The 2024-5 AFC Championship odds are now available for wagering at the best NFL betting sites. We won’t know the winner until January, but it’s never too early to analyze the latest prices for the No. 1 seed and champion.
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the AFC for a chance at a Super Bowl three-peat? Keep reading to check out the latest odds, a complete analysis, and our 2024-25 AFC Championship predictions.
AFC 2024–25 Champion Odds
The following odds to win the AFC are courtesy of BetUS:
| TEAM | ODDS |
|---|---|
| Kansas City Chiefs | +300 |
| Houston Texans | +500 |
| Baltimore Ravens | +550 |
| Cincinnati Bengals | +700 |
| Buffalo Bills | +750 |
| New York Jets | +850 |
| Miami Dolphins | +1600 |
| Pittsburgh Steelers | +1800 |
| Cleveland Browns | +2300 |
The Kansas City Chiefs (+300) are favored to win their fifth AFC title in six years. As a +300 favorite, the reigning champs have an implied chance to win the AFC Championship of 25%.
The Chiefs’ price is down to +300 from +325, so more money is coming in on Patrick Mahomes and company recently! It’s understandable given their historic dominance over the last five years.
However, the Baltimore Ravens’ AFC Championship’s price has regressed from +450 to +550. Despite the hike, the Ravens remain one of the contenders, according to the odds to win the AFC Championship.
It’s also worth noting that the Buffalo Bills (+750) and Cincinnati Bengals (+700) no longer have the same price from earlier this summer. The Bengals are by themselves with the fourth-shortest at +700, while the Bills have slipped to +750. Meanwhile, the Houston Texans (+500) have skyrocketed over the last two weeks — from +800 to +500!
Find up-to-date odds for the 2025 AFC Championship at Bovada. Navigate to All Sports > Football > NFL Futures > AFC Championship.
AFC 2024–25 Top Seed Betting Odds
The following AFC No. 1 seed odds are courtesy of Bovada:
| TEAM | ODDS |
|---|---|
| Kansas City Chiefs | +325 |
| Baltimore Ravens | +500 |
| Cincinnati Bengals | +600 |
| Houston Texans | +700 |
| Buffalo Bills | +900 |
| New York Jets | +1,000 |
| Miami Dolphins | +1,300 |
| Cleveland Browns | +1,500 |
| Los Angeles Chargers | +2,000 |
| Pittsburgh Steelers | +2,000 |
Interestingly, the odds to finish with the top seed have not moved in the last two weeks before the start of the season. These prices have held firm, with all of the top teams remaining at their respective odds from August.
Along with being favored to win the AFC Championship, the Kansas City Chiefs (+325) have the best odds for the No. 1 seed in the AFC. With a record of 11-6 last season, they finished two games behind the Baltimore Ravens for the top spot.
Currently, the Ravens (+500) have the second-best price to repeat, with the best record in the AFC in the regular season. As the +325 favorite, the Chiefs have a 23.5% implied probability, while the Ravens own a 16.7% chance for the top seed, according to Bovada.
There hasn’t been any movement at the top of the 2024–25 AFC odds for the top seed. The biggest price mover is the Chargers, who fell flat, according to the betting public. They’re currently at +2,000, representing a significant change from +1,500 in July.
You can find up-to-date odds on the AFC top seed at Bovada by navigating to All Sports > Football > NFL Futures > AFC Championship.
AFC Favorites in 2024–25
Before finalizing our AFC Championship predictions, let’s evaluate the top favorites at sports betting sites. According to Bovada’s latest AFC Championship odds, these teams have the best chance of winning the AFC for the 2024–25 season.
Kansas City Chiefs (+300)
- AFC Position in 2023–24: Champions
- Key Players: Patrick Mahomes (QB), Travis Kelce (TE), Marquise Brown (WR), Chris Jones (DT)
- Total AFC Championships: 4 (2020, 2021, 2023, and 2024)
- Head Coach: Andy Reid
The Kansas City Chiefs are expected to challenge for their fifth AFC title since 2020. They’re also the current favorites to win Super Bowl LIX and three-peat at Super Bowl betting sites.
