New York Mets @ Washington Nationals - April 25, 2025

As the New York Mets and Washington Nationals gear up for their Friday night clash at Nationals Park, there’s a palpable buzz in the air. The Mets are riding high on a seven-game winning streak, showcasing their dominance with an impressive 18-7 record this season. They’ll be relying heavily on their ace, who has been nothing short of spectacular with a 3-1 record and an eye-popping 0.8 ERA. This performance not only speaks volumes about his ability to keep runs off the board but also highlights his capacity to strike batters out—averaging nearly 10 strikeouts per game.

On the other side of the diamond, we have Jake Irvin taking the mound for the Nationals. While he boasts an undefeated record of 2-0, his ERA sits at a less-than-stellar 4.9, suggesting that he may struggle against a potent Mets lineup that is slowly finding its rhythm at the plate despite posting slightly lower batting averages than their rivals.

When we look at team statistics, it becomes evident why oddsmakers opened with the Mets as -189 moneyline favorites. The Mets have averaged just over four runs per game while maintaining a solid on-base slugging percentage of approximately 69%. Their recent form indicates they’ve been able to capitalize on scoring opportunities effectively.

In contrast, while Washington’s offense has shown flashes of brilliance—averaging about 4.3 runs and hitting roughly 7.7 times per game—their .233 batting average raises some eyebrows regarding consistency at the plate. Additionally, they’ve struggled recently to produce significant offensive outputs in critical moments.

Betting trends further support my prediction for this matchup: The Mets have gone UNDER in 13 of their last 19 games but still managed to win five straight contests outright—an indicator that they can find ways to win even when scoring isn’t prolific. Meanwhile, Washington has also seen five consecutive games go UNDER as well—a trend that suggests both teams might find themselves struggling offensively tonight.

However, I believe that given Senga’s current form coupled with New York’s overall momentum and ability to score when it matters most will ultimately push them past Washington tonight. I anticipate that despite both teams’ recent UNDER trends, this contest could see more runs than expected due to Senga’s strikeout potential leading to higher pitch counts for Irvin early on.

In conclusion, expect a competitive showdown where I predict the Mets will emerge victorious against their division rival Nationals tonight—with a final score reflecting an OVER outcome based on offensive capabilities from both sides combined with Senga’s powerful arm setting up run-scoring chances throughout the game.