The Australian Open women’s winner odds for 2025 are out for the tournament that runs from January 12-26. It’s time to analyze the latest lines and the main contenders if you want to bet on the competition.
Two-time defending champion Aryna Sabalenka is again expected to make a deep run and retain her crown as the leading favorite in the Australian Open odds. Let’s break down her chances, plus cover all the favorites, potential sleepers and our best Australian Open women’s predictions in this preview.
2025 Australian Open Women’s Outright Winner Odds
The following Australian Open women’s winner odds are courtesy of Bovada.
| PLAYER | ODDS |
|---|---|
| Aryna Sabalenka | +225 |
| Iga Swiatek | +400 |
| Coco Gauff | +400 |
| Elena Rybakina | +700 |
| Qinwen Zheng | +1600 |
| Mirra Andreeva | +1800 |
| Jessica Pegula | +2000 |
| Karolina Muchova | +2000 |
| Naomi Osaka | +2200 |
| Barbora Krejcikova | +3300 |
The women’s odds to win Australian Open on the WTA side make two-time defending champion Sabalenka the clear favorite at +225 odds. This gives her an implied probability of 30.77%.
Other short Australian Open women’s favorites include Iga Swiatek and Coco Gauff, both at +400 and Elena Rybakina at +700. After that, there’s a drop to double-digit returns for the likes of Qinwen Zheng, Mirra Andreeeva and others.
The Australian Open odds may be appealing on Zheng (+1600), Karolina Muchova (+2000), Jessica Pegula (+2000) and Ons Jabeur (+4000 not shown), but note that none of those four, despite strong overall performances in recent years have never won a major.
You can find even longer prices for the other underdogs at Bovada, so check out the site for more AU Open women’s odds.
Women’s Australian Open 2025 Top Favorites
Let’s cover the top three betting favorites in the odds to win the WTA Australian Open.
Aryna Sabalenka (+225)
The winner of the past two Aussie Opens, Sabalenka is the oddsmakers’ favorite for a three-peat, something that hasn’t been done in this event since Martina Hingis won in 1997, 1998 and 1999.
Sabalenka is at the peak of her career and starts 2025 as the World No. 1 in the WTA Rankings.
Last season, despite getting sick during the French Open and missing out on Wimbledon, Sabalenka made the most finals appearances with seven, earned the most prize money, and won the Player of the Year Award.
WTA awards for the 2024 season.
🔹Player of the Year – Aryna Sabalenka.
🔹Doubles Team of the Year – Jasmine Paolini & Sara Errani.
🔹Comeback Player of the Year – Paula Badosa.
🔹Newcomer of the Year – Lulu Sun.
🔹Most Improved Player of the Year – Emma Navarro. pic.twitter.com/FJNqwUI6yc
— The Tennis Letter (@TheTennisLetter) December 9, 2024
She won two majors, starting the year winning the Australian Open and ending the slam season winning the US Open. Overall, she won four titles and had a 56-14 match record on the season.
Sabalenka is always a strong bet when making women’s Australian Open predictions as she’s reached at least the semifinals in seven of the past eight grand slams. She’s also won each of the past three hard-court majors, so the odds of +225 for her to go all the way in Melbourne look generous.
Iga Swiatek (+400)
There were mixed results for Swiatek in 2024. She dominated from a wins and losses standpoint with a 61-9 match record and won five titles, the most of any women on tour. However, she only won one slam, winning the French Open over Jasmine Paolini. At the Paris Olympics, she took home bronze.
A doping suspension that cost her a month of play was the low of the season, but only saw her miss out on three tournaments.
A better clay-court specialist than hard-court player, Swiatek has yet to win an Australian Open title despite being a five-time slam winner. The last time she even reached the semis in Australia was in 2022 and she has never reached the final.
2025 sees Swiatek as the World No.2. She started strong, winning four of five matches at the United Cup, advancing to the final with Poland, eventually losing to the USA. Still, he struggles on hard courts in slams is a worry, so backing her at these odds is not ideal.