You could argue that the Chiefs improved from last season, too. Until the Chiefs give us a reason not to favor them, they remain the team to beat.
Nothing like an interception in the endzone to help seal our AFC Championship DUB‼️ @deonbushlive2 | #TurnoverTuesday pic.twitter.com/K5b42aPXWg
— Kansas City Chiefs (@Chiefs) July 2, 2024
If you want to look for an Achilles heel, the offense wasn’t firing on all cylinders at times. Aside from Travis Kelce, Patrick Mahomes often struggled to find a reliable target. However, that should change this season with the acquisition of Marquise Brown.
Brown was the Chiefs’ speediest option for offense since Tyreek Hill, something they missed dearly last season. Mahomes and the offense should be more dangerous than we saw a season ago.
The team shouldn’t witness much defensive regression after re-signing defensive tackle Chris Jones. In 2023–24, the Chiefs ranked second in the NFL, with an average of 289.8 yards allowed per game.
Kansas City has remained healthy through the first half of training camp. Besides a flurry of scuffles in practice, the Chiefs have no real concerns heading into Week 1.
Also, emerging wide receiver and breakout candidate Rashee Rice is scheduled to play after his status was in the air due to a potential suspension.
With an improved offense and a stout defense returning for the Chiefs, expect them to be the team to beat in the AFC. As much as many people would like to see a new champ, the Chiefs are the clear favorite.
Houston Texans (+500)
- AFC Position in 2024-25: Loss in Divisional Round
- Key Players:J. Stroud (QB), Stefon Diggs (WR), Nico Collins (WR), Tank Dell (WR), Danielle Hunter (DE)
- Total AFC Championships: 0
- Head Coach: DeMeco Ryans
The Houston Texans look to build on a highly successful 2023-24 campaign and reach new heights this season. C.J. Stroud took the league by storm and dazzled onlookers with a historic first year in the league. The QB passed for 4,108 yards, 23 touchdowns, and five interceptions on 63.9% completions.
The Ohio State product torched the NFL single-game passing record with 470 yards in Week 9! The Texans are making it too hard on Stroud to fail. They have surrounded him with elite weapons, which were already solid last season.
#Texans Stefon Diggs @stefondiggs from C.J. Stroud @CJ7STROUD in coverage against Kamari Lassiter @KPRC2 pic.twitter.com/v9lGRuB9X6
— Aaron Wilson (@AaronWilson_NFL) August 14, 2024
In addition to Tank Dell and Nico Collins, Stroud will have Pro Bowler Stefon Diggs to locate in the secondary. I also like tight end Dalton Schultz to have plenty of room to operate across the middle of the field with the receivers causing damage.
There are pundits calling for a Stroud sophomore slump, but I don’t see it happening. The Texans are giving him too much work with in Houston for him to fail. Additionally, the defense saw some new additions — most notably edge rusher Danielle Hunter should get into the backfield.
I understand why the Texans’ 2024-25 AFC Championship odds are on the move as we inch closer to Week 1. I also would understand why you’d be interested in backing the Texans in The Sports Geek’s free NFL pick’em contest this season!
Baltimore Ravens (+550)
- AFC Position in 2023–24: Loss in AFC Championship
- Key Players: Lamar Jackson (QB), Derrick Henry (RB), Zay Flowers (WR), Kyle Hamilton (S), and Roquan Smith (LB)
- Total AFC Championships: 2 (2000, 2012)
- Head Coach: John Harbaugh
Is this the year John Harbaugh and the Baltimore Ravens put it all together? Last season, they couldn’t generate enough offense to overcome the Chiefs’ defense in the AFC Championship in a 17-10 loss.
