2024-2025 FA Cup Odds and Predictions – Can Liverpool Assert Their Dominance?

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Finn Archer
Finn Archer in Soccer
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2024-2025 FA Cup Odds and Predictions – Can Liverpool Assert Their Dominance?

2024-25 FA Cup odds have the big names at the top of the list for the oldest club football tournament in the world! The FA Cup was first played during the 1871-72 season, and it’s the tournament where you’ll most likely see a major upset. Can the big fish avoid being overtaken by the minnows?

I’ll take a look at the FA Cup betting odds for the favorites, and give you a few sleepers to consider. After the article, I’ll give you my FA Cup winner predictions!

FA Cup 2025 Outright Winner Odds

TEAMODDS
Manchester City+350
Arsenal+650
Liverpool+700
Chelsea+900
Newcastle+1100
Manchester United+1200
Tottenham+1400
Aston Villa+1600
Brighton and Hove Albion+2000
West Ham+2500

Manchester City (+350) open as the favorites at offshore sportsbooks, according to the 2024-25 FA Cup odds, giving them an implied probability of 22.2% to win the trophy! They’ve been in the final in each of the last two years, and even recent struggles haven’t stopped them from topping the board at Everygame!

Arsenal (+650) are next with a 14.3% implied chance of winning, followed by Liverpool (+700) at 12.5%. The usual suspects are also in the mix as Chelsea (+900), Newcastle (+1100), defending champs Manchester United (+1200), and Tottenham (+1400) have implied probabilities ranging from 10% to 6.7%.

Our FA Cup betting odds are courtesy of Everygame, and you can find them by going to Sportsbook > Soccer > English FA Cup.

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2024-205 FA Cup Format Explained

The FA Cup format has changed drastically from last season, so let’s take a look at the most important adjustments.

  1. The most significant change is that there won’t be replays anymore, which hurts smaller teams to manage to eke out a draw in the first leg against a bigger club. If the second leg is hosted by the smaller club, that’s more money in their pocket.

    It’s more beneficial to the bigger clubs, who may be in a European competition, along with the Premier League. Now, it’ll be a single-game tie, with extra time and penalties to decide the winner.

  2. The draw is completely random, which can lead to some fun moments for players and fans alike.

    For example, you can get big matches in the third round in January as Arsenal hosts Manchester United. But you can also get fifth-tier Tamworth hosting Tottenham. It’s all about the “magic of the FA Cup”.

  3. The fourth and fifth rounds of the FA Cup will now be played on weekends exclusively, with no Premier League games to compete with. The same goes for the FA Cup final, which will be played on the Saturday of the penultimate weekend of the Premier League season.

Main Favorites for the FA Cup in 2025

Let’s kick off the proceedings with a look at the top favorites to win the 2024-25 FA Cup!

Manchester City (+350)

Manchester City getting FA Cup odds as short as this, as of early December, is interesting, when you consider they haven’t won in seven straight games, losing six of those. It’s the worst period of Pep Guardiola’s career.

However, City gets so much respect as they have reached the final in each of the last two seasons, beating Manchester United 2-1 in the 2023 FA Cup final.  United got their revenge in the 2024 final by the same scoreline.

The loss of Rodri to a knee injury has been lethal for City, but they still have a wealth of talent, such as striker Erling Haaland, and attacking midfielder Phil Foden. But you could see City ramping up to try to chase down Liverpool in the Premier League, so the FA Cup might not be their priority.

City will host Salford City in a Manchester derby in the third round, so that should be an easy start for the favorite.

Arsenal (+650)

The Gunners are another team looking to challenge Liverpool in the Premier League, and they’ve won 14 FA Cups, more than any other team. Arsenal fell to Liverpool in the third round last season, losing 2-0 at home.

Arsenal has a fascinating matchup with Manchester United in the third round, so the FA Cup will be without one of England’s powerhouses going forward.

Arsenal has looked better since captain Martin Odegaard has returned from injury. That takes pressure off Bukayo Saka to create everything, and the Gunners are still solid in midfield and at the back.

This is definitely a team whose FA Cup betting odds you should consider!

Liverpool (+700)

Liverpool is the dominant team in England right now, as they have a seven-point lead on Arsenal and Chelsea at the top of the Premier League!

That means they might be able to rotate in stronger squads for the FA Cup, which they’ll open in the third round with a home game against Accrington Stanley. They’ve won eight FA Cups, most recently in 2022.

A contract dispute with Mohamed Salah hasn’t slowed down Liverpool, as they’re getting great seasons from Luis Diaz, Alexis Mac Allister, Ryan Gravenberch, and captain Virgil van Dijk at the back. Of course, Salah is fantastic as well and arguably the best player in the Premier League so far. They have numerous players who are candidates for your soccer player prop picks every week!

Arne Slot had big shoes to fill in taking over for Jürgen Klopp, but he is doing an outstanding job so far. At +700, Liverpool’s FA Cup soccer odds are incredible right now!

