On Friday, November 17, Bellator will be live from the Wintrust Arena in Chicago, Illinois, for Bellator 301: Amosov vs. Jackson. This massive 18-fight card will begin at 5pm ET.
Keep reading to see the latest odds for this event, according to the top Bellator betting sites. I will break down each fight and give you my Bellator 301 predictions.
Bellator 301 Main Card Predictions
The following Bellator 301 predictions are for the five-fight main card, which is scheduled to start at 9pm ET. Bellator odds are courtesy of BetOnline.
A.J. McKee (-220) vs. Sidney Outlaw (+180)
The Bellator 301 main card starts with a lightweight bout between A.J. McKee and Sidney Outlaw. Sports betting sites have McKee (-220) listed as the favorite for this fight.
McKee (20-1) is 4-1 in his last five fights, with his only loss coming via decision in a rematch with Patricio Pitbull. He submitted Pitbull in their first fight to win the Bellator MMA featherweight title. McKee moved up to lightweight after losing the rematch at Bellator 277.
Outlaw (17-5) is just 3-2 in his last five fights, with both of his losses during that stretch coming via first-round KO. He has not been as active as McKee, fighting just three times in the last three years. His inactivity and struggles with cutting weight could cost him against McKee.
I believe McKee will get the win this Friday and continue moving up the lightweight rankings. McKee is currently ranked sixth and could be in line for at title shot if he beats the fifth-ranked Outlaw.
Raufeon Stots (-170) vs. Danny Sabatello (+140)
The best MMA betting sites have Raufeon Stots (-170) as a slight favorite for his bout at Bellator 301. Stots is scheduled to take on Danny Sabatello (+140) at bantamweight.
Both fighters are coming off a loss. Stots was knocked out by Patchy Mix at Bellator 295, ending his 11-fight win streak. Sabatello, on the other hand, was submitted by Magomed Magomedov in July.
This is a rematch from Bellator 289 when Stots beat Sabatello via split decision. Stots was able to use his striking to overcome Sabatello’s wrestling in their first matchup. Unfortunately for Sabatello, I think Stots can use a similar game plan this time around.
Stots’ grappling was at a high enough level to minimize Sabatello’s best skill. Assuming that he has continued to work on his takedown defense, Stots should be able to handle Sabatello in the rematch.
Patricky Pitbull (+400) vs. Alexander Shabliy (-550)
The biggest underdog on the Bellator 301 main card is Patricky Pitbull. BetOnline has Pitbull listed at +400 in the latest Bellator 301 odds. He is scheduled to take on Alexander Shabliy at lightweight.
This fight is a part of the lightweight tournament semi-finals. Shabliy (23-3) has won eight straight fights, with his last loss coming in November 2016.
These fighters have combined for 29 KO wins in their careers, so this fight should end inside five rounds. Pitbull appears to be on the downslope of his career, and I believe he will suffer another loss this weekend. Shabliy will finish Pitbull via TKO/KO for his 24th career win.
(c)Sergio Pettis (+215) vs. Patchy Mix (-275)
The co-main event for this Bellator card will unify the bantamweight title. Sergio Pettis is the champion, while Patchy Mix is the reigning interim title holder. Mix (-275) is the favorite to walk out of this one with the belt.
Pettis has won six straight fights, but he will also be at a significant size disadvantage. Mix stands at 5’11”, giving him a five-inch height advantage over Pettis. He also has a 2.5 inch reach advantage.
Mix has finished his opponents in 14 of his 18 career wins, including four of his last five victories. Most of his success has come on the ground, and Mix has 12 submission wins in his career. This fight is scheduled for five rounds, so Mix will have plenty of time to work toward another finish in this one.
(c)Yaroslav Amosov (-275) vs. Jason Jackson (+215)
This action-packed card also features a title fight in the main event. Yaroslav Amosov will put his welterweight title on the line against Jason Jackson. Amosov (-275) is a moderate favorite to retain his belt.
Jackson (16-4) has won six straight fights, all by unanimous decision. Amosov, on the other hand, is a perfect 27-0, earning nine KOs and 10 submissions since turning pro in 2012. However, most of those finishes came early in his career before he joined Bellator.
Jackson will have the size and reach advantage, but I do not think that will be enough for him to overcome Amosov. The champion is simply too well-rounded of a fighter and will have the advantage wherever this fight goes.
Bellator 301 Preliminary Card Predictions
In addition to the exciting main card, Bellator 301 features 13 prelim fights with a 5pm ET start time. Check out my predictions for this huge preliminary card.
Daniel James (+135) vs. Ali Isaev (-165)
The main event of the Bellator 301 prelims pits Daniel James against Ali Isaev. Isaev (-165) is a slight favorite in this heavyweight matchup, according to the oddsmakers at BetOnline.
James is coming off a loss that ended a five-fight winning streak. Prior to his decision loss to Gokhan Saricam, James had finished five straight opponents at heavyweight. He has 10 KOs and 4 submission victories in his career.
