Deal or No Deal Island 2024 Betting Odds and Predictions

As the inaugural season of Deal or No Deal Island enters its fourth week of competition, the best entertainment betting sites have released updated 2024 Deal or No Deal Island odds. The show is hosted by Joe Manganiello.

I explore the latest odds and get you up to speed with what has happened through the first three weeks on the Banker’s private island in Panama. Additionally, below, you can find my Deal or No Deal Island predictions.

Deal or No Deal Island 2024 Winner Odds

The following Deal or No Deal Island 2024 odds are courtesy of BetOnline:

Following three episodes, the 28-year-old native of Musgeko, Wisconsin, Dawson Addis, is favored to win Deal or No Deal Island. At +250, Addis has an implied probability of 28.6% to win the Survivor-esque reality TV show.

Stephanie Mitchell (+400) and Nick Grasso (+400) are deadlocked with the second-shortest 2024 Deal or No Deal Island betting odds. The most well-known player of the game, Survivor alumnus “Boston” Rob Marino, is tied for the sixth-best odds at +800.

Ready to play at BetUS?

Visit BetUS

Deal or No Deal 2024 Top Contenders

Check out the top contenders to win Deal or No Deal Island, according to the latest odds at online sportsbooks:

Dawson Addis (+250)

Addis has asserted himself as the most valuable player on Deal or No Deal Island. The Wisconsin native currently works as a realtor and bar manager. He is self-described as an avid fitness enthusiast who works out every day.

In preparation for Deal or No Deal Island, Addis added more cardio to his workout routine and binge-watched episodes of Survivor and Big Brother¹. The 25-year-old hit the ground running fast on the Banker’s private island.

Addis discovered the $1 million briefcase and was granted temporary immunity from elimination. Despite finding the $400,000 case initially, Addis was determined to find the $1 million to guarantee that he was safe from facing the Banker.

In the latest episode of Deal or No Deal Island, Addis once again avoided the ongoing drama and elimination. With the $500,000 briefcase, Addis was safe in second behind Mariano’s $1 million case.

Stephanie Mitchell (+400)

The 41-year-old mom of four, and the first Black midwife in Alabama, Dr. Stephanie Mitchell is one of the most intelligent contestants on Deal or No Deal Island².

Mitchell does not describe herself as a survival expert, but her difficult upbringing and journey to becoming a doctor have prepared her for the twists and turns that Deal or No Deal Island throws in her direction.

Before Claudia Jordan exited the Banker’s private island in the third episode, Jordan offered Mitchell her briefcase. Jordan, in possession of a “steal”, asked the doctor to take her briefcase.

Originally, the strategy was for the group to take Kim Mattina’s briefcase, but Mitchell withdrew herself from the plan. Ultimately, Mitchell didn’t accept Jordan’s briefcase, which pitted Jordan up against the Banker and subsequently a trip back home.

Nick Grasso (+400)

Currently, Nick Grasso’s Deal or No Deal Island odds are tied with Mitchell. Both contestants have an implied chance of 20% to win the game.

The sanitary worker hails from Brooklyn, New York. Grasso believes that his time working long hours outside in the elements gives him an edge over the competition³.

Additionally, Grasso was a collegiate athlete, with a spot on the Brooklyn College Bulldogs’ basketball squad. He is physically gifted and a major threat to Addis’ athletic prowess.

Thus far on Deal or No Deal Island, Grasso has managed to play the game under the radar without any large targets on his back. He hasn’t made any notable or exceptional moves to hurt his odds of winning Deal or No Island 2024.

Alyssa Klinzing (+500)

Miss Kansas 2019, Alyssa Klinzing, traded in her tiara for the Banker’s strenuous obstacles on his private island. The former Disney castmate is determined to be the last one standing against the Banker in the season finale.

Klinzing has accomplished a great deal off the pageant stage, including knowing American Sign Language (ASL) and Signing Exact English (SEE). For her ten years of service as a Girl Scout, Klinzing was awarded the Silver Award in 2012⁴.

The traits that Klinzing learned as a Girl Scout have assisted in her reaching the fourth episode of Deal or No Deal Island. She has also shown the ability to strategize, as she was the mastermind behind trying to get Mattina off the island.

Klinzing proposed the idea of taking Mattina’s briefcase if the group found a “steal” and dropping her to the bottom two. However, Jordan ultimately went home after losing in the “Deal or No Deal” round versus the Banker in the evening.

Jordan Fowler (+600)

Nashville resident Jordan Fowler is the last of our favorites in the 2024 Deal or No Deal Island odds. Originally from the Bay Area, Fowler moved to Nashville to pursue a career in marketing.

Despite a lack of survival skills, Fowler’s healthy lifestyle and staying in strong physical shape have assisted her during her time on Deal or No Deal Island. She has managed to largely avoid the recent drama between Jordan, Mattina, and the rest of the group.

Nevertheless, Fowler isn’t scared of taking risks and could wait for the perfect moment later in the game to take a big chance. She is one of the outside contenders to be aware of as the game progresses.

2024 Deal or No Island Winner Pick Prediction and Betting Pick

For our top 2024 Deal or No Deal Island predictions, I am leaning towards the favorite at +250 odds. There isn’t another more complete player than Addis on Deal or No Deal Island.

It is abundantly clear that Addis went into this endeavor with a winning attitude. In addition to preparing himself physically for the tough physical challenges, Addis studied strategies from Survivor and Big Brother before landing on the Banker’s private island.

As soon as Addis hit the island, he had a $1 million briefcase mentality or bust. Addis discarded his $400,000 briefcase to collect the $1 million case in the season premiere.

Rather than focus on drama and outside distractions, Addis is laser-locked on the physical challenges and locating the most lucrative briefcases. While the drama played out between Claudia Jordan and Mattina, Addis maintained his attention on playing the best possible game.

Consider a win bet on Addis for one of your top Deal or No Deal Island betting picks.

More Deal or No Deal Island Odds and Predictions in 2024

There is a total of three 2024 Deal or No Deal Island betting picks available at BetOnline. Along with the odds to win the reality TV show, there are two prop bets on the sex of the winner and Over/Under on the grand prize that is awarded in the Deal or No Deal Island season finale.

With our top pick on Addis to win, I like a male to win the show at -140 odds. Note that two of the top three favorites are men. With that in mind, there is value in a man to win Deal or No Deal Island at -140.

Furthermore, the Over/Under for the winner’s prize is currently set at $500,000.5. The Under is favored at -300 odds. I suspect the oddsmakers believe that the grand prize will be $500,000. However, at +200, there is strong value on the prize eclipsing $500,000.

I am leaning towards Addis taking home $1 million. He has consistently aimed for the largest briefcases throughout the game. In the final showdown against the Banker, I expect Addis to go big for a shot at more than $500,000.