Eurovision 2025 Betting Odds and Predictions: Who Wins the Song Contest?

Eurovision 2025 Betting Odds and Predictions: Who Wins the Song Contest?

The Eurovision odds for the upcoming edition highlight two major favorites 2025! I explore the prices and best bets on the board to win Eurovision in Switzerland on May 17.

We know most of the artists now, so we have a lot of information to work with! Below, check out my odds, analysis of the main favorites, and 2025 Eurovision predictions!


Eurovision 2025 Winner Odds

The following betting odds for Eurovision are courtesy of Bovada:

COUNTRYODDS
Sweden+210
Austria+250
France+500
Israel+650
Netherlands+1000
Belgium+2000
Finland+2000
Albania+2500
Estonia+2800
Ukraine+3000
Malta+5000
Italy+8000

Sweden (+210) remains the betting favorite to win Eurovision 2025. The Swedes hold a leading 32.3% implied chance to win, which is an improvement from +600 and 14.3% when the markets opened at entertainment betting sites last year. It’s also a solid jump from the Eurovision odds in mid-March, as Sweden was +325 previously.

The huge movers over the last two weeks is Austria (+250), whose odds to win Eurovision have skyrocketed! Austria has flown up the board from +1200 to +250 in just two weeks. The implied probability for the country to win has changed drastically — from 7.7% to 32.3%.

Meanwhile, Finland (+2000) has fallen out of the picture. Note that Finland had the third-best price before tanking to +2000 from +750 in mid-March. France (+500) has slipped slightly, but it isn’t as much of a concern from their previous position of +400.

You can find up-to-date Eurovision 2025 odds at Bovada by navigating to Sports > Entertainment > Eurovision Song Contest.


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Past Eurovision Song Contest Winners

In 2023, Loreen was the odds-on favorite to win Eurovision 2023 from the initial stages. She stood above the rest for her song “Tattoo”. There were no discernible weaknesses in her performance. Loreen beat the field as the favorite, but in 2024, Nemo shocked Europe to win with “The Code”.

Since 2012, Sweden has won the Euro Song Contest thrice, the most during that period. Ukraine has an opportunity to join Sweden with three Eurovision titles within the last ten years.

The country won Eurovision in 2016, 2022 and is on the cusp of grabbing another victory as one of the favorites in 2025. Let’s look back at the last ten years of Eurovision Song Contest winners since 2015:

YEARARTIST/SONGCOUNTRY
2024Nemo “The Code”Switzerland
2023Loreen “Tattoo”Sweden
2022Kalush Orchestra “Stefania”Ukraine
2021Maneskin “Zitti e buoni”Italy
2020CanceledCanceled
2019Duncan Laurence “Arcade”Netherlands
2018Netta “Toy”Israel
2017Salvador Sobral “Amar Pelos Dois”Portugal
2016Jamala “1944”Ukraine
2015Mans Zelmerlow “Heroes”Sweden


Eurovision 2025 Betting Favorites

Before delving into our top 2025 Eurovision picks, let’s analyze the top three favorites. Note that we will provide updates on the Eurovision odds as soon as performers for each country are released.

Sweden (+210)

Since Abba’s win at Eurovision 1974, the Swedes have consistently pumped out talent to send to the singing competition. In 2023, Sweden won their seventh Eurovision title to tie Ireland for the most all-time.

Sweden’s representative, Loreen, was a heavy favorite to win, and cleared the competition in the Grand Final. It was the second win for Loreen after she captured the award in 2012, too. Sweden has won three titles over the last 12 years, including in 2015 with Heroes by Mans Zelmerlow.

Comedy musical act, KAJ, will be representing Sweden after winning the selection contest. The trio edged out Mans Zelmerlow in a shocker KAJ is performing their song “Bara Bara Bastu” for Eurovision 2025. In the same light as Baby Lasana, this is a “joke” act that just works with the public.

They don’t take them too seriously and probably didn’t expect to go this far but now have the best odds of winning Eurovision! The song has gotten so popular that it was recently No. 1 on Spotify’s Daily Global Viral Chart.

I foresee Sweden doing incredibly well in the televote. They’re already attracting a large fanbase and the votes should be plentiful from viewers watching at home.

It’s worth noting that the three members of the group are Finnish, so they’ll get the vote from their Scandinavian neighbors. With Team Finland falling well out of contention recently, Sweden is the next best vote for the Finns! However, will “Bara Bara Batsu” resonate with the jury? There is a chance it catches on.

Austria (+250)

Austrians rejoice! The latest markets for the Eurovision 2025 betting odds reveal that Austria is now a strong contender to take the title. Earlier this year, the country wasn’t even on anyone’s radar for a Eurovision winner pick.

However, Austria is on the move, and may not be stopped now! Represented by singer-songwriter JJ, Austria is getting worldwide attention as hype builds for Eurovision 2025.

Why is JJ suddenly getting attention? For one, the staging for his performance is expected to be incredible and unprecedented. Eurovision has seen some impressive staging performances in the past, but JJ is turning things up a notch for voters.

