Everton @ Liverpool - April 2, 2025

As I prepare for this highly anticipated clash between Liverpool FC and Everton FC, I can’t help but think of the intensity and drama these Merseyside derbies always bring. These matches have a way of upending expectations, which makes them particularly electrifying when the stakes are so high—even if the current table suggests a more straightforward outcome.

Now, let’s break down what we’re dealing with here. Liverpool might sit atop the Premier League, flaunting a record of 21 wins, 7 draws, and just 1 loss, but in these types of encounters, form sometimes takes a backseat to passion and rivalry. They’re coming off a solid 3-1 win against Southampton, which sends a clear message: they mean business. Their stats are nothing short of impressive—averaging over 2.3 goals scored per match and possessing a staggering 83.8% passing accuracy.

On the flip side, we have Everton, struggling somewhat with a record of 7 wins, 13 draws, and 9 losses, currently sitting in 14th place. Their output is significantly lower, with a mere 1.1 goals per game and only 3.5 shots on target. It’s concerning, folks. They had their last outing against West Ham end in a dull draw—a stark contrast to Liverpool’s attacking flair. Everton’s style and statistics suggest they’ll likely defend deep and hope for the best.

Given Liverpool’s attacking prowess and Everton’s (let’s face it) lack of goals, I’d be surprised if this matchup stays close for long. As seasoned bettors will tell you, there are times where you trust the numbers over the emotions, and this feels like one of those occasions. I’m expecting Liverpool to dominate possession, create an abundance of chances, and put a few away.

The odds are skewed heavily in Liverpool’s favor at about -350, and while some may be tempted to take a flier on Everton at +800, I’d caution against it. The draw at +450 could be attractive if you feel the rivalry will inject a level of unpredictability into the game. Still, I’d lean more towards a decisive Liverpool win.

Now, about those goals. With Liverpool’s strike rate, I genuinely believe we’re set for a match where the total goals will exceed the traditional OVER/UNDER. The OVER seems like the smart play here, especially considering Liverpool’s penchant for high-scoring matches and the possibility that Everton may have to come out and attack if they go behind early.

So my final prediction? Liverpool comes away with a convincing victory, likely scoring at least three goals while Everton possibly scrapes one, leading us inevitably to a total that shatters the OVER. As always, I’ll engage in my little pre-match rituals—nothing too wild, just some lucky socks and my favorite mug of coffee, because, let’s face it, even seasoned bettors need a bit of superstition. Bet smart and enjoy the match—this one should be a treat!