Isaev is also looking to bounce back after a disappointing finish in his last outing. He fought Steve Mowry to a majority draw, putting the first blemish on his 9-0 record. It was Isaev’s first fight since 2019.
Despite the odds, I think James (+135) will be the one getting his hand raised. Isaev was a dominant force prior to his time off, but his extended time away from the cage cannot be discounted. I believe James will be extra motivated following his loss and will do everything he can to put Isaev away.
Tyrell Fortune (-155) vs. Marcelo Golm (+125)
The co-main event on the prelim card also features an exciting matchup. Tyrell Fortune (-155) is a slight favorite against Marcelo Golm (+125) in their heavyweight matchup.
Both fighters have strong wrestling skills, but they have also leaned on their striking to win in their careers. Fortune has earned eight of his 13 career wins via KO. He was also a D-II wrestling champion in college, so he has a strong grappling background.
Golm (10-4) has seven KO wins in his career so far. He is 4-2 since 2019, and all of his fights over that stretch have finished inside the distance.
I believe Fortune has the edge in this fight. As we saw in Golm’s last outing, he can tire himself out by grappling too much early in the fight, leaving himself open to be knocked out. Fortune has the skills to counter Golm’s wrestling, and the power to finish him later in the fight.
Denise Kielholtz (+120) vs. Sumiko Inaba (-150)
Denise Kielholtz (+120) is a slight underdog as she takes on the undefeated Sumiko Inaba (-150) at flyweight. Kielholtz has a background in kickboxing and Muay Thai, but she only has two KO wins in her career. Inaba is a skilled striker in her own right, and I believe she will be able to get another win this weekend, improving to 7-0 as a pro.
Timur Khizriev (-300) vs. Justin Gonzales (+240)
MMA oddsmakers have Justin Gonzales (+240) as a moderate underdog against Timur Khizriev (-300) this week. Khizriev (13-0) is undefeated and I do not see that changing this weekend. Both fighters have relied heavily on the judges’ scorecards to win and I think Khizriev’s grappling will allow him to out-point Gonzales in this featherweight fight.
Archie Colgan (-1000) vs. Pieter Buist (+700)
Archie Colgan (-1000) is the biggest favorite in the latest Bellator 301 odds. Colgan (8-0) is scheduled to take on Pieter Buist (17-7) at lightweight. Buist has lost three straight and I believe he will lose this weekend when he faces Colgan, who has five KO wins already in his career.
Juliana Velasquez (-400) vs. Paula Cristina (+300)
Another exciting prelim fight for Bellator 301 is the flyweight bout between Juliana Velasquez (-400) and Paula Cristina (+300). Both women are 1-2 in their last three fights after starting their careers undefeated. I believe Cristina will get the win and hand Velasquez her third straight loss.
Keri Taylor-Melendez (-245) vs. Sabriye Sengul (+195)
The undefeated Keri Taylor-Melendez (-245) puts her 5-0 record on the line against Sabriye Sengul this week. Taylor-Melendez has three finishes so far in her young career and looks to get a sixth against the 0-1 Sengul. Assuming she can make weight, I think Taylor-Melendez will be able to cruise to victory in this flyweight bout.
Matheus Mattos (-220) vs. Richard Palencia (+180)
BetOnline has Matheus Mattos listed as a -220 favorite against Richard Palencia (+180) at Bellator 301. Palencia (10-1) suffered a leg injury during his fight at Bellator 286, resulting in his first career loss. He’s had over a year to recover, and I believe that Palencia will get the victory in this bantamweight contest.
Mike Hamel (-210) vs. Tim Wilde (+170)
Mike Hamel and Time Wilde have been on hot streaks lately, with both lightweight fighters winning four of their last five bouts. The pair face off this week with Hamel (-210) favored to pick up the win. Wild has the size and reach advantages, though, and I believe he can use his length to secure the upset victory.
Islam Mamedov (-165) vs. Killys Mota (+135)
A 160-pound catchweight will be used for this fight between Islam Mamedov and Killys Mota. Mamedov (-165) is the favorite and he has the overall skillset to pick up the victory this weekend.
Cody Law (-245) vs. Jefferson Pontes (+195)
Cody Law (6-2) has lost two-of-three, but he is a -245 favorite against the undefeated Jefferson Pontes (+195) this week. Pontes is making his Bellator debut, but I think he can make a successful jump to the big leagues and pick up the win in this featherweight fight.
Ramazan Kuramagomedov (-600) vs. Randall Wallace (+425)
Another fighter putting their undefeated record on the line is Ramazan Kuramagomedov (-600). He is scheduled to take on Randall Wallace at welterweight. Kuramagomedov is a heavy favorite who will defeat Wallace to improve to 12-0.
Yves Landu (-200) vs. Isao Kobayashi (+160)
The Bellator 301 opening bout is a featherweight matchup between Yves Landu (19-9) and Isao Kobayashi (27-5-2). Landu (-200) is a moderate favorite in this matchup of MMA veterans. However, I think Kobayashi will be the one getting his hand raised as he makes his return to Bellator.
