Awards season is in full swing, so it’s time to check out the latest 2025 BAFTA odds. The British Academy Film Awards is among the industry’s most prestigious honors as a precursor to the Oscars.
In this article, we delve into the latest prices to win the major categories, my analysis, and BAFTA predictions.
2025 BAFTA Betting Odds and Quick Predictions
The following BAFTA Awards odds are courtesy of Bovada:
| AWARD | BETTING FAVORITE | BAFTA PREDICTION |
|---|---|---|
| Best Actor | Adrien Brody – The Brutalist (-120) | Ralph Fiennes – Conclave (+300) |
| Best Actress | Demi Moore – The Substance (+110) | Mikey Madison – Anora (+225) |
| Best Director | Brady Corbet – The Brutalist (-300) | Brady Corbet – The Brutalist (-300) |
| Best Film | The Brutalist (+100) | The Brutalist (+100) |
The latest BAFTA betting odds suggest we are expected to have a tight race in many categories. Entertainment betting sites aren’t giving any nominee a huge advantage for Best Film or Best Actor/Actress. It’s a toss-up in all three categories.
There has been movement in the BAFTA betting markets since mid-January. In the Best Director category, Brady Corbet’s (-300) lead continues to grow on the field. As the largest favorite on the board, Corbet has a 75% implied chance of winning — up from 73.3% at -275.
The Brutalist (+100) has edged ahead as the betting favorite for Best Film at the BAFTAs. Conclave regressed to the second-best BAFTA odds, but it remains a tight race, according to the betting markets.
American bettors can find the latest 2025 BAFTA Awards betting odds at Bovada by navigating to All Sports > Entertainment > BAFTA Awards.
If you’re located outside of the USA, we recommend using Bet365 for betting on the BAFTAs.
BAFTA 2025 Best Actor Odds and Prediction
ACTOR ODDS Adrien Brody – The Brutalist -120 Ralph Fiennes – Conclave +300 Timothee Chalamet – A Complete Unknown +400 Hugh Grant – Heretic +800 Sebastian Stan – The Apprentice +2000 Colman Domingo – Sing Sing +3000
Fresh off his win at the Golden Globes, Adrien Brody is favored to win the BAFTA for Best Actor. He is fantastic as Laszlo Toth in post-WWII The Brutalist and has been widely recognized for his work in the film.
Brody’s BAFTA odds for Best Actor have improved since our last update in January. He has shifted to -120 from even odds at Bovada. In short, Brody now has an implied chance of 54.5% to win after sitting at 50% previously. That being said, there is strong value elsewhere for this award.
The movement in the market has resulted in Ralph Fiennes seeing excellent value to win! Now, at +300, Fieness is well worth considering for your BAFTA 2025 betting picks.
Ralph Fiennes wins Actor of the Year for ‘CONCLAVE’ at the London Critics’ Circle Film Awards. pic.twitter.com/INikeg15m5
— Film Updates (@FilmUpdates) February 2, 2025
Fiennes has been a fixture in the awards circuit this year, and is the winner of the Actor of the Year award at the London Critics’ Circle Film Awards. In addition to the BAFTAs, he is nominated for Best Actor at the Academy Awards and the SAG Awards.
In particular, the SAG Awards have been warming up to his portrayal of Cardinal Lawrence. The Screen Actors Guild has overwhelmingly positive reviews, so he is in good standing heading into the most prestigious award ceremonies.
My main concern is that the third round of voting hasn’t happened yet, and Brody is in the midst of an AI controversy. Simply put, The Brutalist is being accused of using AI to tweak Brody’s accent in the film. Is this enough to persuade voters to enter their vote for another actor?
It was going to be a close race to begin with, so even if a few voters change their minds, it could be the difference! The best betting value here is on Fiennes to take home the BAFTA for Best Actor.
BAFTA 2025 Best Actress Odds and Prediction
ACTRESS ODDS Demi Moore – The Substance +110 Mikey Madison – Anora +225 Marianne Jean-Baptiste – Hard Truths +300 Karla Sofia Gascon – Emilia Perez +1000 Cynthia Eviro – Wicked +2500 Saoirse Ronan – The Outrun +2500
Demi Moore remains the favorite to win Best Actress at the 2025 BAFTAs! The 62-year-old Moore has fallen out of favor with bettors slightly, however.
Moore’s BAFTA odds have shifted from even odds to +110. In other words, her chances dropped from 50% to 47.6%, according to the latest 2025 BAFTA Awards odds at online betting sites.
