Jake Paul vs. Mike Tyson Betting Odds and Predictions

Jake Paul vs. Mike Tyson Betting Odds and Predictions

The Jake Paul vs. Mike Tyson odds are still available, even if the match was postponed for November 15. The top boxing betting sites didn’t move the lines much, despite Mike Tyson’s health issues.

Originally, the fight was booked at the AT&T Center for July 20. However, Paul and Tyson have settled on an alternate date for the highly anticipated gimmick bout. What will happen when the 27-year-old YouTube star turned boxer takes on the legend “Iron Mike”?

If you want a quick recap, please consider watching my betting preview:

Below, check out the updated betting odds, analysis, and my Jake Paul vs. Mike Tyson predictions!


Jake Paul vs. Mike Tyson Betting Odds

The following Tyson vs. Paul betting odds are courtesy of Bovada:

BOXERODDS
Jake Paul-225
Mike Tyson+185

Paul (-240) is an odds-on favorite to defeat Tyson in Arlington, Texas, on November 15. “The Problem Child” was a -240 favorite, which afforded Paul a 70.6% chance to beat Tyson. Paul has since moved to -225, which dropped his implied probability to 69.2%.

The price to beat Tyson has dropped since the betting markets opened in March at Bovada. He was a -450 favorite to beat Tyson in a ten-round fight. The fight calls for eight rounds, so Tyson gained a slight advantage over ten rounds.

Also, the betting public jumped on the early Tyson odds as an underdog. Even though he faced health complications, the odds haven’t moved much since the postponement was announced.

You can find the latest up-to-date Mike Tyson vs. Jake Paul odds at Bovada by navigating to All Sports > Boxing > Jake Paul vs. Mike Tyson.

Bovada
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Jake Paul Analysis

Despite facing criticism from some people who believe Paul should give up on a boxing career, the 27-year-old continues to try to gain respect in the boxing community.

After defeating Ryan Bourland with a TKO in the first round, Paul once again called out Canelo Alvarez. Instead of getting the current world champion or a ranked cruiserweight, he will get a matchup against the 58-year-old version of “Iron Mike”.

Fighter Record and Recent Form

  • July 20, 2024 – WIN vs. Mike Perry (TKO)
  • March 2, 2023 – WIN vs. Ryan Bourland (TKO)
  • Dec. 15, 2023 – WIN vs. Andre August (KO)
  • Aug. 5, 2023 – WIN vs. Nate Diaz (UD)
  • Feb. 26, 2023 – LOSS vs. Tommy Fury (SD)

Overall, Paul has been part of 11 sanctioned fights. With only one loss on his resume, Paul boosted a record of 10-1-0 by knocking out bare-knuckle boxer and former UFC fighter Mike Perry.

The YouTuber’s lone loss was against professional boxer Tommy Fury on Feb. 26, 2023, via a split decision. It was a competitive loss for Paul, though he was a favorite against Fury.

Following a textbook win by unanimous decision over MMA fighter Nate Diaz, Fury turned his attention to regional boxers. Paul easily disposed of Andre August and Ryan Bourland with a KO and TKO.

Rather than relax and wait for the Tyson fight, Paul fought Perry in July and dominated the former bare-knuckle champion, knocking him out in the sixth round.

Fighting Style

Paul is an aggressive fighter who works off his jab and then looks to land a right. The “Problem Child” primarily likes to utilize body jabs to set up a few combinations in succession.

It’s a straightforward strategy that works against fighters who gas easily. There isn’t anything unique about Paul’s approach, but for the caliber of opponents he’s faced, it has generally been successful.

In the context of professional boxing, Paul has mediocre power with his right hand. He doesn’t have Deontay Wilder’s power, but compared to fighters at his level, or other amateurs, Paul can throw a right.

Physical Condition

For a fight against a 58-year-old Tyson, conditioning will be important. If Paul shows up to the fight in July in decent enough shape, he can wear Tyson down with his cardio. At the least, Paul can run around the ring and avoid a KO in the center of the ring.

The 6-foot-1 Paul has shown up to fights not in the best shape in the past. He and Fury clinched and hugged for nearly five minutes during their bout last February. Last year, he showed up to the Diaz fight in pretty good shape. His opponent came ill-prepared and didn’t have the fitness to compete with Paul.

Nevertheless, for a “bucket list” fight against a name like Tyson, expect Paul to put some work into preparing for this one. Paul is likely to show up in acceptable shape to fight Tyson.

Also, keep in mind that Paul was working out and preparing for Perry throughout the summer. He won’t be taking a break and slowing down his boxing training. The fight against Perry kept him busy enough, and he looked in great shape for that match.

I don’t have any qualms about Paul being in shape to fight a 58-year-old Tyson. He’ll be prepared.


Mike Tyson Analysis

In the 1980s, Tyson was known as the “Baddest Man on the Planet”. With wins against Tony Tucker, Michael Spinks, and Larry Holmes, Tyson was the most feared heavyweight in boxing.

However, it has been a long time since Tyson has fought competitively. “Iron” Mike officially retired from boxing in 2005. Since then, he has participated in a handful of exhibitions and charity fights, most recently versus Roy Jones Jr. in 2020.

