The men’s French Open 2024 odds of the top tennis betting sites suggest that this year’s Roland Garros will be very competitive! That’s refreshing after years of dominance by Rafa Nadal and opens up exciting betting opportunities.
The 128th edition of Roland Garros, scheduled from May 20 to June 9, features a loaded field, including French Open record-holder Rafael Nadal. The 14-time winner is expected to be back on the clay after missing last year with an injury, but he’s not the favorite this year!
Will the 37-year-old go out as a champion at Roland Garros in what could be his final appearance? Check out my analysis of the big guns, the latest odds, and my men’s French Open predictions below!
Men’s French Open 2024 Betting Odds
The following French Open odds are courtesy of BetUS:
| PLAYER | ODDS |
|---|---|
| Carlos Alcaraz | +160 |
| Novak Djokovic | +240 |
| Jannik Sinner | +300 |
| Rafael Nadal | +600 |
| Casper Ruud | +1000 |
| Stefanos Tsitsipas | +1200 |
| Holger Rune | +1400 |
Carlos Alcaraz (+160) is the betting favorite to win the men’s French Open 2024. The odds suggest an implied probability of 38.5% for the Spaniard to raise The Musketeers’ Trophy on June 9.
Following the talented Spaniard, 24-time Grand Slam winner Novak Djokovic has the second-shortest price at +240. Despite winning two of the last three French Open titles, Djokovic has a 29.4% chance to win — roughly 10% worse than Alcaraz.
Italian Jannik Sinner is amongst the favorites, too. The 2024 Australian Open winner has +300 odds to win his second consecutive major after winning his first in January.
Nadal is only fourth, which is very unusual for him. Let’s analyze the favorites next to see why.
Men’s French Open 2024 Top Favorites
Before making my ATP French Open predictions and laying out my tennis betting strategy, let’s analyze the top favorites to win in Paris. Three guys have established themselves as the players to beat on the clay this year:
Carlos Alcaraz (+160)
Many tennis fans believe that as soon as Nadal retires, the Spanish torch will be passed to Alcaraz. That process might have already started a while ago, but the younger Spaniard is still searching for his first French Open title.
Nadal has 14 trophies on this iconic clay court, so the soon-to-be 21-year-old has a lot of pressure to be Spain’s next tennis superstar. Alcaraz has two Grand Slam titles to his name, with wins at the 2022 US Open and 2023 Wimbledon.
Rafa 🤝 Carlos@RafaelNadal @carlosalcaraz #MMOPEN pic.twitter.com/l0LsnHwAB1
— Tennis TV (@TennisTV) April 24, 2024
Regarded as one of the most skilled players on the clay, it is likely only a matter of time before Alcaraz is standing tall on the clay in Paris. From 2022 to 2023, he has a record of 40-7 in clay matches.
He is just 2-2 this year, but the clay season is just getting underway. Overall, Alcaraz boasts a mark of 15-4 across all surfaces.
Since losing to Alexander Zverev in the quarterfinal of the Australian Open, Alvarez has won the Indian Wells Open1. Unfortunately, he’s been dealing with an arm injury, which forced him to miss Monte Carlo and Barcelona.
By the time of the French Open, Alcaraz should be fine to play, but his health is something worth monitoring.
Novak Djokovic (+240)
Novak Djokovic will be in Paris looking to defend his Roland Garros title on the clay. It was the second title for the Serbian in three years in the French Open. However, the veteran has been in uncharacteristically poor form this year.
Djokovic has only played in two tournaments since losing to Sinner in four sets in the Australian Open. He suffered a shocking upset to Luca Nardi in the Indian Wells Open, and then Casper Ruud most recently defeated Djokovic 6-4, 1-6, 6-4.
Although Djokovic has been out of form as of late, he is still No. 1 in the ATP rankings with 9,990 points2. Two poor tournaments from Djokovic do not necessarily equate to getting too old to keep pace with younger players.
There is some concern from Djokovic fans, though let’s keep things in perspective. He has a busy schedule ahead of him. Not only is there Roland Garros and Wimbledon, but Djokovic has high aspirations to win gold at the Olympics in Paris as well.
Novak Djokovic claims his third French Open title‼️
He becomes the first man in tennis history to win all four major tournaments three or more times 👏 pic.twitter.com/nmnWniZbxd
— ESPN (@espn) June 11, 2023
Djokovic owns a record of 45-10 over his last 55 matches on the clay3! The “Joker” may not be playing his best tennis this year, but I would not be surprised if he turns it up for the majors and Olympics.
