The updated 2024-25 AFC Championship odds are now available at the best NFL betting sites! After a wild start to the season, there have been some notable swings in the prices worth analyzing.
Are the Kansas City Chiefs still the team to beat in the AFC? Keep reading to check out the latest odds, a complete analysis, and our 2024-25 AFC Championship predictions.
AFC 2024–25 Championship Odds
The following odds to win AFC are courtesy of Bovada:
| TEAM | ODDS |
|---|---|
| Kansas City Chiefs | +200 |
| Baltimore Ravens | +325 |
| Buffalo Bills | +425 |
| Houston Texans | +600 |
| Pittsburgh Steelers | +1300 |
| Cincinnati Bengals | +2100 |
| Los Angeles Chargers | +2500 |
| Denver Broncos | +3300 |
| Miami Dolphins | +4500 |
| New York Jets | +5000 |
| Indianapolis Colts | +6000 |
The Kansas City Chiefs (+200) remain the betting favorites to win the AFC Championship. Earlier this month, the Chiefs were +225, so their price has dropped slightly. Currently, the Chiefs have a 33.3% implied chance to win the AFC title.
The Chiefs’ AFC title odds have continued to drop since the preseason. They were a +325 favorite in August, and then down to +300 after Week 1. Going into Week 3, the Chiefs were +275 to win the AFC Championship. Now, Andy Reid and his players are +200 favorites after a 7-0 start heading into Week 9.
It’s understandable given their historic dominance over the last five years, appearing in five consecutive AFC Championship games. Conversely, the Baltimore Ravens’ AFC Championship price has bounced back in a big way. John Harbaugh’s squad sits at +325, after shooting up to +800. The Ravens entered the season at +450, and +550 entering Week 2!
The Buffalo Bills (+425) have recently edged ahead of the Houston Texans (+600) for the AFC Championship. They were previously locked up with the same odds to win at +500.
Find up-to-date odds for the 2025 AFC Championship at Bovada. Navigate to All Sports > Football > NFL Futures > AFC Championship.
AFC 2024–25 Top Seed Betting Odds
The following AFC No. 1 seed odds are courtesy of BetUS:
| TEAM | ODDS |
|---|---|
| Kansas City Chiefs | -300 |
| Buffalo Bills | +600 |
| Houston Texans | +800 |
| Baltimore Ravens | +1,800 |
| Pittsburgh Steelers | +2,200 |
| Miami Dolphins | +7,500 |
| Los Angeles Chargers | +8,000 |
| Denver Broncos | +15,000 |
The odds for the top seed in the AFC have witnessed some movement as well. After the Week 8 win over the Las Vegas Raiders, the Chiefs (-300) have a 75% implied probability to finish atop the AFC!
The Houston Texans (+800) have dropped the board fairly substantially after holding +400 odds in Week 2. Aside from the Buffalo Bills (+600), Chiefs, and Texans, the rest of the conference faces long AFC odds for the top seed!
The most significant regression belongs to the 2-6 New York Jets, who were +1500 to win the AFC’s top seed ahead of Week 3. Currently, they are nearly off the board at +5000.
The organization fired head coach Robert Saleh on October 8, and reportedly had him escorted out of the building. They will look to bounce back with a potentially season-changing win over the Houston Texans on Thursday Night Football to open Week 9.
With everything considered, the Chiefs are the clear favorite for oddsmakers at BetUS!
You can find up-to-date on the AFC top seed at BetUS by navigating to Sportsbook > Football > NFL Specials > Number 1 Seed.
AFC Favorites in 2024–25
Before finalizing our AFC Championship predictions, let’s evaluate the top favorites at NFL betting sites. According to Bovada’s latest AFC Championship odds, these teams have the best chance of winning the AFC for the 2024–25 season.
Kansas City Chiefs (+200)
- AFC Position in 2023–24: Champions
- Key Players: Patrick Mahomes (QB), Travis Kelce (TE), Kareem Hunt (WR), Chris Jones (DT)
- Total AFC Championships: 4 (2020, 2021, 2023, and 2024)
- Head Coach: Andy Reid
The Kansas City Chiefs are expected to challenge for their fifth AFC title since 2020. They’re also the current favorites to win Super Bowl LIX and three-peat at Super Bowl betting sites.
They remain the team to beat until the Chiefs give us a reason not to favor them. The champs advanced to 7-0 on the season with a 27-20 victory over the Las Vegas Raiders.
Mahomes and the offense have been doing enough, but the defense has been the star attraction in Kansas City.
This series of stops was a Spags masterclass 😤 pic.twitter.com/eTzQJRJaN9
— Kansas City Chiefs (@Chiefs) October 30, 2024
Patrick Mahomes hasn’t been great, completing 68.4% of his passes through five weeks for 1,651 yards, six touchdowns, and six interceptions. The Chiefs lost receiver Rashee Rice, potentially for the season, to a knee injury. Another receiver, Marquise “Hollywood” Brown, won’t play this season due to a shoulder injury, after signing with the Chiefs this summer. Also, starting running back Isiah Pacheco had mid-season knee surgery, and his return is still pending.
