MLB Rookie of the Year 2025 Odds (AL and NL): Will Sasaki Dominate?

MLB Rookie of the Year 2025 Odds (AL and NL): Will Sasaki Dominate?

As spring arrives and a new baseball season is ushered in, the MLB Rookie of the Year odds for the American and National League are available! It should be a thrilling season, with plenty of young talent across the Major Leagues.

In this article, I explore the latest odds to win, analyze the favorites, and reveal my MLB Rookie of the Year predictions for both the AL and NL.

MLB Rookie of the Year 2025 Betting Odds

The 2025 MLB Rookie of the Year odds are courtesy of Bovada and cover the top candidates for both the American and National League:

AL Rookie of the Year Odds

PLAYERODDS
Jasson Dominguez (NYY)+400
Roman Anthony (BOS)+600
Jackson Jobe (DET)+750
Jacob Wilson (ATH)+800
Kristian Campbell (BOS)+800
Christian Moore (LAA)+1000
Will Wagner (TOR)+1100
Coby Mayo (BAL)+1200
Kumar Rocker (TEX)+1600
The 2025 AL Rookie of the Year odds suggest we should have a close race for the title this season! The preseason prices suggest that the Yankees’ Jasson Dominguez (+400) has the best chance, though. At +400, Dominguez holds a 20% implied probability of winning Rookie of the Year in the AL. Following closely behind Dominguez, Red Sox outfielder Roman Anthony (+600) has a 14.3% implied probability of being crowned AL Rookie of the Year. The Detroit Tigers’ Jackson Jobe (+750) and Athletics’ Jacob Wilson (+800) are also in the mix!

NL Rookie of the Year Odds

PLAYERODDS
Roki Sasaki (LAD)+175
Dylan Crews (WSH)+400
Matt Shaw (CHI)+450
Bubba Chandler (PITT)+1000
Jordan Lawlar (AZ)+1100
Tirso Ornelas (SDP)+2000
Hyesong Kim (LAD)+2500
Thomas Saggase (STL)+2500
LA Dodgers’ Japanese newcomer Roki Sasaki (+175) is the clear favorite to win Rookie of the Year in the NL. To the surprise of no one, the highly sought-after pitcher chose to play for the Dodgers. Sasaki has a comfortable gap between him and the Washington Nationals’ right fielder Dylan Crews (+400). The Cubs’ Matt Shaw (+450) follows closely behind Crews, with a 20% and 18.2% implied probability separating the two rookies at MLB betting sites!

You can find up-to-date MLB Rookie of the Year odds at Bovada by navigating to All Sports > Baseball > MLB Awards > AL/NL Rookie of the Year.

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American League Rookie of the Year 2025 Favorites

Before delving into my AL Rookie of the Year picks, let’s analyze the top two contenders and check on how they’ve been fairing in spring training:

Jasson Dominguez (+400)

Dominguez was signed as a free agent by the Yankees in 2019 at 16 years old! Despite his high ceiling and hype heading into this season, Dominguez wasn’t drafted by any club and took a different route compared to most of his competition in the rookie class.In the minors last year, Dominguez hit .314 with 35 RBIs and 11 home runs in 58 games. He was called up to the Majors for 18 matchups and showed flashes of greatness, including a long ball on his first swing in 2023. However, it was clear he needed another year to prepare for Major League pitching. In 2024, Dominguez finished with a .179 batting average, four RBIs, and two home runs. He should improve on that drastically in 2025!

Spring Training Analysis

Dominguez has played like you’d expect from any rookie. He has suffered some growing pains, but we’ve seen indications of why the Yankees inked him as a 16-year-old. The Dominican Republic native is hitting .219 with a home run and three RBIs in 32 at-bats. We’re still waiting on Dominguez to connect for an extra-base hit. Along with some struggles at the plate, Dominguez hasn’t looked comfortable in left field yet. He misplayed a ball and lost it in the sun earlier in spring training. Power and talent is most certainly present for Dominguez, even if he is very raw. We’ll see if he puts it all together in the regular season!

Dominguez Rookie Season Outlook

The future is promising for Dominguez. He has incredible power and can get the ball out of the park in a hurry. However, I think fans need some patience with Dominguez before he looks like a polished product. Don’t expect much from Dominguez through the first half of the season. Although he is expected to be the Yankees’ starting left fielder on Opening Day, I don’t foresee solid production until after the All-Star break. He may very well do enough damage in that time to warrant AL Rookie of the Year consideration. That being said, I’m not enthusiastic about backing Dominguez as the betting favorite!