Chelsea (+900)

Speaking of new managers, Enzo Maresca has changed the culture at Chelsea, which was a mess last season. Not only has he steadied the ship, but Maresca has Chelsea in second place in the Premier League!

They’ll host Morecambe at Stamford Bridge to open up their FA Cup campaign. Their most recent of eight FA Cups came in 2018.

Attacking star Cole Palmer has a shout for Player of the Season so far, while striker Nicolas Jackson has added solid finishing to his repertoire. They’re strong in midfield with Moises Caicedo and Enzo Fernández, but there are questions about Chelsea at the back. The main issue is injury, as Reece James and Wesley Fofana are out for a while, and keeper Robert Sanchez is shaky.

But Maresca has Chelsea playing with confidence, and that makes the Blues a dangerous side!

Top FA Cup 2025 Dark Horses

Let’s go down the board at Everygame and check out some of the teams that offer higher returns!

Manchester United (+1200)

Manchester United are the defending champions, and their 13 FA Cup wins are second only to Arsenal. However, the win in the final over Manchester City last year was the highlight of the Erik ten Hag era, which ended in October.

Ruben Amorim is in charge after a successful period in Portugal, and started two wins and a draw in his first three games in Manchester. United heads to Arsenal for their third-round matchup, a team that just beat them in the Premier League.

The attacking players look as good as they have in months, led by Marcus Rashford and Bruno Fernandes. The midfield is still light, and there are injury worries at the back. But like Chelsea, United looks confident now, and they look confident in the manager’s system. With FA Cup odds like these, Manchester United are worth a look.

However, it should be noted that no team has won back-to-back FA Cups since Arsenal in 2014 and 2015. Furthermore, playing against Arsenal in London in the third round is among the worst draws United could have gotten.

Aston Villa (+1600)

Aston Villa is in a tough spot right now, as they just ended a nine-game winless streak. They did lose in a fourth-round replay against Chelsea last season, but Villa was busy working hard to qualify for the Champions League, which they did.

The Villains get West Ham in the third round of their FA Cup campaign. It has been a long time since Aston Villa has lifted the FA Cup, as they haven’t won it since 1957!

Villa has a talented squad, but Ollie Watkins is misfiring up front, which is a major source of their problems. They might also be stretched by the added games in the Champions League. On the bright side, they have Emiliano Martínez, who can win them a game or two between the sticks.

They also have a manager in Unai Emery, who has won a few knockout tournaments in his day, including four Europa Leagues with Sevilla and Villarreal. Don’t count out the Villains’ FA Cup betting odds at soccer betting sites just yet!

Brighton and Hove Albion (+2000)

Brighton and Hove Albion have never won the FA Cup, and has only made one final, losing to Manchester United over two legs in 1983. But they continue to supply the bigger names of the Premier League with great players, such as Mac Allister (Liverpool) and Caicedo (Chelsea). Brighton will head to Norwich City in their third-round FA Cup match.

Fabian Hürzeler is the youngest Premier League manager ever at just 31 years old, but he’s brought tremendous energy to the side. Midfielder Carlos Baleba, Caicedo’s replacement, looks to be a future star at 19.

Brighton sits fourth in the Premier League so far, which might not be sustainable, but they’d be a good bet for an FA Cup run at online sportsbooks! With some luck in the draw, you never know.

FA Cup 2025 Predictions and Betting Picks

Manchester City’s FA Cup odds are being overvalued based on what they’ve done in the past. Even though they could absolutely turn it around, we need to see it first.

Arsenal might not have the squad depth to compete in the FA Cup, Premier League, and the Champions League. Their matchup with Manchester United will knock out one of these big names.

Liverpool’s odds are too tasty to overlook at +700, and they can rotate their team, thanks to their big lead in the Premier League. I’m putting Liverpool in my 2025 FA Cup predictions for this season because those odds offer some outstanding value for a team of their caliber.

The Bet
LIVERPOOL
+700
BET NOW

If you’re looking for a sleeper pick, look no further than Brighton and Hove Albion at +2000! They have the energy to get the bigger clubs in trouble and play like a team with nothing to lose.

They can get goals from Danny Welbeck, Joao Pedro, and Kaoru Mitoma. Brighton also only has the Premier League and the FA Cup to worry about, with no European competitions. If they can be a little sturdier at the back, Brighton could definitely overcome the FA Cup betting odds!

The Bet
BRIGHTON AND HOVE ALBION
+2000
BET NOW!

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About the Author
Finn Archer profile picture
Finn Archer
Finn is an experienced writer (having published articles under the name Phil Bowman) and longtime sports enthusiast based in Europe. His particular passion lies in soccer, as both a die-hard fan and seasoned bettor. That said, he’ll dabble in anything involving a ball, bat, or boxing gloves! He’s learned from his share of bad bets over the years and is keen to impart his wisdom so you don’t make the same mistakes. Since joining TSG, Finn has also gained valuable knowledge in the world of online casinos.
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