Calgary Flames @ Carolina Hurricanes - March 2, 2025

The Lenovo Center is set to be electric this Sunday as the Calgary Flames roll into town to face off against the Carolina Hurricanes. Oddsmakers have made Carolina the clear favorites at -189, and with good reason, considering their home ice advantage and solid overall record. But as a seasoned bettor, I know that sometimes the numbers tell one story while the game can unfold in another.

Carolina comes into this match with a record of 26-15-3. They boast an impressive offensive output, averaging about 3.3 goals per game on nearly 32 shots. Their shooting percentage hovers around 10.2%, which suggests they can find ways to convert chances into goals—especially when playing at home where they’ve won 11 of their last 15 games. However, they’ve struggled lately, going just 2-6 in their last eight games and failing to cover the spread in seven of their last nine.

On the other hand, we have Calgary limping in with a record of 21-15-7. The Flames have been underwhelming offensively, managing only about 2.6 goals per game on just over 29 shots—a stark contrast to Carolina’s firepower. Their shooting percentage is also lower at about 9%. They’ve had a rough stretch lately too, losing six out of their last seven games straight up and failing to cover the spread during that span.

What stands out here is how both teams are trending toward unders; Calgary has seen five consecutive games go under while Carolina’s recent loss to Edmonton saw them score only one goal as well—another indicator that both offenses might struggle tonight.

When it comes down to power plays, Carolina averages just under one power play goal per game with a success rate of around 19.9%. While Calgary’s power play has been slightly more effective at around 21%, they will need every bit of that edge if they hope to compete against a Hurricanes team that’s known for its strong defensive capabilities (88.9% save rate).

From my perspective as someone who’s seen all kinds of results in this betting arena, I believe Carolina will pull off the win tonight but don’t expect them to run away with it by any means—the Flames are due for some positive regression after such tough luck lately.

So here’s my prediction: Carolina takes the victory but don’t count on them covering that spread comfortably; look for Calgary to keep it tight enough for those betting on them against the spread to breathe easy. And given both teams’ recent form regarding totals, I’d lean towards taking the under again—after all, when things get tight like this, scoring tends to dry up.

In summary: I’m calling for a win from Carolina but expect Calgary to cover while we see another low-scoring affair—just like I always say: trust your gut and stick with your rituals!