Coco Gauff (+400)
Speaking of the United Cup, it was Gauff and Team USA that defeated Swiatek and the Poles. Gauff beat Swiatek 6–4, 6–4 in their United Cup matchup and has won their past two meetings. However, the Polish star does hold an 11-3 all-time edge.
2024 didn’t see Gauff reach any major finals but she claimed four titles, three singles and one doubles. Her 54-17 record was impressive, and she ended the year on a 15-2 run. That included straight-sets wins over both Swiatek and Sabalenka on her way to winning the WTA Finals.
That success has continued to 2025 as the World No. 3 was perfect in the United Cup winning all five matches without losing a single set.
united cup champions ❤️🇺🇸🦅 #diggingdeep #shovelsout pic.twitter.com/x7A4g5sIyD
— Coco Gauff (@CocoGauff) January 6, 2025
Gauff is certainly a threat based on current form, but Sabalenka will likely be a problem in the Australian Open.
Women’s Australian Open 2025 Sleepers
Here are three more players with legitimate chances to upset the Australian Open women’s winners odds at longshot prices.
Qinwen Zheng (+1600)
Zheng has yet to win a major title in her career but has been knocking on the door, including reaching the Australian Open Final last year and the quarterfinals of the US Open.
A season that saw her go 50-18 while winning three WTA titles were career-highs and the season culminated by coming oh-so-close to winning the WTA Final, losing in a three-set tiebreak to Gauff.
Zheng’s highlight of the season was taking home Gold at the Paris Olympics and at +1600 in the Australian Open women’s odds, the WTA’s 5th-ranked player certainly offers some tempting betting value.
Jessica Pegula (+2000)
If you’re backing Pegula as an Australian Open sleeper pick, you’ll need to monitor her recent injury leading up to the tournament. Pegula had a good 2024 at 39-16, winning two titles. However, she suffered a knee injury during the WTA finals, which already re-appeared this season forcing her to withdraw from Brisbane as well.
The World No. 7 only made it to the Round of 64 in Australia last year but had reached the quarterfinals in three-straight years prior. She also went all the way to the US Open Final, her first Grand Slam Final, before losing to World No. 1 Sabalenka.
If Pegula is anywhere near her best, the odds of +2000 offer fantastic value.
Jasmine Paolini (+2800)
One of the surprise breakout players of 2024 was Jasmine Paolini from Italy. The 29-year-old had never advanced past the Round of 64 in any major prior to the 2024 season. However, she reached the quarterfinals of both the Australian Open and US Open, and the finals of both the French Open and Wimbledon.
Paolini took home five titles in 2024 (but only in singles), while winning doubles gold at the Olympics and was part of the winning Italian team at the Billie Jean Cup.
WORLD CHAMPIONS!! 🇮🇹 pic.twitter.com/LnqMkFKems
— Jasmine Paolini (@JasminePaolini) November 20, 2024
Now No. 4 in the WTA Rankings, an Australian Open outright bet at 28-1 on Paolini certainly is worth consideration when making Australian Open women’s predictions.
Women’s Australian Open 2025 Predictions and Betting Pick
There aren’t many past winners among the favorites in the Australian Open women’s winner odds. Outside of Sabalenka, only Naomi Osaka who won in 2021 and 2019 is anywhere near the favorites at +2200.
Other players that have had success in recent years by making the Aussie Open Final include Danielle Collins (2022), Elena Rybakina (2023) and Zheng (2024). While Rybakina and Zheng are contenders, Collins is way down the oddsboard at +6600.
Given her dominance in this tournament and in any hard-court event, I’m picking Sabalenka to three-peat in this year’s Australian Open predictions. She’s already started 2025 with a bang, winning the Brisbane International, only dropping one set along the way to victory.
Sabalenka’s been too good to ignore in Melbourne, so getting +225 for he is an excellent bet.
Where to Bet on the Australian Open 2025?
Bovada is one of the top tennis betting sites and has you covered during the 2025 Australian Open with match odds, player props and futures bets for each quarter and Australian Open outright winner futures for both the women’s and men’s singles tournaments.
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