And yet, here the Chiefs are, at the top of the AFC! Despite not finding the end zone yet, Kelce has been great the past two games. Rookie receiver Xavier Worthy is getting more comfortable. The Chiefs even called back receiver Juju Smith-Schuster and running back Kareem Hunt, and both have been very good since returning to the team.
Most importantly, the defense has been awesome. The Chiefs are second in the league in rushing yards allowed, and fifth in points allowed. Defensive tackle Chris Jones has been a wrecking ball up front, and the secondary is very solid.
Despite all the injuries, the Chiefs deserve to be the top favorites to win the AFC at offshore sportsbooks!
Baltimore Ravens (+325)
- AFC Position in 2023–24: Loss in AFC Championship
- Key Players: Lamar Jackson (QB), Derrick Henry (RB), Zay Flowers (WR), Kyle Hamilton (S), Roquan Smith (LB)
- Total AFC Championships: 2 (2000, 2012)
- Head Coach: John Harbaugh
Is this the year John Harbaugh and the Baltimore Ravens put it all together? Last season, they couldn’t generate enough offense to overcome the Chiefs’ defense in the AFC Championship in a 17-10 loss.
To bolster the offense and an additional weapon for Lamar Jackson, the Ravens signed running back Derrick Henry to a two-year, $20 million deal. The QB option with Jackson and Henry should be tough for the defense to contain. However, it was a rocky start as the Ravens were 0-2 following losses to the Chiefs and Las Vegas Raiders. The defeat to the champions was understandable, and they nearly pulled that one out. However, a 26-23 loss at home to the Raiders wasn’t a good look for Jackson and company.
DERRICK HENRY 51-YARD RUN IN OT TO WIN THE GAMEpic.twitter.com/b6TWJQjJxH
— Yahoo Fantasy Sports (@YahooFantasy) October 6, 2024
The Ravens responded with three consecutive wins. They ousted the Cowboys (28-25), Bills (35-10), and Buccaneers (41-31). However, the Ravens are coming off a disappointing loss to the Browns in a 29-24 finale. The Browns dropped the Ravens to 5-3 with the win, thrusting the Steelers into the top seed in the AFC North.
The offense is in good form with RB Derrick Henry and QB Lamar Jackson spearheading the initiative. Henry has been on a torrid pace with 946 yards and nine touchdowns on 6.5 yards per carry. This has taken some snaps away from Jackson as a runner, but the QB option is a formidable weapon.
The defense gives cause for concern, however. Baltimore is allowing 26.1 points per game, placing them in the bottom third of the NFL. They’re first against the run, but that’s because teams are passing all over them.
Fortunately, DB Arthur Maulet is nearing his return from an injury that has held him off the field this season. This will be a key addition for a Ravens’ secondary failing to stop the pass.
It’s worth keeping an eye on, but with Jackson and Henry dominating the backfield, the Ravens are well-placed in these AFC championship odds!
Buffalo Bills (+425)
- AFC Position in 2024-25: Loss in Divisional Round
- Key Players: Josh Allen (QB), James Cook (RB), Keon Coleman (WR), Dalton Kincaid (TE), Von Miller (LB), Ed Oliver (DT)
- Total AFC Championships: 6 (1964, 1965, 1990, 1991, 1992, 1993)
- Head Coach: Sean McDermott
The Buffalo Bills have been among the best teams in the conference — their AFC Championship odds reflect this fact!
However, the Bills never seem to be able to get over the hump. They’ve come close numerous times in the past, but Josh Allen has been left playing second-fiddle to Patrick Mahomes.
Is this finally the year that things change for the Bills? Considering we are high on Allen winning NFL MVP, it goes without saying that the Bills are as well.
The Bills enter the Week 9 slate with a record of 6-2 and clear advantage in the AFC East. The rest of the division has only two wins each! Injuries to the Dolphins essentially made this a non-competitive division in favor of the Bills.
The passing game is beginning to heat up, especially the Allen to Keon Coleman connection. The rookie receiver is starting to look the part, and Allen is trusting him more and more. With the emergence of Coleman, the team isn’t missing Stefon Diggs too much.
Josh Allen and Keon Coleman are becoming quite the duo
📺: #BUFvsSEA on FOX
📱: https://t.co/waVpO909ge pic.twitter.com/fW77N4MJmu— NFL (@NFL) October 27, 2024
The Bills opened the season on a three-game winning streak, dropped two games, but are back on track. They are coming off a 31-10 win over the Seahawks to win their third consecutive matchup. Allen struggled in a 23-20 loss to the Texans but has responded brilliantly.
Allen heads into this week with 1,766 yards, 14 touchdowns, and one interception! His MVP chances are back on after leading the Bills to three wins in a row. WR Khalil Shakir leads the Bills in receiving with 421 yards, while Coleman has racked up 396 yards.