The way I see it, the Best Actress category will come down to Demi Moore and Mikey Madison. Madison was favored to win at the Oscars before Moore pulled off the upset for Best Actress at the Golden Globes.
It was not only a big score for Moore, but also for the horror genre. Horror movies winning major awards are uncommon. However, Moore was able to lead The Substance into the winner’s circle for her performance.
It was the first Golden Globe in Moore’s career, and she can add a BAFTA only weeks later. Madison’s odds to capture Best Actress have improved modestly over the past few weeks. She is down to +225 after owning a +250 price last month.
Everything will be okay. ANORA, starring Mikey Madison, is now playing in select theaters: https://t.co/AxKk1V9l7H pic.twitter.com/J2NW0bKXxV
— NEON (@neonrated) November 1, 2024
The 25-year-old known for her role as exotic dancer Anora in Anora, has received great recognition from BAFTA. In addition to her Best Actress nod, she received a nomination for Rising Star. Despite the loss at the Golden Globes, there is excellent value on Madison to win at +225 odds!
For your 2025 BAFTA predictions, consider placing a wager on Madison to win Best Actress.
2025 BAFTA Best Director Odds and Prediction
DIRECTOR ODDS Brady Corbet – The Brutalist -300 Edward Berger – Conclave +500 Sean Baker – Anora +600 Jacques Audiard – Emilia Perez +1200 Coralie Fargeat – The Substance +2000 Denis Villeneuve – Dune: Part 2 +3000
Corbet remains a heavy favorite to win the BAFTA for Best Director! At -300, The Brutalist director has a 75% chance to win the award. In January, Corbet had a price of -275, so public sentiment at online bookies is up on the 36-year-old.
Will the AI controversy push voters elsewhere, though?
Although it’s something to discuss, it is unlikely to sway voters when it comes to Best Director. Regardless if it was used or not, Corbet did a fantastic job, and has already been recognized with a big win at the Golden Globes. In addition to the Globe, Corbet captured the 2024 Silver Lion for Best Director.
Congratulations to Brady Corbet for winning the award for Best Director – Motion Picture for The Brutalist! #GoldenGlobes pic.twitter.com/mtX2diTulS
— Golden Globes (@goldenglobes) January 6, 2025
Corbet started his career in film as an actor and has blossomed into an award-winning director. He’s well-liked by his peers and will likely have the votes at the BAFTA Awards, too.
Although a better price than -300 would be welcome, I’m still on board with Corbet to win Best Director for my BAFTA picks!
BAFTA 2025 Best Film Odds and Prediction
FILM ODDS The Brutalist +100 Conclave +150 Emilia Perez +700 Anora +1200 A Complete Unknown +5000
The BAFTA 2025 betting odds for Best Film have witnessed a shake-up over the past few weeks. The Brutalist has shifted into the betting favorite role after jumping from +125 to even odds. Meanwhile, Conclave has regressed from -110 to +150, or an implied probability of 52.4% to 40%.
The latest odds for the BAFTAs suggest we have a duel between The Brutalist and Conclave. Per my 2025 BAFTA Awards predictions, I have to side with what is a great price at +100 on The Brutalist. Conclave is one of my favorite movies of the year, but The Brutalist has slightly more appeal for Best Film.
I don’t believe voters will completely throw The Brutalist out due to the questions with AI. As I noted above, it should have an impact on Brody’s chances to win Best Actor. Again, the controversy is primarily with his accent, which has been blown out of proportion by some pundits.
Adrien Brody tells us how ‘THE BRUTALIST’ is a “remarkable achievement on director Brady Corbet’s part”
“It was a tremendous amount of preparation in anticipation of a very tight shoot schedule with financial limitations, this could have easily took much more time to do” pic.twitter.com/qd6SpmCeoD
— DiscussingFilm (@DiscussingFilm) January 11, 2025
There are elements of editing, including accents, on every major film. With this in mind, it’s highly unlikely that The Brutalist will be punished in the Best Film category. It is certainly worth discussing, but thanks to it, we are getting top value on The Brutalist to win at even money!
Where to Bet on the 2025 BAFTA Awards?
BAFTA Awards odds can only be found on offshore sportsbooks in the US. Bettors interested in wagering on the awards show must register at a betting site offering odds.
As a result, The Sports Geek recommends signing up at Bovada, where you can access all the latest prices to the major categories for the BAFTA Awards. Place your bets on the BAFTA odds at a reliable, safe, and experienced online bookie at Bovada.
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If you’re located outside of the US, Bet365 is an excellent choice for the BAFTAs. The sportsbook has a bonus for new players (exact offer depends on your country) and competitive odds.
