As anticipation grows for the NFL season this fall, the 2024-25 AFC West odds are now on the board at the best NFL betting sites. In this article, I explore the latest prices and provide a full analysis of the division.
The Kansas City Chiefs are the favorites to win Super Bowl LIX, so does this make them a lock to win the divisional race? Who will win the AFC West? Continue reading to check out the opening odds, betting preview, and AFC West predictions!
AFC West 2024-25 Winner Odds
The following AFC West winner odds are courtesy of Bovada:
| Team | NFC East Odds | 2023-24 RECORD |
|---|---|---|
| Kansas City Chiefs | -330 | 11-6 |
| Los Angeles Chargers | +365 | 5-12 |
| Las Vegas Raiders | +1300 | 8-9 |
| Denver Broncos | +1900 | 8-9 |
The Kansas City Chiefs (-330) are heavy favorites to win their ninth consecutive AFC West title! This means the Chiefs have a healthy 76.7% implied probability of winning the division again.
The Los Angeles Chargers (+365) are looking for considerable gains under new head coach Jim Harbaugh. Enough to upset the Chiefs and win the AFC West? According to Bovada, they have a 21.5% chance at +365 odds.
Aside from the Chiefs and Chargers, the Las Vegas Raiders (+1300) and Denver Broncos (+1900) are both long shots to capture the divisional title.
You can find up-to-date AFC West odds at Bovada by navigating to All Sports > Football > NFL Futures > AFC West.
Kansas City Chiefs (-330)
- AFC West Position in 2023-24: 1st (11-6)
- Key Players In: Marquise Brown (WR), Irv Smith Jr. (TE), Xavier Worthy (WR)
- Key Players Out: Donovan Smith (OT)
- Head Coach: Andy Reid
The Kansas City Chiefs may not have had a perfect season, but they were the last team standing in Las Vegas on February 11, 2024. Kansas City defeated the San Francisco 49ers in a 25-22 overtime thriller in Super Bowl LVIII.
The Chiefs were slim two-point favorites to beat the 49ers at Super Bowl betting sites. They were also heavy favorites to win the AFC West crown, which they accomplished fairly easily. The Chiefs’ 2024-25 AFC West champion odds suggest they’re in line for another divisional crown.
Good morning 😁
Have a great week, Chiefs Kingdom! pic.twitter.com/NExl84iKSf
— Kansas City Chiefs (@Chiefs) June 17, 2024
Given their offseason moves, there isn’t any reason to believe the Chiefs aren’t the team to beat again. They made a giant splash by re-signing defensive tackle Chris Jones to a five-year, $160 million contract.
In addition to Jones, the Chiefs brought back Super Bowl-winning TD pass catcher Mecole Hardman. They also retain solid depth in the backfield with Clyde Edwards-Helaire’s return. The offense has missed Tyreek Hill’s presence, so they signed speedster Marquise Brown in the offseason and drafted Xavier Worthy.
The Chiefs’ defense finished second in the NFL, yielding 289.8 yards and 17.3 points allowed per game. Expect the defense to be dominant again, with more weapons offensively to give Mahomes help. As favorites to win the AFC West and Super Bowl, the Chiefs aren’t going anywhere in 2024!
Los Angeles Chargers (+365)
- AFC West Position in 2023-24: 4th
- Key Players In: Hayden Hurst (TE), Gus Edwards (RB), Denzel Perryman (LB)
- Key Players Out: Mike Williams (WR), Keenan Allen (WR)
- Head Coach: Jim Harbaugh
After a disastrous 5-12 campaign in 2023-24, the Los Angeles Chargers are looking to new head coach Jim Harbaugh to fix this team. Harbaugh spent the last nine seasons with the Michigan Wolverines, leading his alma mater to a national title in January.
petition to mic up coach harbaugh every day pic.twitter.com/XtP1ruld7d
— Los Angeles Chargers (@chargers) June 18, 2024
Harbaugh has his quarterback with Justin Herbert. The strong-armed quarterback passed for 3,134 yards, 20 touchdowns, and seven interceptions in 2023-24. This season, Herbert will be without two of his favorite targets.
Mike Williams signed a one-year deal with the New York Jets. Meanwhile, Keenan Allen was traded to the Chicago Bears for a 2024 fourth-round pick. Those are two big targets gone, but Harbaugh wants this to be a run-first, pass-second team.
