Toronto Raptors @ New York Knicks - January 8, 2025

The New York Knicks are looking to turn things around as they face off against the Toronto Raptors at Madison Square Garden this Wednesday night. With a -12-point spread in their favor, the Knicks are itching to snap a three-game losing streak that has left fans and bettors alike scratching their heads. Oddsmakers have set the total at 231.5, but I anticipate we’ll see a tighter game, leaning towards the under.

Now, let’s break this down—offensively, the Knicks have been averaging about 118 points per game with an impressive shooting percentage of nearly 50%. Their ability to hit threes at a 38% clip adds another layer of threat for opposing defenses. They’ve got solid free-throw shooting too, hovering around 80%, which is crucial during tight games like these when every point matters.

Toronto, on the other hand, has had its struggles offensively. They’re putting up just over 111 points per game while shooting around 46%. They’ve also been less effective from beyond the arc and lackluster at the free-throw line with sub-75% accuracy. When you’re already struggling to score and then miss those easy points from the charity stripe? That’s a recipe for disaster.

Defensively is where things get interesting. The Raptors boast slightly better rebound numbers than New York (44.6 vs. 43.4), but they’re also committing more fouls and turning over the ball more often—16 turnovers per game compared to New York’s 13. Plus, their inability to stay disciplined leads to more trips to the line for their opponents.

For all intents and purposes, despite recent struggles, I expect New York’s home-court advantage will shine through tonight against a beleaguered Toronto squad that hasn’t seen much success lately—1 win in their last 14 games speaks volumes about their current state of affairs. The Knicks’ motivation to bounce back should fuel them enough to cover that hefty spread.

When it comes down to predicting outcomes: I’m taking New York to not only win but cover the spread as well. With Toronto’s dismal record combined with their defensive lapses and offensive woes, I see this playing out as a comfortable victory for the Knicks.

As for that total? Given both teams’ recent performances—especially Toronto’s low scoring and an inclination toward lower totals—I’m leaning towards betting on the under here as well; just feels right considering how both squads have shown up lately.

So grab your lucky charm or whatever ritual gets you in gear because tonight could be one for celebration if all goes according to plan!