Roman Anthony (+600)

In 2022, Anthony slipped to the Red Sox with the 79th overall pick of the 2022 MLB Draft. He was a steal by all metrics then and is an even bigger steal now that you see him as one of the favorites for AL Rookie of the Year!The youngster is just 20 years old but already turning heads. Anthony heads into the season as the No. 1 prospect in the American League on MLB’s Top 100 list. The Red Sox are excited about the future for Anthony, but will he take Rookie of the Year honors?

Spring Training Analysis

The spring training slate has been going swimmingly for Anthony. With an incredible .450 OBP, Anthony is one of the best out of any batter getting on base this spring training. He’s also hitting .267 with four RBIs in only 15 at-bats! Although Anthony hasn’t hit a long ball yet, he’s been doing everything else wonderfully, so we can forgive him for that. Anthony has been fine in the outfield as well. He is going into his rookie campaign with some skepticism from pundits as a liability on defense but appears to be growing as a player.

Anthony Rookie Season Outlook

The sky’s the limit for Anthony in his first season with the Red Sox organization! Last season, Anthony did everything in Double and Triple-A. He concluded the year with a .291 batting average, 65 RBIs, and 18 home runs in 119 games. With just shy of a .400 OBP, like in spring training, Anthony showed off his incredible ability to track balls and strikes. It’s something we don’t often see in 20-year-old ball players, but Anthony has appeared more mature than players a decade older than him. The Red Sox have a great one, and I expect us to see Anthony shine in his rookie season!

National League Rookie of the Year 2025 Favorites

Similar to the American League, let’s break down the top favorites, according to the latest MLB Rookie of the Year 2025 odds:

Roki Sasaki (+175)

Two years ago, the Dodgers won the Shohei Ohtani sweepstakes. This past offseason, the biggest sweepstakes was for fellow countryman, Roki Sasaki. The 23-year-old followed Ohtani to Los Angeles, just like how pitcher Yoshinobu Yamamoto did. Yamamoto entered the year with plenty of hype, but didn’t live up to expectations. In fact, he was the favorite to win NL Rookie of the Year a season ago, too. Will Sasaki face a similar fate, or is he destined for the rookie crown in the National League?While Yamamoto had high expectations, he wasn’t the No. 1 overall prospect in MLB’s Top 100. That honor belongs to Sasaki as we head to Opening Day.

Spring Training Analysis

Sasaki has arrived in the United States as advertised! He has been just about unhittable in spring training and is more than ready to start this season. Sasaki doesn’t need any more preseason performances under his belt. Through seven innings, Sasaki has brought the “wow” factor with a 0.00 ERA and 0.86 WHIP. The cutter that Sasaki throws is a thing of beauty. He doesn’t tip off any of his pitches, which makes everything all the more difficult for batters. In addition to allowing no runs, Sasaki has struck out seven batters during spring training. While the competition level will kick up a notch in the regular season, if he pitches like this, Sasaki will manage to fool some of the best batters in baseball.

Sasaki Rookie Season Outlook

I’m incredibly high on Sasaki this season. I didn’t have the same feeling about Yamamoto, but Sasaki should excel from his first start to the end of the season. He didn’t get off to the best start in spring training, and it carried over to the start of the regular season. There is no such inclination that Sasaki is going to open his rookie MLB campaign off the mark.Even if Ohtani doesn’t pitch full-time in 2025, the Dodgers are in good hands with Sasaki. He has the makings of an ace in his first year, but I’m not sure if he has the best value for your NL Rookie of the Year picks at +175.

Dylan Crews (+400)

The Nationals lost some key veteran talent over the last few years. After winning the World Series in 2019, the organization was largely gutted after failing to pay their prized free agents. However, the future is looking bright with a solid young foundation led by the 23-year-old Crews. Selected with the second overall pick of the 2023 MLB Draft, the LSU Tiger is expected to contribute immediately in his MLB career. Crews got his feet wet in 31 Major League games in 2024.He impressed at times, finishing with a .218 batting average, three home runs, and eight RBIs in 19 at-bats. If it wasn’t for Sasaki, Crews would easily be my top prospect in the National League. He enters the season ranked as the No. 4 overall prospect in baseball.
Spring Training Analysis The Altamonte Springs native is off to a red-hot start in spring training. He has connected on 10 hits for a .357 batting average in 28 at-bats! Crews’ OBP has grown to .455, with a .884 OPS. In addition to his hitting prowess, Crews has managed to swipe two bases. He is doing it all right now and is providing Nationals fans with plenty of confidence for the future. Crews also possess above-average arm strength and is competent in tracking down fly balls. Don’t expect Crews to win a Gold Glove Award, but his defense has been sufficient. With his ability at the plate, an average effort in the outfield is all he may need to win NL Rookie of the Year.
Crews Rookie Season OutlookThe rookie sensation already showed what he is capable of doing last year. He displayed solid patience, power, and base running skills. That was also evident in his time in the minor leagues.Crews’ hot start in spring training isn’t much of a surprise to me. I was expecting him to knock around pitchers in the Grapefruit League and that’s what he is doing. He’ll face some growing pains in the first month of the season, but he’ll grow out of it and get hot. My outlook for Crews is incredibly favorable, with a serious run at the NL Rookie of the Year in the cards!