Note that the defense has stepped up nicely for the Bills. In a year the secondary was expected to be a negative, the Bills have collected 11 turnovers to lead the NFL.
Allen went through a brief funk, but he’s back to doing “Allen things” on the football field. The offense is beginning to gel, which bodes poorly for the rest of the AFC! Nevertheless, the Bills still face tough competition in this conference.
Best Sleepers for the AFC Title in 2024–25
The AFC 2025 Champion odds at Bovada reveal a few sleepers that have a chance to upset the league in 2024–25. Let’s check out the best dark horse picks for my AFC Championship predictions:
Cincinnati Bengals (+2100)
The Bengals’ AFC Championship odds have been on a roller coaster this season. They’ve been everywhere from +2500 to +1500 and now a +2100 price at Bovada. Despite their topsy-turvy season and a record of 3-5, the Bengals are going to hang around and have a chance to grab a wildcard seed.
Joe Burrow was asked what he thinks when he sees other teams making moves at the trade deadline.
His response:“That’s not my job.”
As a follow-up, he was asked if he’d like to see the Bengals make moves.
He repeated:“That’s not my job.” pic.twitter.com/pOQmh9EapS
— Caleb Noe (@CalebNoeTV) October 30, 2024
The offense is performing solidly enough, ranking 11th in points per game with 24.4. Quarterback Joe Burrow has been incredible. Receiver Ja’Marr Chase has been great as well, despite a contract dispute in the offseason.
However, the defense has been downright terrible. The Bengals are in the bottom third of the league in yards allowed, and they’re 24th in rushing yards allowed. Additionally, the Bengals are 23rd in points yielded with 25.4 per game.
If Cincinnati’s defense can improve to average, they can go on a run and once they get to the playoffs, they’ll be the team no one wants to play. I see some value in their AFC Championship odds of +2100, but the run has to start now.
Pittsburgh Steelers (+1300)
The Pittsburgh Steelers were off to a 3-0 start in Justin Fields’ first assignments with his new team. Russell Wilson was unavailable in Week 1, so Fields used the opportunity to impress the coaching staff.
Was Fields perfect? No, but he didn’t make any mistakes and avoided a big turnover — something that was problematic in his time with the Chicago Bears. He had another solid performance against the Broncos to lead his team to another low-scoring victory. Then, Pittsburgh beat the Chargers 20-10.
The Steelers are now a 6-2 team, and growing confident with each passing week under Wilson’s command under center. They are in control of the AFC North and have a chance to edge ahead of the Ravens even further in the coming weeks.
After dropping back-to-back efforts against the Colts and Cowboys, the Steelers have matched their hot start with another three-game win streak. The defense has looked excellent throughout the season, and now the offense is catching up with Wilson at the controls.
We backed the Steelers at +2200 earlier this month, and still identify some value at +1300!
AFC No. 1 Seed 2025 Predictions and Betting Pick
Before revealing our top pick to win the AFC Championship, let’s assess the AFC No. 1 seed odds at BetUS! In 2023–24, the Ravens won the No. 1 seed with a regular season record of 13-4.
Things were looking bleak for the Ravens after a 0-2 start. They are still very well alive for the AFC Championship at 5-3, but I am hesitant to recommend betting on them to finish with the best record in the conference.
The Texans, who are solid on both sides of the ball, are my top pick to grab the No. 1 seed in the AFC. Although playoff experience might be an issue later this year, the Texans will continue to win games, even with Collins out.
Again, it’s important to note, the Texans are much more than Stroud and the offense. The defense is well-equipped to carry this team far in the regular season. Houston is getting tremendous value to finish with the best record, so consider backing Stroud and company at +800!
It’s much better value than betting on the Chiefs, who typically show their best form in the playoffs.
AFC Championship 2024-25 Predictions and Betting Pick
Much to the disappointment of the rest of the NFL, the back-to-back Super Bowl champs didn’t get worse in the offseason. There are concerns with injuries early in the season, but the overall structure of this roster is still very strong.
The Kansas City Chiefs are well-equipped to become the first squad to three-peat in the Super Bowl era. The offense was inconsistent at times last year,and continues to be. However, after the last five years, Reid, Mahomes, and Kelce have earned the benefit of the doubt.
Defensively, the Chiefs might be even better than last season. Most of the key pieces from last season’s stout unit are returning for the 2024–25 campaign.
It is Week 9, but I am not putting much stock into the injury to Pacheco, who should be returning to the starting lineup soon. This gives Mahomes and an additional weapon to a 7-0 team that doesn’t need any more help.
Kareem Hunt’s arrival has provided a spark plug in Pacheco’s absence, so that one-two punch should be dangerous.
Expect the Chiefs back in the Super Bowl for the third consecutive season. While some value is gone, I still believe anything at plus odds is worth considering at Bovada!
