This Friday, November 25th, 2022 marks the PFL 10: 2022 Championships. PFL World Championship Odds from Betonline.ag include over under prop bets for the title bouts and money lines on every fight. We’re offering an MMA breakdown for every bout, and the top predictions on the full twelve fight card.
PFL World Championship Predictions (2022)
First, the top parlay picks among all twelve fights to be used at any MMA betting site.
- Kayla Harrison -600
- Rob Wilkinson -230
- Magomed Magomedkerimov -450
- Dakota Ditcheva -350
None of these should be surprising, though they aren’t the top odds on the card. There are a few strong favorites that we overlooked mostly because of the volatility of their opponent. Harrison and Magomedkerimov are easily the top bets.
Upset of the Night
If you’re looking to make a fantastic bet with a high payout on a single fight, look at Julia Budd at +185. She’s facing Aspen Ladd, a fighter that’s 1-3 over her last three years of competition. Ladd was once a danger, but as a 135 pound weight bully, she’s not ready for Julia Budd, who’s the Queen of weight cutting at women’s featherweight.
PFL World Championship Odds
Bet these money line odds on any of the safest MMA betting sites on the web. Expect many of the major favorites to strengthen toward Friday, so if you’re building a parlay ticket it’s better to be early.
Kayla Harrison -600 vs Larissa Pacheco +425
Pacheco lost to Harrison in 2019 twice and it didn’t feel close. Since then, Pacheco has been on a tear, finishing five fighters straight. If Larissa Pacheco has any hope at all, it’s swinging for the fences at the beginning of each round, hoping to catch Kayla on the way in.
| Over 3 ½ Rounds Odds | Under 3 ½ Rounds Odds |
|---|---|
| +145 | -175 |
If we were fans of Pacheco, we’d look to the under. Kayla has been more aggressive with her submission work in the past year, finishing six of seven fights since 2021. That, with Pacheco’s increased confidence in her ability to shut the lights out makes the -175 under interesting. Still, both of their first fights were decisions, so you have to respect a +145 over bet.
2022 PFL World Championship Main Event Pick
Harrison is going to take this fight. Her takedown game is just too far ahead of Pacheco and every one else in the division. Harrison will rule women’s lightweight MMA for another year, and Pacheco will meet her again in the 2023 PFL World Championship.
.@JohnMorgan_MMA on @BubbaJenkinsMMA's journey from @ASUWrestling great to one win away from a 2022 PFL Featherweight World Title
[#PFLWorldChampionship | BUY NOW https://t.co/9tors6aoIk | Fri, Nov 25 | 8pm ET | ESPN+ PPV] pic.twitter.com/DPl1LcyDBv
— PFL (@PFLMMA) November 23, 2022
Brendan Loughnane -180 vs Bubba Jenkins +155
The co-main event is the 145 pound world champion fight. Loughnane is the favorite because of his win over Chris Wade. Wade defeated Jenkins in 2021, but managed to avoid him this season. Loughnane’s only loss in the past five years has been against Khaybulaev, a split decision that many thought he won.
| Over 3 ½ Rounds Odds | Under 3 ½ Rounds Odds |
|---|---|
| -200 | +160 |
The Over is an easy choice and an easy return. Both fighters are decision grapplers, with Bubba showing the only finish in either man’s last five fights. Loughnane has never been submitted, and we don’t expect Jenkins to be the first. It comes down to which man’s night it is, so bet the Over prop for $50 per $100 wager on the PFL World Championship betting odds.
Ante Delija -240 vs Matheus Scheffel +205
This heavyweight showdown is meant to liven up the main card that will be full of grapplers. Delija knocked out Scheffel earlier this year after nine minutes of competition. If the Under prop becomes available, take it. This fight will end via knockout, likely with Ante taking another easy win. We’re keeping it off our parlay, as Delija has the been knocked out by a stray punch before.
Undefeated in the PFL. Will @oliaubin continue his impressive run to a 2022 PFL Lightweight World Title 🏆 @danhardymma breaks it all down
[#PFLWorldChampionship | Fri, Nov 25 | 8pm ET | ESPN+ PPV | 🔗https://t.co/9tors6aoIk] pic.twitter.com/78QZlRyIOI
— PFL (@PFLMMA) November 18, 2022
Olivier Aubin-Mercier -350 vs Stevie Ray +285
Ray beat Pettis in back to back showings, going 2-1 for the season. He was cut from the UFC after a win over Michael Johnson. Mercier struggled at the UFC level, but his last five wins for the PFL have been nonstop success. The biggest difference has been the Alex Martinez bout, where Mercier won by decision and Ray lost.
| Over 4 ½ Rounds Odds | Under 4 ½ Rounds Odds |
|---|---|
| -175 | +145 |
Analysts expect a long fight, with Ray consistently pushing the pace on grappling and Mercier defending. Mercier has never been submitted.
2022 PFL World Championship Lightweight Pick
Tentatively, we see some massive holes in the grappling game of Aubin–Mercier that Ray will look to capitalize on. Even in his fight with Gilbert Burns, Olivier wasn’t threatened with submissions. He’s physical, but gives up some interesting positions that Ray will look to exploit. We’re calling it now, Stevie Ray by heel hook.
Dilano Taylor +155 vs Sadibou Sy -180
Sy’s performances this season have been a masterclass in edging out quality fighters. At 35, this may be his last shot at PFL gold. What Taylor lacks in experience he makes up for in youth and momentum. Taylor has made his entire pro career in just three years. In that time, he’s racked up a 10-2 record with six stoppages.
