Alavés @ Leganés - February 15, 2025

As we look forward to the upcoming clash between Leganes and Alaves on Saturday, it’s hard not to reflect on the implications for both sides in this La Liga battle. Currently, Leganes sits precariously in 17th place with 5 wins, 8 draws, and 10 losses, while Alaves finds itself at 19th place with a record of 5 wins, 6 draws, and 12 losses. When it comes to relegation battles, every match holds significant weight, and this one could be pivotal for both teams.

Opening odds have favored Leganes at 1.54, suggesting that bookmakers believe they have a better chance of capturing this home victory compared to Alaves, who came in at 1.78. The odds for a draw are pegged at 2.15, which indicates that the possibility of a stalemate is also deemed plausible by the betting public. These numbers often reflect not just current form, but also how teams have historically matched up against one another.

Looking back at recent performances, we see that both teams are struggling to find their footing. Leganes’ last outing came against Valencia CF, where they conceded two goals, ultimately succumbing to a loss that underlined their defensive shortcomings. This match saw a total goal tally of 2, landing bettors who wagered on the UNDER in the totals market a welcome win. Similarly, Alaves suffered a narrow defeat to Getafe CF in their previous game, finishing the match with only a solitary goal against them, which further confirmed the narrative of struggling offensives with a total of just 1 goal in that encounter.

When analyzing the collective stats this season, they don’t paint a pretty picture for either side. Both teams find themselves in the lower half of the La Liga table, and their struggles in scoring have been evident. Leganes has netted 20 goals while conceding 29, giving them a goal differential of -9. Alaves, meanwhile, has had even more difficulty putting the ball in the back of the net, scoring just 17 times while conceding 34 for a staggering goal differential of -17. This pattern suggests that defensive consolidation could be a key focus, particularly for Alaves who needs to tighten up at the back if they are to avoid relegation.

For this particular matchup, we can expect a cautious approach. Both teams will have the urgency of needing points, but their lack of offensive firepower is likely to lead to a tentative play as they focus on not conceding goals. Given that both sides struggle to score, a low-scoring affair is probable. I wouldn’t be surprised if we see another result that favors the UNDER in the totals market, particularly considering the historical trend of matches between teams at the bottom of the table.

In conclusion, the expectation for Saturday’s encounter between Leganes and Alaves is for it to be a tight, possibly scoreless, contest. With tight defenses and struggling offenses, the match might very well end in a stalemate, reflecting the arduous path both teams face in their pursuit to avoid the abyss of relegation. Thus, savvy bettors might want to keep a close eye on the possibilities of a draw when placing their wagers.