Anaheim Ducks @ Utah Hockey Club - March 12, 2025

As we gear up for the clash between the Anaheim Ducks and the Utah Hockey Club at Delta Center, it’s essential to break down what the numbers suggest for this matchup. The oddsmakers have made Utah a -208 moneyline favorite, with an over/under set at 5.5 goals.

Starting with Anaheim, they’ve had a tumultuous season so far, posting a record of 18-21-5. Their offensive output is modest at best, averaging just 2.6 goals per game on 27.6 shots with a shooting percentage of around 9.7%. This lack of firepower is compounded by their dismal power play performance—only converting about 12.9% of their opportunities into goals.

Defensively, while Anaheim has slightly better save percentages (90.4%) than Utah’s (89.5%), their penalty kill struggles are evident; they sit at only 73.9%. This statistic indicates that when put under pressure, they tend to falter more often than not.

On the other hand, the Utah Hockey Club holds a record of 18-18-7 and has shown some resilience lately despite recent losses—including their last outing against the Maple Leafs where they fell short in a high-scoring affair that ended in a total of seven goals combined.

Utah’s offensive stats paint them as slightly more effective than Anaheim; they’re averaging approximately 2.8 goals per game with a shooting percentage of about 10.2%, which is marginally better than their opponents’. They also enjoy better puck possession metrics with Corsi and offensive zone percentages above those of Anaheim.

When it comes to special teams, Utah boasts a respectable power play conversion rate of 23.5%, significantly higher than Anaheim’s struggles on theirs—this could be pivotal if either team finds themselves in penalty trouble during this match.

Now let’s talk trends: While Anaheim is performing well against the spread (11-2 ATS in their last 13 games), they’ve struggled overall recently with only two wins out of their last six games played (2-4 SU). Conversely, although Utah has been inconsistent against the spread as well (4-13 ATS in its last 17), they have managed to win four out of six home games—a factor that may tip things in their favor tonight.

Given all these stats and trends, my prediction leans towards Utah taking home the victory tonight—but I believe Anaheim will cover the spread given how competitive they’ve been recently despite not always coming out on top in terms of wins and losses.

As for totals betting? With both teams having shown tendencies toward overs lately but considering overall scoring averages being below five goals per game coupled with strong defensive efforts from both sides—I’m inclined to predict this one stays under that threshold set at 5.5 goals.

In summary: expect Utah to secure victory while Anaheim covers the spread—and look for this contest to finish under that total line as both defenses rise to challenge each other tonight!