean on Hubbard this week, allowing them to control the clock and putting more pressure on Jones to throw the ball. Jones will crumble under that pressure and throw an interception against Carolina for the first time in his career.

Jonathan Taylor Over 80.5 Rushing Yards (-110)

Another NFL player prop bet I believe will cash this week is Jonathan Taylor’s rushing yards total. Taylor is available at over/under 80.5 rushing yards for the Colts’ matchup against the Bills. The talented running back has only faced Buffalo once in his career, racking up 204 total yards and 5 scores on 35 touches in Week 11 of the 2021 season.

Taylor only needs 81 yards on the ground this weekend to cover his rushing yards total. He was held to just 48 yards last week but has at least 88 rushing yards in four of his six games this season. Taylor is averaging 4.8 yards per carry this season, and Buffalo has allowed 4.8 yards per carry, tied for the sixth-most in the NFL.

The Colts also have plenty of questions at the quarterback position, putting even more pressure on Taylor to produce. The RB should step up to the plate and reach triple-digits on the grounds, easily covering the over on his rushing total.

Darnell Mooney Anytime TD Scorer (+150)

The Falcons’ Darnell Mooney also needs to step up this week. Atlanta is 6-3 and can effectively lock up the division with a win this weekend against the Saints. However, Atlanta could be without Drake London, its leading receiver, who is dealing with a hip injury.

Darnell Mooney’s 5th TD of the year. That’s the most touchdowns he’s scored in a single season in his career. pic.twitter.com/U0yGPF6NCJ

— Miles Garrett (@MilesGarrettTV) November 3, 2024

Atlanta is 4-0 in the NFC South, including a 26-24 win over the Saints in Week 4. Mooney did not have a touchdown in that game but caught three passes for 56 yards. If London is out or limited in any way, then Mooney will become one of the best anytime TD scorer bets in Week 10.

Mooney has caught five touchdown passes this year, including at least one in back-to-back weeks. His targets will increase with London hurt, and it will be up to Mooney to make the most of them. New Orleans traded away Marshon Lattimore, its best defensive back, this week, making it even easier for Mooney to score on Sunday.

Jayden Daniels Anytime TD Scorer (+120)

Commanders’ quarterback Jayden Daniels is running away with the Rookie of the Year award and is also one of the best TD score bets today. Daniels and the Commanders will host the Pittsburgh Steelers this week. Secure sports betting sites have the QB listed at +120 to score a touchdown this week.

Daniels has four rushing scores this season but has not run for a touchdown since the team’s 42-14 over the Cardinals in Week 4. I think his rushing touchdown drought will end against Pittsburgh this week. The Steelers’ run defense looks good on paper, but they are more susceptible than the stats suggest.

The Steelers have only allowed four rushing scores this season, but run-heavy teams have had no issue moving the ball against them. For instance, rookie running back Tyrone Tracy had 145 rushing yards and a score against Pittsburgh in Week 8. The Steelers have also struggled historically against rushing quarterbacks, and Daniels should find the endzone this weekend.

Bo Nix Over 0.5 Passing Touchdowns (-250)

Another rookie quarterback to bet on this week is Denver’s Bo Nix. The Broncos (5-4) looked out of sorts in their 41-10 loss to Baltimore last week. Nix and company will have to put that loss behind them as they face the Chiefs in Kansas City on Sunday.

Nix is listed at over/under 0.5 passing touchdowns in the latest NFL player prop projections. The Chiefs have one of the best defenses in the league, but they have allowed at least one passing touchdown in seven of their eight games this season. Nix has at least one passing score in four of his last six games.

The Chiefs’ defense is excellent, but they are unlikely to hold Nix scoreless this weekend. With that in mind, Nix is a good bet to cover his over in this NFL Week 10 player props.

Rhamondre Stevenson Over 51.5 Rushing Yards (-110)

Two of the top three quarterbacks in the 2024 Draft will face off this week as the Bears host the Patriots. If Drake May and New England want to pull off the upset over Caleb Williams and the Bears, they need Rhamondre Stevenson to have a productive day.

DRAKE MAYE! RHAMONDRE STEVENSON! @PATRIOTS TIE IT UP! pic.twitter.com/ThCEJxhA0b

— NFL (@NFL) November 3, 2024

Stevenson is available at over/under 51.5 in the latest NFL player props for Sunday. He has not had more than 48 rushing yards in a game since the team’s Week 5 loss to the Dolphins. However, Chicago allowed 213 rushing yards to Arizona last week, including 107 yards to James Conner and 59 yards to Emari Demercado.

A big reason for Stevenson’s low production has been a lack of carries. He has only carried the ball 37 times total in his last three games.

New England will need its running game to be productive on Sunday to keep pressure off of Maye. Otherwise, the Bears’ defense will have a field day with the rookie quarterback. With that in mind, I think Stevenson will get enough touches to easily cover his rushing yards total in Week 10.

Justin Jefferson Over 93.5 Receiving Yards (-115)

The final wager on my list of the best NFL player props tonight is for Justin Jefferson to have over 93.5 receiving yards. He has racked up 115+ receiving yards in back-to-back games. The star wide receiver is also the all-time leader in yards per game for a career at 98.3 YPG.

Jefferson and the Vikings face the Jaguars this weekend, one of the NFL’s softest passing defenses. Jacksonville has allowed 8.2 yards per attempt this season, the third-most in the league. They have also surrendered 2,502 passing yards, the second-most, and 19 passing touchdowns, tied for the most.

The Jaguars have struggled to stop even average receivers this year, so a star like Jefferson should have a great day against Jacksonville. Considering that, I recommend taking the over on Jefferson’s receiving total this week.