West Ham United @ Liverpool - April 13, 2025

As a former sports statistician, I love delving into the data to uncover what it can tell us about upcoming matches, and this Sunday’s clash between Liverpool FC and West Ham United provides a fascinating opportunity to do just that.

Liverpool currently sits atop the English Premier League table with a record of 22 wins, 7 draws, and 2 losses. Their offensive prowess is undeniable, averaging 2.3 goals scored per game, along with a staggering 16.5 shots on target—5.8 of which hit the target. This indicates an efficient and aggressive approach to scoring, which keeps their opponents on edge. Despite their recent setback against Fulham FC, where they suffered a 3-2 loss, the fact that they have been able to generate such a high volume of shots disqualifies this as a trend of concern for them.

Conversely, West Ham United sits in 16th place with a record of 9 wins, 8 draws, and 14 losses. They average only 1.0 goal per game and manage approximately 12.4 shots, with just over 3 directed at the goal. Their performance suggests a lack of offensive depth that could come back to haunt them against a high-flying side like Liverpool. Despite their recent draw against Bournemouth—where they also conceded 4 goals—West Ham’s struggle to convert opportunities into goals continues to be a pressing concern.

When we dig deeper into the numbers, we uncover noteworthy insights into the style of play. Liverpool’s passing accuracy stands at around 83.8%, evidencing their ability to maintain possession and build up play effectively. When they do lose the ball—averaging about 11.2 fouls committed per game—they often regain possession quickly, limiting opponents’ chances to capitalize on these moments. In comparison, West Ham boasts a slightly lower passing accuracy of 79.3% and commits slightly more fouls at 11.7 per game. Their inability to maintain consistent possession negatively impacts their attacking capabilities, as it stalls their forward momentum and leaves them vulnerable at the back.

From a betting perspective, the odds are stacked in favor of Liverpool to secure a victory, at -312 odds compared to West Ham’s +810, indicating a clear expectation of a Liverpool win. While the draw opened at +485, it seems both teams will be gunning for wins. Given Liverpool’s offensive firepower and West Ham’s drab attacking displays, one can only expect the Reds to dictate the game’s tempo and create chances.

Additionally, the over/under for total goals is likely to favor the OVER, especially considering Liverpool’s prior match against Fulham that ended with 5 goals and West Ham’s propensity to concede goals.

In conclusion, I wouldn’t be surprised to see a scoreline reflecting Liverpool’s superiority; a 3-1 or possibly even a 4-1 win seems plausible, based on both teams’ current form and underlying statistics. Keep your eyes peeled—I expect an exciting encounter this Sunday!