The Final Four Most Outstand Player odds for 2025 had a clear favorite for the award in Cooper Flagg! However, Duke collapsed down the stretch to fall to Houston in the Final Four. Now, you’ll find the stars for the Cougars and the Florida Gators at the top of the list!
In this article, I explore the latest NCAA Most Outstanding Player odds for the 2025 tournament, analyze the top contenders and share my Final Four MOP prediction!
2025 Final Four Most Outstanding Player Odds
See the table below for the updated NCAA MOP odds, courtesy of BetUS.
| PLAYER | ODDS |
|---|---|
| Walter Clayton Jr. (Florida) | -110 |
| LJ Cryer (Houston) | +130 |
| Emanuel Sharp (Houston) | +1400 |
| J’Wan Roberts (Houston) | +1400 |
| Alijah Martin (Florida) | +2200 |
| Thomas Haugh (Florida) | +4000 |
| Milos Uzan (Houston) | +4000 |
| Will Richard (Florida) | +6500 |
| Alex Condon (Florida) | +10000 |
| Joseph Tugler (Houston) | +10000 |
With Duke’s Cooper Flagg out of the NCAA Tournament, Florida’s Walter Clayton Jr. (-110) takes over the status of favorite! The Gators star has an implied win probability of 52.4% to win, and given his exploits in late-game situations so far, Clayton Jr. is a deserved favorite here. It also helps that the Gators are slightly favored over Houston in the March Madness odds heading into tonight’s title game!
L.J. Cryer (+130) of the Cougars isn’t far behind Clayton Jr., coming in with an implied win chance of 43.5%. College basketball betting sites have stated that the winner of Monday night’s game will be led by their star guards, and those players are Clayton Jr. and Cryer.
The 2025 Most Outstanding Player odds drop to the Houston duo of Emanuel Sharp (+1400) and J’Wan Roberts (+1400), and Florida’s Alijah Martin (+2200). The implied win probabilities here range from 4.3% to 6.7%, so you can get nice returns on anyone outside the two favorites!
There are also genuine longshots, such as Florida’s Thomas Haugh (+4000) and Houston’s Milos Uzan (+4000). But these two and anyone else with longer odds will need to have a monster game to win the NCAA Most Outstanding Player award.
You can find even more players than the options listed above at BetUS, by going to BetUS > Basketball > NCAAM Awards > MOP.
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2025 Final Four Most Outstanding Player Favorites
Before I give my Final Four Most Outstanding Player prediction, let’s take a closer look at the leading contenders for the award this year.
Walter Clayton Jr. (Florida) (-110)
Clayton Jr. has the inside track on the award, according to the Most Outstanding Player award for 2025! The senior guard has been nothing short of phenomenal in the postseason, averaging 24.6 points and shooting 50% from the field, 48.7% from three-point land, and 90.5% from the foul line.
WALTER CLAYTON JR WAS UNSTOPPABLE VS AUBURN 😤
– 34 PTS
– 11/18 FG
– 5/8 3PT
– Advances to National Championship pic.twitter.com/8s3URp85RB— House of Highlights (@HoHighlights) April 6, 2025
The Florida native, who transferred from Iona in 2023, has been at his best as the Tournament has progressed. He scored 30 for the Gators in an 84-79 win over Texas Tech, and 34 in a 79-73 win over Auburn, both games in which Florida had to overcome a deficit.
When the tough gets going, Clayton Jr. buckles down and hits big shots for his team. There are only two players with consecutive games of 30 points in the Elite 8 or later: Larry Bird and Clayton Jr. That’s hefty company to be in.
Clayton Jr. made first team All-American and is the player Florida looks to when they need a big shot. He has come up big so far, but can Clayton Jr. make it count in the championship game?
L.J. Cryer (Houston) (+130)
Clayton Jr. could end up going toe-to-toe with Cryer, who made the All-American third team. Like Clayton Jr., Cryer is also a transfer as he played his first three seasons at Baylor. He didn’t play much when the Bears won the national title in 2021, but Cryer has been in these situations and has produced in the clutch for Houston!
“Let’s face it. He kept Houston in the game Saturday by himself.”@stlappas on @UHCougarMBK star LJ Cryer’s performance against Duke pic.twitter.com/piv5iiSNKY
— CBS Sports College Basketball 🏀 (@CBSSportsCBB) April 6, 2025
Cryer dropped 26 in the Cougars’ huge 70-67 win over Duke in the Final Four, knocking out Flagg;s Blue Devils. He has averaged 18.6 points in the NCAA Tournament, shooting 40.8% from the field, but 45.2% from beyond the arc, along with 84.2% from the free-throw line.
The senior guard also takes incredible care of the ball, as Cryer has just two turnovers in the Tournament, while averaging 34.4 minutes a game with the ball in his hands a lot.
Houston is here because of a defense that is the best in the country, but they do need to put up points. That usually falls in the lap of Cryer, and if Houston wins, it’s because he had another great game. His Most Outstanding Player odds are definitely worth considering!
Best 2025 MOP Sleepers
With only two teams left, the paths to the national championship and the MOP award are clearer than ever. There are great sleeper options available for the MOP.
2025 MOP Prediction and Best Bets
I made Florida my March Madness prediction to win tonight against Houston, so I’m also backing Walter Clayton Jr. at -150 for my Most Outstanding Player prediction! There is a world in which Martin has a big night while the Cougars focus on Clayton Jr., but I think the All-American can shake free and get to his spots!
Clayton Jr. has been getting tons of attention from opposing defenses all season, but the game slows down for him when it gets close. It won’t be easy, but I think he does enough to win the MOP, so let’s take Walter Clayton Jr. at -150!
If you want to take a sleeper bet as well, go with Alijah Martin at +2200, who should have a big night if Houston is too obsessed with Clayton Jr.
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