Fighter Record and Recent Form

  • June 11, 2005 – LOSS Kevin McBride (RTD)
  • July 30, 2004 – LOSS Danny Williams (KO)
  • Feb. 22, 2003 – WIN vs. Clifford Etienne (KO)
  • June 8, 2002 – LOSS Lennox Lewis (KO)
  • Oct. 13, 2001 – WIN vs. Brian Nielson (RTD)

I am using “recent” form rather loosely when it comes to Tyson. When Tyson steps into the ring against Paul, he’ll be 58 years old. He hasn’t had an official fight since 2005 and we anticipate that this will count as an exhibition fight in July.

After poor performances against Danny Williams and Kevin McBride, Tyson ended up calling it a career. The loss to McBride was particularly disheartening, as Tyson was well out of his prime and probably should have stepped down after knocking out Clifford Etienne in 2023.

Tyson retired with an official record of 50-6-0, with 44 KOs. However, Tyson’s latest exhibition fight was versus Jones Jr. in 2020. The fight ultimately ended in a draw, which amounted to a glorified sparring contest between boxing legends.

Fighting Style

Tyson is well known for his punching power. If you ask any casual boxing fan, they will likely talk about his cement fists.

Tyson is well known for his punching power. If you ask any casual boxing fan, they will likely talk about his cement fists.

He certainly has power, but Tyson’s “peek-a-boo” boxing style is what he revolutionized in the 1980s. While the style isn’t as common among modern boxers today, the shorter Tyson was strategic in how he approached his knockout attempts.

The icon’s defense was just as important as his aggressive offense. At 5-foot-10, Tyson had to rely on the “peek-a-boo” strategy to maintain his range and then get closer against taller opponents.

Physical Condition

As a 57-year-old who will be 58 by the time this fight happens, Tyson is in incredible shape. In 2020, the veteran moved around the ring well against Jones Jr. for a guy nearing his 60s.

Also, Tyson occasionally shares footage of him training in the gym. While most 57-year-olds would be winded running a mile, he appears to be in impeccable physical shape.

That being said, he is not in professional boxing shape. He didn’t have the cardio to compete with professional boxers in 2005, so his current version can’t be better than that. We only see small glimpses of Tyson working out and sparring in the ring.

When he steps into the ring for an eight-round boxing match, will Tyson have the stamina and fitness to dance with Paul? The way I see it, the veteran must end this fight early, or he’s in trouble.

Additionally, Tyson’s health issues are what postponed this fight in the first place. He fell ill during a flight and suffered a mid-flight medical emergency. Tyson reportedly felt sick and had an ulcer flare-up roughly 30 minutes before landing.

Tyson has since recovered, but he won’t be the model of health on November 15. The medical problems will at least force him to take a break from his training. With this in mind, I do not foresee Tyson being in peak physical condition for the Paul fight.


Jake Paul vs. Mike Tyson Prediction and Betting Pick

The best online sportsbooks have Paul as a -225 favorite to beat Tyson. Given Tyson’s health concerns and age — he’ll be 58 years old in November — Paul’s odds in this fight have decent betting value.

While it would be nice to bet on a price below -200, this is still a nice bargain on Paul to win at -225. Tyson has one road to victory: KO Paul with a vicious blow out of the gates. Otherwise, his stamina will fall off considerably after Round 2.

Paul will be able to dictate the pace and how he wants to win the fight at this juncture. I don’t expect him to go for a KO against a legend of Tyson’s stature, he should pick up easy points on the judge’s scorecards.

Tyson was in fine shape to fight Jones Jr., but this was four years ago, and Jones Jr. is not young, either. In the ring against a 27-year-old is a troublesome situation for Tyson.

I hate to say, it but consider backing Paul to win at -225 odds!  However, Paul winning by decision at +300 odds is an even better value! I don’t anticipate Paul aiming to clean the clock or end this fight early.

Paul has respect for Tyson, and looking for a KO against a 58-year-old isn’t how I see things playing out. He likely carries Tyson through the match, so it’s worth a look. Alternatively, you can consider the fight to go the distance at +140 if you aren’t certain of a winning boxer.

The Bet
Jake Paul via Decision


Where to Bet on Jake Paul vs. Mike Tyson?

Where are the best Jake Paul vs. Mike Tyson betting odds and sportsbook to place your bets? Look no further than Bovada, which was one of the first online betting sites to release Tyson vs. Paul odds.

Bovada will offer prices through the summer until the bell rings for Round 1! New customers can take advantage of a lucrative 100% matched bonus up to $1,000, using the promo code, BV1000!


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Kyle Eve
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Kyle Eve is Editor-in-Chief of The Sports Geek. Since joining the team in 2012, Kyle, has covered some of the biggest sporting events in the world. From the Super Bowl and World Series to March Madness, the NBA Finals, Kentucky Derby, and many more, Kyle has provided reliable analysis for millions of readers. After dedicating himself to hockey and football in high school, Kyle placed his first sports bet on his 18th birthday. Since then, he has spent his entire adult life devoting himself to becoming the best sports bettor and casino gambler possible. Kyle is from Windsor, ON, Canada

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