Best Wimbledon Sleepers: Can Fritz Shock the World?

Matteo Berrettini (+2100)

Playing on a grass court is a significantly different animal compared to playing on clay or a hard court. There isn’t a huge pool of players who are experts on the grass and struggle elsewhere.

However, 28-year-old Italian Matteo Berrettini is a player on the ATP Tour who excels on grass courts. Berrettini is most comfortable in grass court tournaments, where he typically has an upper hand over opponents that aren’t the best on this surface.

Flourishing on grass 🤲🌱

Matteo Berrettini wins his First Round match against Alex Michelsen 7-6(5), 6-2!#TerraWortmannOpen pic.twitter.com/i5sAU6HG21

— Tennis Channel (@TennisChannel) June 19, 2024

Since the 2019 season, Berrettini has a rock-solid record of 40-8 in matches on grass! Berrettini has won 17 matches over his previous 20 assignments. The savvy grass specialist won back-to-back titles at the London Queen’s Club Championship in 2021 and 2022!

Overall, he’s won eight ATP Tour championships in his career. Although Berrettini hasn’t won Wimbledon, he reached the final in 2021 against Novak Djokovic. He lost in four sets, but it was a valiant effort from Berrettini.

Back on the grass at the All England Lawn Tennis and Croquet Club, expect Berrettini to be an outside threat to win his first Wimbledon title! Berrettini at +2100 is a strong value bet, so consider backing him at MyBookie.

Taylor Fritz (+3300)

In 2000, Pete Sampras won his seventh Wimbledon title. Little did everyone know at the time that another American wouldn’t win for over two decades. 24 years later and the US drought continues.

Is there a chance that San Diego native Taylor Fritz is the one to end it? The 26-year-old is currently in strong form in the Queen’s Club Championship. As the No. 4 seed, Fritz is expected to go deep in the event.

Fritz played well in the French Open, but the event was cut short in a four-set loss to Casper Ruud. Ruud is a clay court player first and foremost, while Fritz has enjoyed more success elsewhere. That being said, Ruud is talented enough to consider for your Wimbledon 2024 predictions, too.

Earlier in his career, Fritz struggled to gain any traction on grass, but he’s improved considerably. Since 2019, Fritz is 22-11 in his previous 33 grass surface matches with the Queen’s Club Championship in progress.

Sealed with an ace 😉@Taylor_Fritz97 defeats Raonic in a tight 7-6 6-4 to make the quarter-finals at Queen's#CinchChampionships pic.twitter.com/rTI4mZp4HY

— Tennis TV (@TennisTV) June 19, 2024

At +3300, Fritz has just an implied chance to Wimbledon of 2.9% at the best sports betting sites. However, this makes for a solid value play on Fritz as one of the best Wimbledon men’s sleepers to consider backing!

Mirra Andreeva (+1600)

Moving onto the Wimbledon women’s sleepers with top betting value, rising star Mirra Andreeva is worth a look at +1600. The 17-year-old is on the heels of a terrific performance at Roland Garros.

Andreeva is the youngest player since Martina Hingis in 1997 to reach the semifinals in a Grand Slam on the WTA Tour. The No. 23 ranked player on the WTA Tour has an elite skill set, with it only being a matter of time before she captures a major title.

What a way to qualify for your first Grand Slam semi-final 🤯#RolandGarros pic.twitter.com/GLSO8LX6tD

— Roland-Garros (@rolandgarros) June 5, 2024

Not many people expected Andreeva to blossom so early in her career. However, she continues to grow and develop as a player. After such a huge confidence boost, expect Andreeva to expedite her development process and find more success.

In 2024, Andreeva is 17-8 in singles matches this year, and an overall career record of 92-26. She hasn’t played in many grass surface matches, but has learned fairly quickly!

Andreeva owns a 12-2 record on the grass, with a win percentage of 85.71%. Can she follow up her success at Roland Garros with another deep push on Centre Court at Wimbledon?

There is a Grand Slam title in her future, so anytime you can get a solid price on Andreeva consider backing her. Currently, Andreeva’s odds at Bovada are a bet worth looking into this year at Wimbledon.

Caroline Garcia (+2500)

30-year-old Carolina Garcia is searching for the first Grand Slam title of her career. Could it come on the hallowed grounds of the All England Lawn Tennis and Croquet Club?

Although Garcia has impressive accolades attached to her name, the native of Saint-Germain-en-Laye, France, has never won a major championship. She took home the 2022 WTA Finals title against the world’s best, but a Grand Slam has eluded her.

🇫🇷 ALLEZ CARO 🇫🇷@CaroGarcia fights past Andreescu to pick up her third career grass court title 🏆#BadHomburgOpen pic.twitter.com/JR8K3OolVK

— wta (@WTA) June 25, 2022

The world No. 22 has shown glimpses of strong play on grass courts in past tournaments. Garcia owns a record of 24-11 in grass surface matches since 2019. She reached an all-time high ranking of No. 4 in 2018, but Garcia has improved on the grass since then.

Garcia’s Wimbledon 2024 women’s odds don’t give her much of a chance. She has only an implied chance of 3.8% at Everygame, though Garcia has a stronger opportunity than the odds suggest.

With this in mind, consider Garcia for your best Wimbledon women’s sleepers!