Phoenix Suns @ Sacramento Kings - November 13, 2024

Alright, folks! It’s game day, and I can feel the excitement buzzing through the city like a live wire. The Phoenix Suns are rolling into Sacramento to take on the Kings at Golden 1 Center, and let me tell you, this is going to be one heck of a showdown!

Now, I know the oddsmakers have set the Kings as -6.5-point favorites, but I’m here to tell you that my heart is firmly with the Suns tonight. They’ve been on fire lately, winning eight out of their last nine games. That’s right—eight wins! And they just took down the Jazz in their last outing with a solid 120-112 victory. You can bet your bottom dollar that they’re riding high on confidence.

The Suns may not have covered the spread in all their games (4-7 ATS), but when it comes to crunch time, they know how to get it done. Their offensive stats show they’re averaging 114.8 points per game with a respectable shooting percentage of 47.3%. Plus, they’re hitting over 37% from beyond the arc—so don’t sleep on their three-point game!

On the flip side, we’ve got our Kings who are also looking for redemption after a tough loss against the Spurs where they fell short at 116-96. Ouch! They might be favored tonight, but let’s not forget that they’ve struggled defensively lately and have allowed opponents to score freely against them.

Sacramento’s offense has been decent too—they’re putting up an average of 117.5 points per game—but their shooting from deep has been shaky at just over 30%. If they can’t find their rhythm from three-point land tonight against a Suns team that knows how to defend well (44.5 rebounds per game), then things could get dicey for them.

Defensively speaking, both teams have had their ups and downs this season. The Kings are giving up too many turnovers (13.6) and committing way too many fouls (20.6). Meanwhile, Phoenix has shown some grit by grabbing more rebounds than Sacramento on average and forcing turnovers effectively.

So what do I predict? I see Phoenix pulling off an upset victory tonight! They’ll cover that spread easily because if there’s one thing we know about underdogs—it’s that when they win outright, they cover! And while both teams have shown some offensive prowess recently, I think this matchup will lean towards being more defensive-minded than expected; therefore, I’m betting on the total going UNDER.

In summary: Suns win it outright; they’ll cover that spread like it’s second nature; and expect a lower-scoring affair than anticipated—maybe even under that total of 228 set by oddsmakers.

Let’s go Suns! Time to bleed those colors and bring home another W!