Harbaugh will demand excellence from his offensive line. However, the Chargers don’t have the personnel up front yet to make that work. Nor did the Chargers do enough to address a soft defense that conceded 362.9 yards and 23.4 points per game.
The Chargers will show improvement, but Harbaugh requires more time, so their AFC West odds are off the mark at +365. Instead, I have the Chargers at +425, with an implied chance of 19% to win the division.
Las Vegas Raiders (+1100)
- AFC West Position in 2023-24: 2nd (8-9)
- Key Players In: Christian Wilkins (DT), Harrison Bryant (TE), Alexander Mattison (RB)
- Key Players Out: Jimmy Garoppolo (QB), Hunter Renfrow (WR), Josh Jacobs (RB), Amik Robertson (CB)
- Head Coach: Antonio Pierce
The Las Vegas Raiders enter the 2024-25 campaign looking for progress in Antonio Pierce’s first season as the full-time head coach. Pierce supplanted Josh McDaniels on an interim basis after he was fired mid-season.
Pierce led the Raiders to a 5-4 record amid turmoil in the offense. The Raiders started the season with Jimmy Garoppolo under center, and ended with rookie Aidan O’Connell starting. O’Connell passed for 2,218 yards, 12 touchdowns, and eight interceptions.
O’Connell was solid enough to earn a spot atop the depth chart heading into the 2024-25 campaign. The team signed Gardner Minshew for support behind O’Connell, but I don’t view either option as ideal. The backfield took a hit with Josh Jacobs opting to sign with the Green Bay Packers.
Is Maxx Crosby the best pass rusher in the league? pic.twitter.com/L77GRFU5r1
— PFF (@PFF) June 7, 2024
Defensively, the Raiders will continue to generate a pass rush with Maxx Crosby off the edge. They added Christian Wilkins in free agency, but need another body for the defensive line to develop into a dominant unit. From my initial analysis, the Raiders should hover around .500 again this season.
The Raiders’ AFC West champion odds are accurate at +1100.
Denver Broncos (+1900)
- AFC West Position in 2023-24: 3rd (8-9)
- Key Players In: Zach Wilson (QB), Bo Nix (QB), Josh Reynolds (WR), Brandon Jones (S)
- Key Players Out: Russell Wilson (QB), Justin Simmons (S), Jerry Jeudy (WR), Lloyd Cushenberry (C), Josey Jewell (LB)
- Head Coach: Sean Payton
The Denver Broncos are expected to be a landfill of misfortune in the 2024-25 season. After the Russell Wilson experiment failed, it’s back to the drawing board for the Broncos. Any fan expecting a quick turnaround is being too optimistic.
Wilson is out under center, while Jarrett Stidham, rookie Bo Nix, and Zach Wilson will battle for the starting job. Three quarterbacks and not one clear starter. Currently, Stidham is on top of the depth chart, but that could change quickly if Nix has a strong training camp.
Bo Nix slingin’ it on Day 2 of Broncos minicamp #BroncosCountry pic.twitter.com/6Hjha4ikGC
— DNVR Broncos (@DNVR_Broncos) June 12, 2024
In addition to quarterback problems, wide receiver Jerry Jeudy is no longer a Bronco. The QB room will go through plenty of growing pains with Jeudy not stretching the field. Josh Reynolds comes over from the Detroit Lions, and should be fine opposite Courtland Sutton, but doesn’t move the meter.
The defense will also be without safety Justin Simmons after they failed to come to terms with him in free agency. Brandon Jones is a serviceable replacement, but not a massive upgrade in the secondary.
The odds to win the AFC West for the Raiders is too low here. I have them at +2500, so don’t consider backing the Raiders to capture the AFC West title on sports betting apps.
AFC West 2025 Predictions and Best Bet
I’d like to pick a different team than the Chiefs as a heavy favorite, but they don’t have the best competition in the AFC West. The Chargers are expected to improve following an ugly 5-12 season. However, Harbaugh needs time to implement his new system.
In due time, the Chargers will turn around, but they are still a couple of steps behind Mahomes and the Chiefs. The Broncos and Raiders are non-starters for me, so by default, the Chiefs are the pick to win the AFC West in 2025.
The Chiefs have faced some distractions in the offseason, and they could face some fatigue after their second consecutive Super Bowl and third in five seasons.
That being said, they are still the team to beat against weak competition in the AFC West. My predictions for the AFC West include the Chiefs winning and Chargers finishing two or three games short, so back Kansas City!
