The Joey Chestnut vs. Kobayashi odds for the legendary match-up between two iconic eaters suggest it’s going to be a one-sided contest. The American icon is a major favorite, but can his rival upset the odds? There’s a lot of bad ketchup between the two, so it should be a hard fight.
The Nathan’s Hot Dog Eating Contest was built on the rivalry between Joey Chestnut and Takeru Kobayashi. The Japanese competitive-eating superstar won the Mustard Yellow Belt from 2001 to 2006, until he was unseated by Chestnut, a California native. Chestnut then won every year from 2007 to 2023, except for 2015, when he was upset by Matt Stonie.
Chestnut didn’t take part in the Nathan’s Hot Dog Contest this year, due to business issues. However, he is going head-to-head with his old rival, Kobayashi, in a Netflix special event titled, “Unfinished Beef”. Will Kobayashi avenge his 2007 loss to Chestnut?
Let’s analyze the Joey Chestnut vs. Kobayashi odds for this massive event in this article. I’ll also look at the props surrounding the event, such as where it will be held, how much money will the winner receive, and many more.
Key Details
Outside of the Joey Chestnut vs. Kobayashi odds, here are some key details you need to know for “Unfinished Business”:
When is Chestnut vs. Kobayashi?
“Unfinished Beef” will take place on Labor Day, which is Monday, September 2, 2024.
Where to Watch Chestnut vs. Kobayashi?
You can watch “Unfinished Beef” exclusively on Netflix.
Where Will Chestnut vs. Kobayashi be Held?
The highly-anticipated showdown between Chestnut and Kobayashi is scheduled to be held in Las Vegas at the Hyper Arena in the Luxor Hotel and Casino.
All Joey Chestnut vs. Kobayashi Odds Courtesy of BetOnline.
Joey Chestnut vs. Kobayashi Odds to Win
| EATER | ODDS |
|---|---|
| Joey Chestnut | -1000 |
| Takeru Kobayashi | +550 |
It should come as no surprise that Chestnut (-1000) is the overwhelming favorite in this matchup. The 16-time Nathan’s winner has an implied probability of 90.9% to come out on top.
The Chestnut vs. Kobayashi odds have shifted quite substantially over the last month. Money has poured in on Chestnut to win this rivalry duel, as his price has shifted from -600 to -1000 from July 23 to late August at entertainment betting sites.
Watch the 2007 clash between Chestnut and Kobayashi in the Nathan’s Hot Dog Eating Contest here (Kobayashi was a heavy favorite to win):
Kobayashi (+550) is a huge underdog after coming out of retirement for this event. The Japanese, known as “Kobi” to his fans, took part in the Netflix documentary, “Hack Your Health: The Secrets of Your Gut”, in April 2024. There, he announced his retirement as he said that he doesn’t ever feel hungry anymore.
To bet on Joey Chestnut vs. Kobayashi odds, head to BetOnline and navigate to Sports > Entertainment > Chestnut vs. Kobayashi.
Number of Hot Dogs Eaten in 10 minutes
- Joey Chestnut – Over 62.5 (-135), Under 62.5 (-105)
- Takeru Kobayashi – Over 49.5 (-130), Under 49.5 (-110)
Chestnut set a world record with 76 hot dogs in 2021, but he put away 63 in 2022, and 62 in 2023. That being said, in 2023, Geoffrey Esper was second with 47 hot dogs. Chestnut was never pushed, so I think he could have eaten more if he had to. I’m taking the over here.
I anticipate Chestnut to feel slighted in a sense after being banned from the Nathan’s Hot Dog Eating Contest. Look for him to go all out in this special head-to-head match against Kobayashi!
The winner of the 2024 Nathan’s Hot Dog Eating Contest, Patrick Bertoletti, downed 58 dogs this year. I suspect that Chestnut will want to beat Bertoletti fairly easily to prove that he’s the real champ.
This should result in Chestnut eclipsing 63 hot dogs eaten, so consider backing the over for this prop bet.
Kobayashi is a mystery as we haven’t seen him compete in many years. His last appearance in the Nathan’s Hot Dog Eating Contest came in 2009, although he has competed in other events. He’s also made some appearances in social media videos, but nothing as competitive as a matchup against Chestnut.
But, like many sports, hot dog eating is probably like riding a bike. He certainly will have trained for this event. I’ll take the over here, as well. The Japanese will want to preserve his legacy, so hitting 50+ will be his goal.
Predominant Color of Eater’s Tops
- Joey Chestnut – White (-150), Black (+240), Any Other (+280)
- Takeru Kobayashi – Black (-150), White (+240), Any Other (+280)
This is an interesting Chestnut vs. Kobayashi prop bet! It has some shades of the crazy Super Bowl props that are available once every year. What color top will Chestnut be wearing for “Unfinished Beef”?
A white shirt is favored, which is certainly due to his time with the Nathan’s Hot Dog Eating Contest. Chestnut and all of the other competitors wear a white shirt, so everyone naturally sees him as wearing the same color against Kobayashi.
However, it isn’t like Chestnut hasn’t worn other colors in the past. When he broke the world record with 32 servings of popcorn consumed in eight minutes, Chestnut was wearing a blue jersey! He also wore a blue shirt for a hot dog eating in Fort Bliss on the Fourth of July.
I think the value is on any other color, so I’d look into placing your bets on Chestnut wearing something other than a black or white shirt!
Like Chestnut, Kobayashi wore a white Nathan’s Hot Dogs shirt while competing in the Fourth of July competition during his career. Otherwise, Kobayashi has largely worn other colors, most notably a black shirt.
I don’t believe organizers will want any reference to the Nathan’s Hot Dog Eating Contest. While wearing white doesn’t necessarily connect it directly to that event, many people associate the color with this contest.
I am backing Chestnut and Kobayashi to both be wearing another color other than white. In Kobayashi’s case, I see him going with black for “Unfinished Beef”.
Joey Chestnut vs. Kobayashi Prediction: Who Wins?
I have all the respect in the world for Kobayashi’s competitive-eating exploits. His odds also offer some value, so it wouldn’t be a terrible wager on him, if you so choose. But Chestnut was in action not long ago, so this pick is based solely on the person I’ve seen do this most recently.
Public sentiment has gone way up on the American over the last month. The Chestnut vs. Kobayashi betting odds have risen from -600 to -1000 in favor of “Joey Jaws”. I am not the only one who sees this as ending in a Chestnut victory!
Kobayashi will most likely keep this interesting to keep the final score within seven or eight hot dogs, but I expect Chestnut to pull away down the stretch to claim the “Unfinished Beef” title.
Where to Bet Joey Chestnut vs. Kobayashi Odds?
You can bet on Joey Chestnut vs. Kobayashi odds to win, the prop bets we discussed, and even more props at BetOnline. This sportsbook was the first to have Joey Chestnut vs. Kobayashi odds up, and you can bet that they’ll be adding more props ahead of the event!
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