PFL 2022 Welterweight World Champion
Both men have recent losses to Magomedkerimov, but only Sy went the distance. Sy has a kind of patience that is tough to replicate, and for that we’ll be taking his moneyline. Take the Over 3.5 rounds if it shows up as a betting option, with Sy being unfinished in his last six, and Taylor showing an increasing rate of decisions against high level wrestlers.
Aspen Ladd -220 vs Julia Budd +185
Ladd couldn’t make weight and was cut from the UFC after back to back losses. She’s struggled at the highest levels of the UFC, but the PFL is close behind, especially in the 145 pound division. Budd has only lost to four fighters in her career, each of them champions. Her last loss to Fabian was a bit of a fluke, and she has all the tools to beat Ladd, who’s smack in the middle of the rockiest point in her career.
Omari Akhmedov +195 vs Rob Wilkinson -230
Rob has had a stunning winning streak since being cut from the UFC after two TKO losses. In boxing, kickboxing and MMA Wilkinson has won nine straight with a crushing eight finishes. Akhmedov is 3-2 in his last five, but is coming off an upset win over Josh Silveira, putting the first blemish on his 9-0 undefeated record. Both fighters have faced former champions, and this bout will crown one of them the 205 PFL 2022 Champion.
2022 PFL 205 World Champion Pick
With five rounds at his disposal, Rob has a significant advantage being four years younger than the 35 year old Omari. Wilkinson’s striking has evolved dramatically since his UFC showing, while Omari seems to have stagnated as a classic Dagestani wrestler with an overhand right. Expect the Wilkinson KO finish.
Marlon Moraes +133 vs Sheymon Moraes -153
Sheyman is coming off a close decision loss ending a three fight PFL winning streak. Marlon is making his PFL debut after being cut from the UFC. He went 1-5 over his last six bouts, and he’s been knocked out four fights in a row. That doesn’t bode well for anyone’s career. With this bout, the PFL continues the trend of matching former UFC athletes that have suffered multiple high profile knockouts.
| Over 2 ½ Rounds Odds | Under 2 ½ Rounds Odds |
|---|---|
| +165 | -205 |
Both fighters have been knocked out extensively and still retain their knockout power. For that, we consider the under strongly. At -205, it’s one of the stronger unders of the night, and for good reason. At his peak, Marlon choked Sheymon in the third round, but seven years later it seems like neither man has the gas tank to play the long game.
Jeremy Stephens +315 vs Natan Schulte -415
PFL 10’s acquisition of Stephens and other former UFC athletes was a fantastic draw. Stephens is now 1-1 for PFL, going to decision in both fights. The win over Myles Price broke the longest losing streak of his career, a six fight skid. Schulte is the 2019 PFL World Champion, but his 2-2 record since 2021 puts this win into question. This comes down to Stephens takedown defense and conditioning, and at 36 it’s unclear if Stephens can get any better. He was outworked by Gamrot, who has a similar takedown and grappling game to Schulte. This is a great value bet, but we’re keeping it off the PFL World Championship odds for parlays because of Stephen’s rare ability to turn any bout into a brawl that good grapplers can’t say no to.
Gleison Tibau +350 vs Magomed Magomedkerimov -450
People need to be consistently reminded that Tibau put on one of the best performances against Khabib that the UFC ever saw. Magomed is the 2019 PFL champion, but dropped the ball this season after Ray Cooper knocked him out. Tibau is 39 years old and outside his best showings.
| Over 2 ½ Rounds Odds | Under 2 ½ Rounds Odds |
|---|---|
| -185 | +155 |
The over looks good, with Tibau going to decision three times in four fights. If a fighter can survive Tibau’s BJJ, then he tends to survive them. Magomed doesn’t have the heaviest hands or the most aggressive style. If you’re skipping the Magomed parlay, take the over.
Baggio Ali Walsh -350 vs Tom Graesser +285
Walsh is a 1-1 fighter coming off his first win via TKO. He’s currently fighting of Xtreme Couture, and as a former college football player, he’s no stranger to high level athletics. His opponent Tom Gaesser is as green as can be with absolutely no combat sports history, but appears to have done some amateur competition with unrecorded results. Graesser is set to lose this fight, and there’s little evidence to show that he won’t.
| Over 1 ½ Rounds Odds | Under 1 ½ Rounds Odds |
|---|---|
| -127 | -103 |
The under is the right bet if you’re sure Walsh is taking the win. Still, with Graesser’s unconfirmed level of experience, he could be a sleeper on this one. We’re not including Walsh in our parlay ticket, and wouldn’t consider him a strong value bet considering his opening performance of the year was a lackluster loss to a similar debuting athlete.
Dakota Ditcheva -350 vs Katherine Corogenes +285
The undefeated Ditcheva has extensive amateur boxing experience and has won ten MMA fights straight since 2019. She has knockout power, which is rare at flyweight. Corogenes is undefeated, finishing both fights with superior BJJ. Fight tape of Corogenes shows an undeveloped wrestling game, and she’ll need improved takedowns to beat Ditcheva. For that, we include Ditcheva on our parlay ticket for the PFL World Championship betting odds.
PFL World Championship Betting at the Top MMA Sports Books
Want to see more 2022 PFL World Championship Odds? Click below to find more betting markets and up to date money line odds for every fighter. If you’re placing the four fight parlay, better to do it before the favorite odds strengthen on fight night.
