Chicago Blackhawks @ Colorado Avalanche - March 10, 2025

As the Chicago Blackhawks prepare to face off against the Colorado Avalanche at Ball Arena, we can expect an intriguing matchup that pits a struggling team against one that is finding its groove. The Avalanche enter this game as significant favorites with a moneyline of -286, and for good reason. Their recent form has been impressive, winning five straight games while showcasing an offense that averages 3.3 goals per game on 29.6 shots.

The Avalanche’s shooting percentage of 11.3% reflects their efficiency in converting chances into goals, aided by a power play that operates at 24.2%. This is bolstered by their strong corsi percentage of 54.1%, indicating they are not only generating shots but controlling possession effectively.

On the other hand, the Blackhawks have had a rough season with a record of 14-28-2 and are currently on a three-game losing streak. They average just 2.8 goals per game with significantly fewer shots (24.6) compared to Colorado’s output. Their shooting percentage sits slightly higher than Colorado’s at 11.8%, but it’s clear they struggle to create quality scoring opportunities given their low offensive zone percentage of 46.4%.

While both teams boast respectable penalty kill percentages—Chicago at 80.9% and Colorado at 79%—the Avalanche’s ability to score on the power play could be pivotal in this matchup if they draw penalties from the Blackhawks.

From a betting perspective, I predict that while Colorado will likely win this contest based on current form and statistical advantages, Chicago may cover the spread due to their tendency to keep games closer than expected despite their overall struggles this season; they’ve gone an impressive 5-0 against the spread in their last five contests.

Interestingly enough, even though I believe Colorado will take home the victory tonight, I foresee a total score under six goals being more probable than hitting over since both teams have shown tendencies towards lower-scoring outcomes recently—especially Chicago, who has seen totals go under in four out of their last six games.

In summary, expect Colorado’s potent offense to challenge Chicago’s defense early and often throughout this match-up while also being cautious about how many goals we see hit the scoreboard given both teams’ recent trends toward lower totals in individual games combined with Chicago’s defensive capabilities showing slight improvements lately.

All things considered, my prediction stands: look for Colorado to secure victory while Chicago manages to cover the spread—an interesting dynamic as we dive deeper into what these numbers reveal about each team’s performance thus far this season.