The EFL Cup 2025 Final odds suggest that Liverpool should easily dismantle Newcastle on Sunday. The Reds are the reigning League Cup winners and almost certainly EPL champions, but they just knocked out of the Champions League.
Anything can happen in a final, especially against a Newcastle team that is bound to give the favorite a fight. Can the Magpies win or will Liverpool bounce back after a tough game against PSG on Tuesday?
I explore the odds and analyze both sides, before sharing my EFL Cup Final prediction below!
EFL Cup Final: Liverpool vs. Newcastle Betting Odds and Lines
Before we dig into the details, here’s an overview of the main Liverpool vs. Newcastle odds for the EFL Cup 2025 Final, courtesy of Bovada:
| Outcome | Odds |
|---|---|
| Liverpool to win | -160 |
| Newcastle to win | +390 |
| Draw | +320 |
| Liverpool -1 spread | +105 |
| Newcastle +1 spread | -125 |
| Liverpool to lift the trophy | -300 |
| Newcastle to lift the trophy | +240 |
No big surprises here – Liverpool is the heavy favorite coming into the EFL Cup 2025 Final. Slot’s team is favored to win in regular time (-160), which perfectly depicts their form this season.
As for Newcastle, they continue to fight for the EPL top 4 and could use this opportunity to finally seize a trophy. However, knowing how much they’ve been fluctuating all season long, it’s no wonder Newcastle is at +390 to win this one in 90 minutes.
On top of the markets you see above, Bovada has a ton of prop bets and specials for the final, so check the sportsbook’s options if you’re looking for something different for this game.
Liverpool – Can They Bounce Back after the PSG Loss?
Liverpool was on the hunt of a treble up to this Tuesday, which was quite unexpected. Many believed the Reds will suffer after Jurgen Klopp’s exit, but he left a strong team for Arne Slot. The Dutchman is taking full advantage, with Liverpool cruising to the Premier League title.
The big question here is how big of an impact the PSG defeat will have on the team. It was a dramatic clash, with extra time and penalties, so Liverpool certainly will be tired emotionally and physically.
However, Liverpool’s bench will be of crucial importance due to fatigue and injuries. Slot will have to rotate after such a tough game on Tuesday.
Konate and Alexander-Arnold are doubtful for the final, joining Joe Gomez and Conor Bradley. On the bright side, Cody Gakpo is back and might be in contention to start the final.
Either way, Liverpool have loads of quality and experience on the team. They struggled against a well-oiled PSG, but Newcastle won’t be able to apply the same pressure.
The Magpies are not that good on the ball, so Liverpool should be able to dominate most of the match.
Newcastle – Can The Magpies Save Their Season?
Even though Newcastle dismantled Arsenal in the EFL Cup semifinals, they’re still the heavy underdogs coming into the final. They just haven’t been consistent enough this season. Just look at their last five EPL matches – 3 losses and 2 wins against opposition of questionable quality at best.
Plus, this will be their third EFL Cup Final and they’re yet to win it. This psychological barrier ought to play a big role too.
In terms of the last H2H clashes, it’s safe to say Liverpool are the dominant force. Let’s put it this way – the last time Newcastle managed to beat Liverpool was almost a decade ago. It happened on 6th December 2015 when Newcastle beat the Reds 2:0 thanks to Skrtel’s and Wijnaldum’s goals.
If the Magpies were at full strength for Sunday’s game, I can definitely see them taking advantage of Liverpool’s grueling clash against PSG. However, Newcastle will be without Lewis Hall, Sven Botman, and Anthony Gordon because of injuries and suspensions.
Losing Gordon is a huge miss, in particular, simply because the team doesn’t have a player of a similar quality.
Liverpool vs. Newcastle Prediction and Betting Pick
The PSG clash will definitely weaken Liverpool for the EFL Cup Final on Sunday, but I don’t think Newcastle will take full advantage of the situation because of their injuries and suspensions.
It will come down to depth and confidence, so Liverpool is the better choice here. The Reds should control the game and create enough opportunities to score, so the -160 available for them to win in regular time is the best bet for the EFL Cup Final.
