The men’s Wimbledon betting odds for 2024 suggest another epic between Sinner and Alcaraz is on the cards. The two met in the French Open semifinal this year, and the best tennis betting sites expect more of the same at the All England Lawn Tennis and Croquet Club!
One of the reasons is Novak Djokovic’s status for Wimbledon. The seven-time champion is listed as questionable, so can he recover from his knee injury to win his eighth Wimbledon title?
Continue reading below to check out the latest odds, favorites, sleepers, and men’s Wimbledon predictions!
Men’s Wimbledon 2024 Betting Odds
The following men’s Wimbledon winner odds are courtesy of Bovada:
| PLAYER | ODDS |
|---|---|
| Carlos Alcaraz | +175 |
| Jannik Sinner | +175 |
| Novak Djokovic | +400 |
| Alexander Zverev | +1200 |
| Hubert Hurkacz | +1200 |
| Daniil Medvedev | +2000 |
| Jack Draper | +2000 |
| Matteo Berrettini | +2000 |
| Alex de Minaur | +2800 |
| Grigor Dimitrov | +2800 |
| Taylor Fritz | +3300 |
| Ben Shelton | +5000 |
After opening as the betting favorite, Carlos Alcaraz (+175) now has some company at the top of the 2024 Wimbledon odds. Jannik Sinner (+175) is a co-favorite with the Spaniard to win the Wimbledon title.
What this means is that both young, talented players have an 36.4% implied probability to win Wimbledon. Earlier this month, Alcaraz was a +140 favorite, while Sinner had +160 odds, so they are both available at better prices now at Bovada!
Novak Djokovic, whose status for Wimbledon is currently unclear, has +400 odds to win at Wimbledon again. Despite a knee injury, Djokovic still owns a respectable 20% chance.
Men’s Wimbledon 2024 Top Favorites
Before revealing my top men’s 2024 Wimbledon predictions, let’s delve into the top three favorites to win on Centre Court at sports betting sites.
Alcaraz is the obvious player to beat after coming off a championship on the clay at Roland Garros. However, Sinner is the most recent hard-court winner in the 2024 Australian Open!
Now, Alcaraz and Sinner will come to Wimbledon to claim the most prestigious grass court title.
Carlos Alcaraz (+175)
Alcaraz grabbed the third Grand Slam of his career at Roland Garros on June 9. The 21-year-old native of El Palmar, Spain, defeated Alexander Zverev, 6-3, 2-6, 5-7, 6-1, 6-2, in a match that went the distance.
There were plenty of twists and turners, with Alcaraz and the German trading blows until the Spaniard reached deep in the final two sets. Zverev’s fitness levels were in dire straits, while Alcaraz had more left in the tank.
Au Revoir, Paris ❤️🏆! See you again very soon! 🇫🇷
📸 Getty pic.twitter.com/00ur3qLPTG
— Carlos Alcaraz (@carlosalcaraz) June 10, 2024
Alcaraz is expected to be the next great on the clay, picking up where fellow countryman Rafael Nadal left off. However, the prodigy has already proven he can win on other surfaces, too.
He is the defending Wimbledon champion and boasts an impressive record in grass matches. In 2023, Alcaraz sported a perfect record of 13-0 on a grass surface — with 31 sets won and just five sets lost.
After winning the French Open, he didn’t start the grass court season in great shape, though. Alcaraz fell in the Round of 16 to Jack Draper in straight sets in the Queen’s Club Championship. Am I shocked? No.
Alcaraz was coming off a hard-fought win at Roland Garros. He certainly wasn’t the most interested in the Queen’s Club. Also, the Spaniard still holds a terrific record of 17-3 (85%) on a grass surface in his career.
Overall, the talented youngster is 26-6 (81.25%) on all surfaces this season. Last year, Alcaraz went 65-12 (84.4%), so he’s on a similar pace in 2024.
Fresh off a French Open title, Alcaraz is the one to beat at Wimbledon! Despite getting tripped up on the grass in the Queen’s Club Championship, he’ll be ready for Wimbledon. Currently, at +175, Alcaraz’s odds to win Wimbledon are a strong option.
Jannik Sinner (+175)
With Sinner only 22 years old, he and Alcaraz have a long story ahead of them. If both escape major injuries in their careers, the Alcaraz vs. Sinner rivalry should carry on for more than a decade.
Sinner won the first Grand Slam of his career in the 2024 Australian Open. He fought back from a 0-2 deficit to beat Daniil Medvedev, 3-6, 3-6, 6-4, 6-4, 6-3. Like Alcaraz’s win at Roland Garros, Sinner’s opponent ran out of steam and collapsed in the final two sets.
Due to Djokovic’s injury and exit following a five-set win over Francisco Cerundolo, Sinner is the new No. 1 player on the ATP Tour. Djokovic held the spot for a staggering 428 weeks!
Sinner is the first Italian tennis player to capture the world No. 1 ranking. The 22-year-old has never won Wimbledon, however. In 2023, Sinner was cut down by Djokovic in straight sets in the semifinals. He had a straightforward bracket before coming up short against the Serbian.
