Memphis Grizzlies @ Toronto Raptors - February 5, 2025

As we look ahead to the matchup between the Memphis Grizzlies and the Toronto Raptors at Scotiabank Arena, it’s clear that this game has plenty of intriguing elements. The Grizzlies come in riding a wave of momentum with a solid 34-16 record, showcasing both offensive prowess and defensive tenacity. They’ve been on fire lately, winning their last three games and covering the spread in nine of their last twelve matchups. That’s not just good—it’s a sign of a team that knows how to execute its game plan effectively.

Memphis boasts an impressive scoring average of around 123 points per game while shooting nearly 49% from the field. Their ability to stretch the floor is evident with over 37% from beyond the arc. This offensive efficiency sets them up well against any opponent, including a Raptors squad that has struggled mightily this season, holding a record of just 16-34.

The Raptors have shown some resilience as they claw through their challenges, particularly in recent games where they’ve managed to cover six out of eight spreads. However, their offense has been lackluster by comparison, averaging just over 111 points per game on about 47% shooting. A mere 29 assists per game indicates potential stagnation in ball movement—something I’ve always emphasized must be dynamic for success at this level.

Defensively speaking, Memphis edges out Toronto in several key categories; they’re stronger on the boards with almost 48 total rebounds compared to Toronto’s approximate 44—a crucial statistic when you consider second-chance opportunities which can make or break games. Moreover, Memphis averages over nine steals per game versus Toronto’s less impressive average under eight. Those extra possessions create additional scoring chances that are vital against teams like the Raptors who have had trouble finding rhythm offensively.

From my experience coaching various teams through similar situations, it becomes crucial for a team like Memphis to maintain control early in this matchup by establishing an inside presence while also stretching defenses with perimeter shooting. If they can jump out to an early lead—and given their propensity for scoring—they could put significant pressure on Toronto’s ability to respond effectively.

In terms of predictions for this contest: I expect Memphis not only to win but also to cover the -6.5-point spread comfortably given their current form and overall statistical edge across both sides of the ball. As far as total points are concerned? With both teams having recently seen high-scoring outcomes—especially Memphis—I anticipate we’ll see more than enough points dropped tonight leading us over that line set at 243.5.

Expect Memphis to dictate pace and tempo throughout most phases of play, and unless there’s some miraculous turnaround from Toronto’s side—which historically tends towards low-scoring affairs—I predict it will be another solid outing for Coach’s crew from Tennessee tonight.