TikTok Future Predictions: What Happens to TikTok Next?

• Yes (+275)
• No (-450)

The odds of Elon Musk buying TikTok are low, according to online betting sites. However, when there were rumors of Musk purchasing Twitter, no one believed in that endeavor, either. Most people brushed it off as a bold claim by the richest person in the world.

Nonetheless, low and behold, Musk bought the rights to Twitter and has since renamed the platform to X. It was an exorbitant price of $44 billion, which was regarded as being way overpriced, even by Musk himself.

In any event, some pundits, for instance, Joe Rogan, praised him for saving Twitter from censorship and allowing free speech. We are in a similar position once again, with his supporters clamoring for Musk to purchase TikTok. If Musk wants to own TikTok outright, it might require more coins.

How much would #TikTok cost for #ElonMusk to purchase if a deal was in works?
Read more: https://t.co/bv0uts9RKb pic.twitter.com/fvbogqZsRJ

— Forbes (@Forbes) January 14, 2025

Wedbush analyst Dan Ives stated TikTok is worth roughly $100 billion and possibly up to $200 billion. Without the algorithm, however, it potentially has a worth of $40 to $50 billion — in line with the $44 billion Musk spent on Twitter. Either way, I don’t believe Musk would be ecstatic about spending nearly $100 billion on two social media apps.

Dollars and cents aside, Must would have to navigate through antitrust laws. We’ve seen crazier things happen before, but the antitrust laws would make this sale far too complicated. I also don’t believe Musk would be interested in only having a small stake in TikTok. He would want more control as the sole owner similar to Twitter.

Lastly, TikTok has claimed that a potential sale to Musk is “pure fiction”. I don’t know if that’s too trustworthy, as businesses flip-flop often. However, the antitrust lawsuits are pushing me away from betting on Musk buying TikTok.

Currently, Musk has a 26.7% implied probability to buy TikTok. That’s a touch too high, so I recommend betting on no, Musk won’t purchase a stake in TikTok!

• Yes (-200)
• No (+150)

For our next TikTok future predictions, let’s check out the Supreme Court of the United States ruling to force the company to divest its US platform. Recently, the SCOTUS reiterated that TikTok owner ByteDance must sell the social media app, or it will be banned from the country.

Since ByteDance is a Chinese firm, the United States doesn’t want the threat of the Chinese Communist Party (CPP) spying on its citizens. This is at the heart of the decision by the SCOTUS. I don’t expect anything to change in the future, so yes, the SCOTUS will uphold their decision to divest the US arm of TikTok.

The SCOTUS will hold firm and continue to deny any appeals by ByteDance. I don’t anticipate any changes at this point. At -200, this presents huge betting value. The price for this bet should be closer to -500 or -600, so -200 is a great option for your TikTok predictions and bets!

• Yes (+900)

Mr. Beast has shown interest in assembling an investment team of billionaires and buying a stake in TikTok. The social media star’s net worth has not been revealed, but he earns around $700M a year.

He can’t purchase TikTok alone, hence Mr. Beast attempting to get investors on board with his strategy. I do believe he’s being serious and has a keen interest in being the owner of a major social media major.

MrBeast says he just got out of a meeting to buy TikTok. pic.twitter.com/EOV3QKbZbc

— Pop Crave (@PopCrave) January 15, 2025

He created his own empire on social media and the next step might be having a social media platform of his own. The TikTok odds do not imply that he has a good chance of pulling it off, though.

At +900, Mr. Beast has an implied probability of purchasing TikTok of just 10%. That being said, a small wager on Mr. Beast buying TikTok at +900 is worth a glance for your prop bets! He is at least kicking the tires on the idea, and I believe it’s realistic enough for a small bet here.