The artist’s live performance of “Wasted” is expected to combine several unique elements. Recent reports suggest that JJ will incorporate camera angles that are a first for Eurovision. Additionally, water and rain elements are in the plans, as well as a boat will be part of the act.

We’ll have to wait and see what Austria has in store for us, but if JJ can pull it off, they will likely be instant favorites to win Eurovision 2025. In addition to the stunning staging expected, JJ’s raw talent is undeniable, so he is a deserved favorite heading into the contest!

France (+500)

Team France has flown up the board and is a hot option to win Eurovision 2025. France has won Eurovision five times but hasn’t captured the title since 1977! Perhaps it’s finally time for the French side to bring home the Eurovision crown again?

The onus falls on Louane, who is likely to be a big fan favorite. The 28-year-old star was selected internally by the French committee, so she didn’t get here by beating any competition. That being said, Louane is well-known in France and a safe choice.

According to Spotify, Louane has roughly 2.5 million listeners and has 1.64 million subscribers on YouTube. In other words, a lack of experience and stage presence is not going to be an issue for Louane at all. She is a well-polished performer, and the stage at Basel 2025 won’t be too big for her.

Louane recently released the song she’ll be performing for France at Eurovision 2025. Unsurprisingly, it’s an emotional ballad, as is typically the case with Louane. “Maman” is about her mother who passed away in 2014 after battling a lengthy illness. You shouldn’t be surprised when this performance does very well in the televote.

Also, she has a large fanbase of young fans, who will undoubtedly give her a boost. I’m confident that the jury will be excited about Louana as well, so France has a big chance at +500! That said, France’s Eurovision odds have slipped recently due to Austria’s meteoric rise.


Best Eurovision 2025 Longshot Bets

In addition to the favorites, there are a couple of underdogs worth keeping in mind for your Eurovision 2025 predictions and picks. These two selections include a ton of betting value, so we suggest considering them for your best Eurovision bets at great odds:

  1. 1. Czechia (+10000)

    From my perspective, Czechia is getting insane value to win the Eurovision Song Contest at +10000! There are acts with +2000 to +3000 odds that I don’t see carrying nearly as much value as Czechia at this fantastic price.

    Represented by Slovakian singer Adonxs, Czechia will be aiming at at least reaching the finals. Performing pop song “Kiss Kiss Goodbye”, Adonxs is on the rise and one of the most underrated artists in the competition this year.

    With this in mind, the Eurovision Song Contest 2025 odds of +10000 is a bet that can’t be ignored. Although Adonxs faces an uphill battle against the favorites, a small wager is worth considering. I don’t expect this price to last as the competition progresses, so now is a good time to support Czechia to win Eurovision.

  2. 2. Germany (+10000)

    Another huge longshot Eurovision bet to think about backing is on Germany at +10000! The Germans aren’t getting much love in the Eurovision betting markets. As a +10000 underdog, Germany seemingly has a tough road ahead. However, I view this as being outstanding value for Germany to sneak in and win the competition.

    Attila Bornemisza and Tunde Bornemisza, known as Abor & Tynna, will perform “Baller” on the Eurovision stage. The upbeat hip hop/dance music song should be Germany’s best chance to win in years. They haven’t won Eurovision since 2010, which was 28 years following their first victory!

    Defeating the top contenders is going to be difficult, but a small play at +3500 is warranted on Germany.


Eurovision 2025 Predictions and Betting Pick

France and Austria are my top considerations to win Eurovision this year. However, when it comes down to it, I believe the hype for JJ and Austria is real. The second-to-none staging is what will likely put Austria ahead of France and the rest of the field.

Bettors realized this and jumped all over Austria when they had +1200 odds. The infusion of money at sportsbooks has resulted in Austria’s price flying! In any event, before the favorite’s odds shorten even further, this is a good time to bet on Austria to win Eurovision 2025.

JJ’s staging may end up being an epic flop, but from everything I’ve heard, it’s set to be a fantastic display. Also, it’s important to note that JJ is more than just staging, too. “Wasted Love” holds up as a winner by itself without the standout staging.

Everything considered, Austria is my top Eurovision winner pick at +250 odds!

The Bet
Austria


Where to Bet on Eurovision 2025 Odds?

You don’t have to wait for the Grand Final to place your bets on Eurovision 2025! The odds for Eurovision are currently available on offshore sportsbooks. For our top recommendation for Eurovision betting, we suggest highly-rated Bovada to place your bets.

Bet on your favorite countries and get in on the best value at Bovada today! The sportsbook offers a can’t-beat betting bonus for new customers. Register to claim a $1,000 match bonus by using promo code BV1000!


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About the Author
Kyle Eve profile picture
Kyle Eve
Editor in Chief
Kyle Eve is Editor-in-Chief of The Sports Geek, providing reliable analysis for millions of readers since joining the team in 2012. After placing his first sports bet on his 18th birthday, Kyle has devoted his entire adult life to becoming the best bettor he can be. He’s covered some of the biggest sporting events in the world, from the Super Bowl and World Series to the NBA Finals and Kentucky Derby. Kyle lives in Windsor, Ontario.
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