MLB Rookie of the Year 2025 Longshots

The 2025 MLB Rookie of the Year odds include nice value on longshots. Let’s dive into our top NL and AL Rookie of the Year sleepers this season:

Best AL Rookie of the Year 2025 Sleepers

  1. Jace Jung (+1800)Jace Jung already showed a lot of promise with the Tigers last season. Despite only 79 at-bats, Jung looked confident and ready to contribute this season. The 24-year-old enters with decent experience and is showing strong signs in spring training.

  2. Tomoyuki Sugano (+2000) – If you don’t believe Sasaki is getting the best value at +175, then take a look at this fantastic Japanese pitcher making waves in spring training. Tomoyuki Sugano is finally making his long-awaited debut in the Major Leagues. Sugano has been just as sharp as Sasaki in spring training. He’s posted a 0.00 ERA and 0.86 WHIP with seven strikeouts! The 35-year-old is worth a small play at +2000 odds.

Best NL Rookie of the Year 2025 Sleepers

  1. Hyeseong Kim (+2500) – A Dodger is favored to win the NL Rookie of the Year, but it isn’t Hyeseong Kim. Nevertheless, the 26-year-old, who is coming over from the KBO, is expected to do damage in his first season. I like what I saw out of Kim in spring training, so he is a strong value pick at +2500.

  2. Rhett Lowder (+3500) – Another young pitcher who has a solid chance for a fantastic rookie campaign is Reds’ starter Rhett Lowder. After logging an ERA of 1.17 and 1.27 WHIP through 30.2 innings last season, Lowder is likely in for huge results in Cincinnati in 2025!

MLB Rookie of the Year Predictions and Best Bets

Let’s conclude our MLB Rookie of the Year odds analysis with a look at our top picks in the NL and AL. Also, as an aside, consider accessing our MLB betting guide for help with a variety of different strategies this baseball season.

2025 AL Rookie of the Year Betting Pick

I’m excited to see what the Red Sox have to offer this season. Specifically, I’m looking forward to Anthony’s rookie season in Beantown. While Dominguez is fairly overvalued as the favorite, Anthony is getting fantastic odds at +600. Dominguez may very well have a better career, but I expect Anthony to be more MLB-ready in 2025. That’s high accolades for a 20-year-old. That said, for good reason, Anthony is the top-ranked prospect in the Major Leagues in 2025! He has all the tools in his tool chest to make a huge impact as a rookie. With this in mind, Anthony is the best AL Rookie of the Year pick on the board at +600!
The Bet
Roman Anthony

2025 NL Rookie of the Year Betting Pick

Sasaki is set to have an unbelievable year in the Dodgers’ rotation, but I don’t see the value at +175. A minor injury to a young pitcher has the chance to derail their campaign quickly. The Dodgers will be cautious with rushing Sasaki back from any injury, so that is my concern. Instead, online bookmakers are offering tremendous betting value on Crews to win the NL Rookie of the Year. Given his red-hot performance in spring training, I was expecting him to have a lower price than +400. Bettors haven’t caught on yet, but that means this is the perfect time to lock in your NL Rookie of the Year picks on Crews!
The Bet
Dylan Crews

Where to Bet on MLB Rookie of the Year?

MLB Rookie of the Year 2025 betting odds are available at select offshore sportsbooks! In our experience, the best option for MLB Rookie of the Year betting can be found at Bovada.

With prices on a wide array of players and the best odds online for the NL and AL, Bovada is a baseball bettor’s dream for this market. For a limited time, Bovada is offering a can’t-miss sign-up bonus for new customers.

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Kyle Eve
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Kyle Eve is Editor-in-Chief of The Sports Geek. Since joining the team in 2012, Kyle, has covered some of the biggest sporting events in the world. From the Super Bowl and World Series to March Madness, the NBA Finals, Kentucky Derby, and many more, Kyle has provided reliable analysis for millions of readers. After dedicating himself to hockey and football in high school, Kyle placed his first sports bet on his 18th birthday. Since then, he has spent his entire adult life devoting himself to becoming the best sports bettor and casino gambler possible. Kyle is from Windsor, ON, Canada
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