Denver Nuggets @ Memphis Grizzlies - November 17, 2024

As the fans gather at FedExForum this Sunday, they are set for an exciting matchup between the Denver Nuggets and the Memphis Grizzlies. The oddsmakers have placed a slight edge on Memphis as -1.5-point favorites, but this game feels poised to swing in favor of the visiting Nuggets, who come off a disappointing loss to New Orleans.

From my years of coaching experience, I know that team morale can shift dramatically after losses. The Nuggets will be looking to bounce back from their recent defeat. Despite their struggles against the Pelicans, they’ve shown resilience previously with five wins in their last six contests—a sign of a team capable of overcoming adversity. Their offensive prowess is impressive as well; averaging around 120.9 points per game while shooting nearly 48% from the field and maintaining a commendable three-point percentage of about 41%. That’s going to stretch any defense.

On the other side, we have the Grizzlies who are no slouches themselves offensively—121 points per game with solid shooting percentages across the board. However, what stands out is their tendency to commit fouls (21.9 per game) and lose turnovers (17). This kind of inefficiency can be detrimental against a disciplined Nuggets team which excels at capitalizing on mistakes. A couple of extra possessions could make all the difference in tight games like these.

In terms of defensive strategy, both teams have shown some strong rebounding capabilities—Memphis grabbing around 47 boards per game compared to Denver’s 47 as well—but I believe that it’s Denver’s ability to force turnovers (14.3 per game) that gives them an edge defensively. They’re also slightly more adept at securing steals (8.6 vs Memphis’s 8.3), indicating a proactive defense that translates into quick transition opportunities.

Another important factor to consider is how both teams have fared against spreads lately—Memphis has been on fire with five consecutive covers while Denver struggles somewhat at 4-8-1 ATS in its last thirteen games overall; yet given their current offensive form and previous success in high-pressure situations, I see them breaking through this trend tonight.

Looking ahead at our prediction: I believe that despite being slight underdogs today, Denver has enough firepower and defensive capability to not only win but cover the spread comfortably. Additionally, given both teams’ recent scoring outputs—particularly Memphis trending over—I expect tonight’s total score will go OVER as well.

All things considered—the nuggets look ready for redemption while capitalizing on Grizzlies’ inconsistency could lead them straight through for a hard-fought victory on enemy territory here tonight!