Toronto Raptors @ Indiana Pacers - February 26, 2025

Alright, here we go. Tonight is a big one at Gainbridge Fieldhouse as the Indiana Pacers host the Toronto Raptors. It’s been a bit of a rollercoaster for both teams lately, but if there’s one thing I’ve learned in my years of betting, it’s that trends can tell you a lot about what to expect.

First off, the Pacers are coming into this game with a record of 32-24 SU and while they haven’t exactly lit it up against the spread recently—going just 3-7 ATS in their last ten games—they do hold a solid home court advantage. They’ve been strong on their turf with an impressive 16-6 SU in their last 22 games overall.

Now let’s talk numbers. The Pacers average around 116 points per game on about 49% shooting from the field, which shows they know how to put the ball in the basket. Their three-point shooting sits around 37%, so if they get hot from downtown, it could be lights out for Toronto right off the bat. Add to that their ability to snag just over eight steals per game and you can see why they’re favored by -10.5 tonight.

On the other side, we have Toronto struggling at 18-40 SU and only managing to cover as +11 underdogs last time out against Boston—a reflection of their tough season thus far. Though they’ve shown some resilience lately—picking up a respectable 5-2 ATS in their last seven—it’s no secret that they’re having issues finding consistency.

When we dig deeper into stats, Toronto averages just under 111 points per game with a field goal percentage hovering around 47%. While their defense does grab more rebounds than Indiana (43 compared to Indiana’s roughly 42), they also commit more fouls and lose more turnovers than they’d like to admit.

Here’s where my betting instincts kick in: I’m leaning towards Indiana covering that -10.5 spread tonight. They’ve got home court advantage and typically play better at Gainbridge Fieldhouse; plus they’re facing a Raptors team that’s had more downs than ups this season.

As for total points? Well, given both teams’ recent outings—with Indiana’s last match hitting under and Toronto struggling offensively—I’d place my bets on this one going UNDER the total set at 239.5 points tonight.

In summary:
1) I predict that the **Pacers will take this one**.
2) They should also be able to **cover that -10.5 spread**.
3) Expect an **UNDER** outcome on total points tonight.

So grab your lucky charms or whatever superstitious ritual you follow before placing those bets; it might just be another night where experience pays off!