To bolster the offense and an additional weapon for Lamar Jackson, the Ravens signed running back Derrick Henry to a two-year, $20 million deal. The QB option with Jackson and Henry should be tough for the defense to contain.
Derrick Henry on Lamar Jackson:
“His arm talent is through the roof. I was just blown away by some of the throws he’s made out here through camp and at OTAs. His arm talent is with the best of ’em. For sure.” #RavensFlock
via @CBSSports pic.twitter.com/6F449aAZE4
— Bobby Trosset (@bobbybaltim0re) August 6, 2024
At age 30, Henry is getting older. Still, putting a battering ram on the field combined with Jackson’s elusiveness is a huge threat. Now, if Jackson can open up the passing game with Zay Flowers, the Ravens have a case for being the most dangerous offense in the NFL.
Still, the Ravens would benefit from a star receiver opposite Flowers. Nelson Agholor and Rashod Bateman are fine weapons, but the wide receiver room doesn’t have the best depth.
Despite losing talent, the defense should continue to be among the best in the league. Safety Geno Stone and linebacker Patrick Queen’s departures hurt. However, 23-year-old safety Kyle Hamilton is entering his third season and will continue to grow.
Cornerback Arthur Maulet made an impact in his first season in Baltimore a year ago, though he requires a knee scope. This could sideline Maulet until October, which will hurt the depth in the secondary. Fortunately, however, the main pieces of the offense and defense are in good shape entering the preseason schedule.
For the Ravens to get past the Chiefs in the postseason, the offense must avoid a one-dimensional attack, which remains to be seen. With this in mind, the Ravens’ 2025 AFC Champion odds are within reason behind Kansas City.
Cincinnati Bengals (+700)
- AFC Position in 2023–24: Did Not Qualify for Playoffs
- Key Players: Joe Burrow (QB), Ja’Marr Chase (WR), Tee Higgins (WR), Trey Hendrickson (DE)
- Total AFC Championships: 3 (1982, 1989, and 2022)
- Head Coach: Zac Taylor
The Cincinnati Bengals seek far better results with a healthy Joe Burrow in 2024–25. Last season, the quarterback played 10 games before exiting due to a torn ligament in his throwing wrist.
He passed for 2,309 yards, 15 touchdowns, and six interceptions on 66.8% passing before going down against the Ravens in November. The Bengals went 5-5 in games that Burrow started. It was a mediocre, up-and-down season in Cincinnati after going to the Super Bowl a year earlier.
They finished last in the AFC North at 9-8. A healthy Burrow likely gives the Bengals two more wins, so the Bengals still would have come short of the Ravens’ 13-4 record.
“We are at lightning speed — moving ahead to where we’ve been in season’s past. We’ve skyrocketed past that.”
Great answer from Zac Taylor today on the impact of Joe Burrow at camp and how much DIFFERENT this camp feels this year.#Bengals @fox19 pic.twitter.com/rDSatu9Lip
— Jeremy Rauch (@FOX19Jeremy) August 8, 2024
What will change with the Bengals in 2024–25? With a healthy Burrow, the Bengals should be an 11-win team. As mentioned, Burrow gives them two or three more wins than a season ago. Our concern here isn’t with the offense, though.
The team didn’t make huge waves in free agency to improve their defense. It’s adequate, but not strong enough to compete with the Chiefs and Ravens. After requesting a trade in April, pass rusher Trey Hendrickson will be back, but depth is a concern.
Unlike the Chiefs, the Bengals can’t seem to avoid the injury bug. Wide receiver Charlie Jones was carted off the field in a recent training camp practice.
Jones figured to play an elevated role in his sophomore season, but that will be on hold. Ja’Marr Chase is holding out for a new contract, so Burrow is working with thin depth at receiver in the preseason.
Additionally, the defensive line is handling multiple injuries to McKinnley Jackson, Domenique Davis, and Jay Tufele. It’s a concern with the Ravens and Chiefs in a healthier position. The Bengals’ AFC Championship 2025 odds are about accurate at +700, but they don’t have the depth to deal with multiple injuries.
