Liverpool @ Everton - February 12, 2025

As we gear up for the highly anticipated clash between Everton FC and Liverpool FC this Wednesday, the data paints a clear picture for this matchup. While both teams are desperate for a win, their recent performances suggest a significant disparity in form.

Everton comes into this fixture with a record of 6 wins, 8 draws, and 9 losses – sitting precariously at 16th in the Premier League table. Their attacking metrics reveal some struggles: on average, they score approximately 0.96 goals per game with a total of 11 shots, only 3.2 of which hit the target. Their passing percentage stands at a relatively low 75.5%, indicating difficulties in maintaining possession and constructing coherent attacking plays. Contrast that with their average of 11.7 fouls per game, which implies a propensity to disrupt play, perhaps out of necessity.

On the other hand, Liverpool’s statistics read much more favorably. With a record of 17 wins, 5 draws, and just a single loss, they currently sit atop the table. They average 2.5 goals per game, generated from a hefty number of 17.6 shots, with an impressive 6.6 of those on target. Their passing accuracy, sitting at 84%, showcases a team that effectively moves the ball and creates chances. Although they also incur around 11.2 fouls per game, they seem far more capable of controlling the game rhythm compared to their rivals.

Considering these trends, the expectation is clear: Liverpool is likely to dominate the proceedings at Goodison Park. Their superior attacking capabilities should exploit Everton’s vulnerabilities, which have been evident in their past performances. Everton’s last match against Leicester, a 4-0 win, certainly provided a needed morale boost; however, it was not indicative of a consistent trend, given their recent struggles and current league position.

From a statistical standpoint, the over/under for this match should lean towards the “over” based on Liverpool’s prolific scoring ability and Everton’s occasional resurgence in games. Liverpool averaged about 2.5 goals a match, while Everton’s recent tendency to leak goals suggests that a high-scoring contest could very well be on the cards.

Betting odds also reflect this confidence, with Liverpool favored at -175 against Everton’s +425 and draw at +333. The assessment that Liverpool is expected to win aligns with the trend that has seen them consistently outperform Everton over recent seasons. Given the circumstances, if Everton’s defense crumbles under Liverpool’s attacking vigor, expect a scoreline comfortably exceeding the total goals.

In summary, set your expectations for a spirited yet ultimately one-sided encounter. With Everton fighting for survival, they will put forth a determined effort; however, Liverpool’s quality should shine through, likely leading to a decisive victory with enough goals to satisfy over bettors.