The Italian star is coming off a championship performance in the Halle Open. Sinner knocked off Hubert Hurkacz in two tie breakers to take the title in Germany! It was not a field filled with tough players, as Hurkacz was his only ranked opponent, but a solid win nonetheless.
Thank you Halle! A special week with lots of positives 💚
Now time for 🇬🇧, see you soon @Wimbledon pic.twitter.com/BglPeqqRM9
— Jannik Sinner (@janniksin) June 23, 2024
With an overall record of 38-4 (90.4%) in 2024, Sinner has been in top form this year, though. Last season, he went 8-3 on a grass surface, with a so-so career record of 17-8 (68%). He doesn’t have the same resume as Alcaraz on grass but is showing solid gains.
Sinner shouldn’t be short of any confidence after being named the No. 1 men’s tennis player in the world.
Novak Djokovic (+400)
Will Djokovic be prepared for Wimbledon? There is a short turnaround between the French Open and Wimbledon. Matches are scheduled to begin on July 1, with the championship match played on July 14.
Djokovic is currently recovering from knee surgery to repair a torn meniscus. This isn’t the most serious surgery, but less than a month to recover isn’t favorable for the 24-time Grand Slam winner.
Djokovic has withdrawn from Roland-Garros due to a right knee injury.
Wishing Novak a speedy recovery 🧡 pic.twitter.com/Ilb6HynTzw
— Roland-Garros (@rolandgarros) June 4, 2024
So far, online betting apps and sites haven’t adjusted their 2024 Wimbledon men’s single odds much, though. Djokovic at +350 indicates he has a good chance of playing in this tournament. When the Serbian superstar is healthy, he is naturally a serious threat to win.
Djokovic intends on playing in the Olympics tennis tournament, but he does not know about Wimbledon. The latest news regarding Djokovic’s status is that he will only play if he can compete for the title.
“I know if I can play close to my maximum or at maximum, then I’ll play. If not, then I’ll give somebody else a chance to play,” said Djokovic on June 24.
In addition to the injury, Djokovic has been showing signs of getting older. The legendary champion is 18-6 (75%) this season, which included stunning upsets in the Italian Open and Geneva Open.
If Djokovic somehow recovers to 100%, it’s hard to go against this guy on a grass surface. Since 2018, the tennis legend is 38-2 (95%) in grass-court matches! That said, at this point, it’s difficult to recommend betting on him with his knee concerns and less than stellar form.
Men’s Wimbledon 2024 Sleepers
As part of your tennis betting strategy, I recommend including a few sleeper 2024 Wimbledon betting picks. It’s expected to be a competitive tournament, so consider placing bets on these longshots:
-
Outside the top guns on the ATP Tour, there aren’t many players who specialize in grass-court matches to the extent that Matteo Berrettini does. Bettors are taking note, because Berrettini’s Wimbledon men’s odds have moved from +3300 to +2000 over the last two weeks!
The Italian is easily beatable on a hard court, but Berrettini excels on the grass. Over the last four years, he owns a 30-6 (83.3%) record in grass games! Aside from Djokovic and Alcaraz, it’s tough to find players in this form on grass courts.
Expect Berrettini to put together a strong campaign and hang around longer than some tennis pundits expect.
-
Casper Ruud doesn’t have the most experience playing on grass courts. However, a player of his ability at +10000 is worth taking a chance on. Ruud has just a 1% implied chance of winning, but he should have more of an opportunity than the oddsmakers suggest.
Ruud is 39-10 (79.5%) on the season after a four-set loss to Zverev in the semifinals at Roland Garros. He’s 4-5 (44.4%) over the last four seasons on a grass surface, but as streaky of a player as Ruud can be, the Norwegian is worth a small bet at +6600.
I also had Hurkacz in this section, a month ago when the odds for him were +2800. Unfortunately, they have dropped to +1200, so the value is now gone, unfortunately.
2024 Men’s Wimbledon Predictions and Betting Pick
After exploring and dissecting the men’s Wimbledon 2024 winner odds, I have concluded that Alcaraz is the rightful favorite. In the wake of Djokovic’s knee injury, the Spaniard has a clear path to another Grand Slam title and second Wimbledon championship.
Aside from Djokovic, there isn’t another player as complete as Alcaraz on grass in this tournament. Sinner is well above average and developing into a threat of his own in grass events, but Alcaraz has been on another level.
Sinner will likely fine-tune his game to improve his 17-8 record on the grass. However, for now, Alcaraz is the one to beat with a hobbled or absent Djokovic. Any bet on the main favorite at plus odds is worth the money, so back the Spaniard to win back-to-back majors.
Who Is Your Men’s Wimbledon 2024 Pick?
The men’s Wimbledon 2024 betting odds present some great opportunities at Bovada. The well-respected and highly-rated online bookmaker provides a comprehensive Wimbledon experience, including futures, match odds, live betting, props, and much more!
That selection is available for both the men’s and women’s Wimbledon singles tournaments.
New customers can claim a 50% match bonus of up to $250 by depositing at Bovada. Get even more on your first deposit, with a 75% match bonus of up to $750 on a cryptocurrency deposit!
Welcome Bonus
75% up to $750
- Wide-ranging sportsbook and live betting platform
- Top-notch poker room with numerous tournaments
- Impressive casino with 500+ slots and live tables