Best Sleepers for the AFC Title in 2024–25
The AFC 2025 Champion odds at Bovada reveal a few sleepers that have a chance to upset the league in 2024–25. Let’s check out the best dark horse picks for my AFC Championship predictions:
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How quickly will Jim Harbaugh’s system come together in Los Angeles? The new head coach wants to bring his smash-mouth Big Ten offense to the West Coast. Anything that gives quarterback Justin Herbert an upper hand should be well-received.
Herbert should flourish with Harbaugh prioritizing a more balanced offense. Although we’re confident the head coach needs another year to really get the most out of this team, there is a chance he hits it big right out of the gate.
The Chargers’ AFC odds have risen from +2000 to +3000, so this is absolutely the time to back Los Angeles’ second NFL team!
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Is this a redemption season for Trevor Lawrence? It’s a make-or-break year for the QB, as he has to prove that he belongs in the conversation with other elite quarterbacks. After a breakout year in 2022–23, Lawrence and the Jaguars fluttered to a record of 9-8.
There is a reasonable chance that the Jaguars return to form in 2024–25. The talent is present for the Jaguars to make a big push, so there is certainly betting value on Jacksonville’s AFC Champion odds at +3,500.
Jacksonville was +2,500, so they’re all the way up to +3,500! Jump on this price now if you are interested in Lawrence and the Jags.
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Colts’ quarterback Anthony Richardson will make his long-awaited return to the field after his rookie campaign was cut short. He played four games before exiting with an AC Joint sprain that needed surgery. When Richardson was active, he looked like one of the most exciting young QBs in the NFL.
Anthony Richardson with 4 rushing touchdowns in his first 3 games 🔥
First QB in NFL history to get a rushing TD in each of his first 3 games 🐊 pic.twitter.com/aYx0oS3kAy
— Barstool Florida (@UFBarstool) October 1, 2023
Despite rolling with Gardner Minshew under center, the Colts still managed to win nine games and be competitive for the AFC South title. If Richardson comes back from his injury and picks up where he left off, there is a solid opportunity for the Colts to play spoiler in the AFC!
Richardson has looked sharp in camp, and the betting public has responded. The Colts AFC odds have shifted to +4,400 after sitting at +3,500 or thereabout through the summer.
AFC No. 1 Seed 2025 Predictions and Betting Pick
Before revealing our top pick to win the AFC Championship, let’s assess the AFC No. 1 seed odds at Bovada! In 2023–24, the Ravens won the No. 1 seed with a regular season record of 13-4.
If everything goes accordingly, they are looking at returning to the playoffs as the top seed in the AFC. I question John Harbaugh’s ability to out-coach Andy Reid in the playoffs, but Jackson and Henry will be a lot for teams to handle in the regular season.
Flowers’ development is key to a strong run for the Ravens. If Flowers opens up the passing game downfield, which I believe he will, the Ravens’ offense will be difficult for defenses to prepare for this season.
At +500, for the No. 1 seed in the AFC, the Ravens are a strong value play.
AFC Championship 2025 Predictions and Betting Pick
Much to the disappointment of the rest of the NFL, the back-to-back Super Bowl champs didn’t get worse in the offseason. The Kansas City Chiefs are well-equipped to become the first squad to three-peat in the Super Bowl era.
The offense was inconsistent at times last year, so the front office signed Brown and drafted Xavier Worthy to give Mahomes more weapons. Also, the fear of Rice being potentially suspended was recently alleviated, so everything is a go for the Chiefs!
Defensively, the Chiefs aren’t expected to regress significantly. Most of the key pieces from last season’s stout unit are returning for the 2024–25 campaign.
Expect the Chiefs back in the Super Bowl for the third consecutive season. Bovada offers a generous price for the Chiefs to win the AFC title at +300, so consider backing this bet.
