Alavés @ Valencia - December 22, 2024

As a former coach, I’ve seen my fair share of battles on the pitch, and the upcoming clash between Valencia CF and Alaves promises to be no exception. Both teams find themselves in precarious positions on the La Liga table, with Valencia propping up the standings at 20th and Alaves hovering just above them in 16th. When you consider their recent performances, it becomes evident that both squads are eager to snag the full three points this Sunday; for one, to gain crucial breathing room, and for the other, to stave off further embarrassment.

From my experience, this matchup could end up being a decisive moment for both camps. Valencia, ringing in a record of 2-5-9, will want to use the home advantage to spur confidence, especially after their recent 1-1 draw with RCD Espanyol. When I encounter teams in similar positions, I often emphasize the importance of converting those so-called draws into wins— a point here or there won’t get you out of the relegation zone. Valencia must capitalize on scoring opportunities while maintaining a resilient defensive front.

On the other hand, Alaves, with a record of 4-4-9, will be looking to build on their last outing, which also ended in a 1-1 draw against Athletic Bilbao. It’s notable that both teams come off identical results, and it is that psychological edge of knowing that familiarity breeds comfort. However, just as in my coaching days, you can’t underestimate the value of a win—those vital three points can be a season-turning moment.

Both teams are struggling offensively, as reflected in their last matches that both tallied a meager two total goals. Although statistics show we’ve got two more sides coming into this contest with a penchant for the under, I wonder whether the pressure of the relegation battle will loosen their defensive strategies, allowing for more attacking play. For me, the question is whether Valencia can ignite that offensive spark on home turf; a rabid crowd can often serve as that psychological lift to spur players to surpass their individual limitations—a powerful tactic I utilized during many a match when coaching underdogs.

In terms of game strategy, expect both sides to be cagey, likely starting off feeling each other out. A single opening can toggle the balance of the game. While Valencia could use the home advantage to push forward more aggressively, they must remember that Alaves will look to exploit any mistakes—a hallmark of competition I’ve come to appreciate over the years.

Considering the odds, with Alaves pegged at 2.6 and Valencia CF at 1.2, it speaks volumes about the narrow margins expected. A draw, set at 2.1, isn’t out of the question for a match that could easily see both teams too nervous to fully commit.

In reflection, expect a tactical chess match rather than an outright shootout. I predict a closely contested affair that might just end in a stalemate, with both teams walking away with one point, though they’ll surely be yearning for more.