He has not appeared interested in much else, and after everything he’s won in his career, it might be asking too much to get excited for the Indian Wells Open. Djokovic’s ATP French Open odds are getting decent value due to his recent struggles, so there is an angle to back him here.
Jannik Sinner (+300)
While Alcaraz deals with an injury and Djokovic is out of form in 2024, Jannik Sinner has seized the opportunity on the ATP Tour. The 22-year-old Italian is having a breakout season, which includes the first major championship of his young career.
Sinner came back from two sets down to defeat Daniil Medvedev in a five-set thriller. Rather than have a letdown, Sinner won his next event in Rotterdam, and then most recently on March 31 in the Miami Open.
In his latest effort, Sinner was ousted by Stefanos Tsitsipas in the Monte-Carlo Masters in the semifinals4. It wasn’t his best start to open clay season, but he is riding plenty of momentum this spring.
A Jannik Sinner special 🤩
Your Miami 2024 Champion takes home shot of the day from the final 🔥 @MiamiOpen #MiamiOpen
— Tennis TV (@TennisTV) March 31, 2024
If Sinner has a deep run in the Madrid Open, he could be the No. 1 ranked player in the world. The Italian is solid on clay, but he really blossoms on hard courts. This season, Sinner is 22-1 in matches on that surface.
He’s notched a record of 11-5 in his previous 16 assignments on a clay surface. Playing against the best players on the clay is often a physical battle of attrition. As Sinner gains more experience, he should develop into more of a threat.
However, right now, Alcaraz and Djokovic deserve to be ahead of him in the men’s 2024 French Open odds.
Men’s French Open 2024 Sleepers
Prior to finalizing your French Open 2024 betting card, consider including a few sleepers on your betting apps. There are some juicy bets on the board that everyone should investigate. Nadal is always a threat to win on clay, though I’d like a better price than +600 at this point of his career.
In what is shaping up to be a competitive French Open in 2024, backing the following underdogs is a sharp move:
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I don’t consider Tsitsipas much of a dark horse player, but bookies have him as a slight underdog at +1200. In red-hot form, including a win over Sinner, Tsitsipas is one to consider on his favorite surface.
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Alexander Zverev at +1600!? This is another player who has a big chance but receives little respect from oddsmakers and the public.
Last year, Zverev reached the French Open semifinals before losing a tough match versus Ruud. With a record of 18-6 on the clay last year, he feels at home here, too.
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Rublev has had some decent success on clay in his career. Amongst the long shots, Rublev is one of the best bets on the board at +4000. In the 2023 season, Rublev went 17-4 and won 40 of 56 sets on red courts!
Men’s French Open 2024 Predictions and Betting Pick
We aren’t typically accustomed to Djokovic struggling against inferior competition, so this year has been weird. However, after watching his defeats, it didn’t appear as if he was too interested in playing in less prestigious tournaments.
While some fans will note that Djokovic is slowing down, which is inevitable with age, I believe it is more of a case of him taking it slowly with a busy season ahead.
He needs to have something in the tank for Roland Garros, Wimbledon, and the Olympics. As we get closer to the French Open, I expect the Hall of Fame Serb to turn the energy levels up several notches.
Alcaraz has question marks with his arm injury, and Sinner hasn’t proven himself on clay yet in his career. Some players never pick up how to win on this surface, so we’ll see if Sinner eventually figures it out.
In any event, backing Djokovic is solid value at the best sports betting sites because of oddsmakers’ concerns with his recent form. I don’t buy it. Expect Djokovic to return to his typical form for the French Open, so consider the “Joker” to capture the Roland Garros title at +240.
Who Is Your Men’s French Open 2024 Pick?
Have you made your final ATP French Open predictions yet? Are you waiting to see how things play out in Rome before locking in your picks? In addition to the men’s side, don’t forget about the women’s French Open odds.
When it’s time to make your selections, check out BetUS’ French Open betting menu. With multiple prop bets, live betting, futures, and match odds, this is a comprehensive gambling experience for Ronald Garros 2024.
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Sources:
Carlos Alcaraz Tennis Stats & News | RotoWire.com. Retrieved From “https://www.rotowire.com/tennis/player/carlos-alcaraz-4412”
ATP Rankings | PIF ATP Rankings | ATPTour.com. Retrieved From “https://www.atptour.com/en/rankings/singles”
Novak Djokovic Tennis Stats & News | RotoWire.com. Retrieved From “https://www.rotowire.com/tennis/player/novak-djokovic-478”
Jannik Sinner Tennis Stats & News | RotoWire.com. Retrieved From “https://www.rotowire.com/tennis/player/jannik-sinner-4404”
