Anaheim Ducks @ New Jersey Devils - October 27, 2024

As a seasoned bettor, I’ve learned that every game is like a chess match, and the pieces are always shifting. This Sunday at Prudential Center, we’ve got the Anaheim Ducks squaring off against the New Jersey Devils, and if you’re looking for value, let’s break this down.

Oddsmakers have opened with the Devils as hefty -250 favorites. On paper, it looks like a classic case of a team in free fall versus one trying to find its footing. The Devils are coming off four straight losses, including a narrow 4-3 defeat to the Islanders where they let another game slip through their fingers. Their offensive stats show promise—averaging 3.5 goals per game with an impressive 31.9 shots—but their current form has been less than stellar. They’ve struggled defensively too; while they boast an 88% save percentage, that hasn’t translated into wins lately.

On the flip side, we have the Anaheim Ducks. They’ve had their share of struggles too but come into this matchup with a record of 3-3-1 SU. The Ducks have averaged only 2.5 goals per game and just over 26 shots—numbers that scream “underperforming.” However, they do have some defensive bite with a respectable save percentage of 92.4%. Their penalty kill is slightly better than New Jersey’s at nearly 79%, which could be crucial in this matchup.

Now let’s talk strategy because that’s where I believe we can spot some value here. Despite New Jersey being favored heavily on the moneyline, I see Anaheim covering that spread tonight—especially considering how they’ve performed against the spread recently (4-1 ATS in their last five). They might not win outright but expect them to keep it close enough to cover.

As for the total set at 6.5? I’m leaning towards an under bet here based on both teams’ recent trends and scoring capabilities. The Ducks have gone under in seven of their last nine games and given their low scoring average paired with New Jersey’s recent inability to capitalize offensively despite having decent shot metrics—it seems likely this will be more of a defensive battle than a high-scoring affair.

In summary: I predict New Jersey takes home the win tonight but don’t underestimate Anaheim’s ability to keep it tight and cover that spread. As for your bets on total points? Keep those wagers lean towards under; both teams will likely struggle to hit that number given their current forms.

Remember my betting ritual: I’ll be wearing my lucky socks during this one! It’s all about those little superstitions when you’re navigating these unpredictable waters of NHL betting! Good luck out there!