Our experts deliver their best NBA player props daily in this article, after doing the hard work and digging through all the basketball bets available today. Their predictions are based on statistical analysis, expertise, and a close look at the latest trends in the league.
Here’s an overview of the best NBA player prop bets tonight, March 11.
Best NBA Player Props Today, March 11
| PROP BET | MATCHUP | ODDS | BOOKIE |
|---|---|---|---|
| Total Points: Cameron Johnson (BKN) Over 15.5 | Brooklyn Nets vs. Cleveland Cavaliers | -125 | Bovada |
| Total Points: Pascal Siakam (IND) Under 21.5 | Milwaukee Bucks vs. Indiana Pacers | -120 | Bovada |
| Total Three Pointers: James Harden (LAC) Over 3.5 | LA Clippers vs. New Orleans Pelicans | -125 | Bovada |
We use the odds of the safest NBA betting sites and provide reasoning for our NBA player props for today in the next section, so check it out for more details on each pick. We also have a separate post with NBA first basket predictions today, so feel free to check that one, as well.
Best NBA Player Prop Bets for Today (With Reasoning)
Let’s explore the reasoning behind our best NBA player prop bets today, March 11:
Total Points: Cameron Johnson (BKN) Over 15.5 (-125)
The Brooklyn Nets’ Cameron Johnson is in a solid position for the Nets on Tuesday night. Johnson heads into today’s festivities at Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse with 18.9 points per game on 47.4% shooting from the field.
The 29-year-old from Pennsylvania has scored a minimum of 17 points in three straight starts. Additionally, Johnson has breached 16+ points in eight of his previous ten performances, including a strong effort versus the Lakers last night.
CLUTCH CJ MIDDY! 🔥 pic.twitter.com/jOkslnh5Qf
— Brooklyn Nets (@BrooklynNets) March 11, 2025
He is in top form at the moment and I suspect he’ll play a big role on the road against the Cavaliers. The upcoming opponents are a tough matchup, but this number appears a couple of points too short. The small forward has scored 18.6 points with a 47.2% field goal percentage on the road in 2024-25.
With this in mind, Johnson over 15.5 points is one of the best NBA player prop bets tonight!
Total Points: Pascal Siakam (IND) Under 21.5 (-120)
The Pacers welcome the Bucks at Bainbridge Fieldhouse on Tuesday night. It’s a tough matchup for the Pacers on a back-to-back. Last night, Indiana had a discouraging performance in a 121-103 loss to the Bulls.
It can’t get much worse for Pascal Siakam and the Pacers. They looked disinterested in the game and now must contend with the Bucks on tired legs. Siakam scored just 14 points in the losing effort. He’s notched 21 or fewer points in eight of his previous 11 starts.
Overall, Siakam has netted 20.7 points per game through 63 games this season. He should have a tough time versus a Bucks squad against which he has struggled in the past. In 26 games, Siakam has scored 17.7 points per game versus Milwaukee.
I don’t foresee Siakam getting to 22 points, so consider siding with the under for your NBA player props today.
Total Three Pointers: James Harden (LAC) Over 3.5 (-125)
James Harden and the LA Clippers are in Louisiana for a Tuesday night matchup versus the New Orleans Pelicans. Harden should have success against a Pelicans’ defense giving up big points from three.
The 35-year-old veteran is shooting 34% from three this season. It isn’t the best strike rate for Harden, but he keeps firing away. Note that Harden is attempting an average of 8.7 three-pointers per game.
14-0 run by the Clippers capped off by a triple from James Harden 💥 pic.twitter.com/7SeNuKjrfg
— NBA TV (@NBATV) January 26, 2025
Expect Harden to let it fly often against the Pelicans. He’s hit 4.6 three-pointers per game over his last three starts.
New Orleans is 29th in the NBA, with 14.7 three-pointers conceded per game. Teams are taking advantage of the Pelicans’ woeful defense on the perimeter and knocking down threes.
In short, Harden over 3.5 three-pointers is one of the best NBA player prop bets on Tuesday.
Where to Find the Best NBA Player Props Today?
If you want to follow our NBA player prop predictions or are simply interested in a good bookmaker for these types of bets, we strongly recommend checking Bovada.
The sportsbook offers hundreds of props for all NBA games and a fantastic welcome bonus of 100% up to $1,000 with a promo code, BV1000.
Welcome Bonus
100% up to $1,000
- Wide-ranging sportsbook and live betting platform
- Top-notch poker room with numerous tournaments
You must be logged in to comment. Don't have an account? Sign up today.