DPOY 2025 Odds and Predictions: Who Wins in Wemby’s Absence?

DPOY 2025 Odds and Predictions: Who Wins in Wemby’s Absence?

The NBA Defensive Player of the Year odds favored Victor Wembanyama for most of the season, but his injury changed the situation dramatically. There hasn’t been a clear favorite since the All-Star break, with the DPOY betting market split between two options.

Let’s delve into the favorites and make our updated 2024-25 NBA Defensive Player of the Year predictions!


NBA DPOY Betting Odds for 2024-25

The following NBA Defensive Player of the Year odds are courtesy of Bovada:

PLAYERODDS
Evan Mobley (Cavs)-130
Draymond Green (Warriors)+105
Dyson Daniels (Hawks)+1800

There are just three candidates worth laying a wager on, according to NBA betting sites! Evan Mobley (-130) is back on top after dropping to second in our last update on April 1. The Cleveland All-Star has an implied win probability of 56.5% to win this award for the first time. He is the defensive anchor of a team that will win at least 63 games this season, and finished at the top of the Eastern Conference.

Draymond Green (+105) is next with an implied win chance of 48.8%, as the 2017 Defensive Player of the Year has really stepped it up over the second half of the season. It helps that he has Jimmy Butler to roam the perimeter, but Green is still the key defensive guy in Golden State.

Atlanta’s Dyson Daniels (+1800) deserves more love in the NBA DPOY odds for 2025, as he is a one-man wrecking crew on defense! Daniels had 229 steals in Atlanta’s regular season, which is remarkable. He probably won’t win the award, but you could get a great return for betting on Daniels if he manages to pull off the upset!

Before I go through the main players and share my DPOY predictions for 2025, you should know you can find the odds at Bovada by simply going to Bovada > Basketball > NBA Awards and League Leaders.


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NBA Defensive Player of the Year Betting Favorite

With “Wemby” out of the picture, the race for DPOY looks completely different. Let’s evaluate the current favorites and find a solid return:

Evan Mobley (-130)

The Cavs’ forward is well deserving of his status as favorite in these NBA Defensive Player of the Year odds, as he had an excellent regular season for for the top seed in the East. It’s interesting that his teammatest clearly are pushing the narrative in his direction.

Mobley started lobbying for the award, as Green had, and his teammates are chiming as well. They know how important the 23-year-old is to their defensive schemes, and also to their NBA championship odds.

Mobley is 16th in the league with 9.3 rebounds per game, tied for fifth in blocks with 1.5, and he’s added 0.9 steals. With him on the floor, the Cavaliers have a defensive rating of 111.7. Without Mobley, the defensive rating is 113.4 in 10 games, and when that number increases, it’s not a good thing. Overall, Cleveland is eighth in defensive rating at 111.1.

He can truly guard positions 1-5 on the court, which is massive in this NBA where teams switch the pick-and-roll on defense all the time. The Cavaliers are a good team defensively, but Mobley is the anchor and would be an excellent choice for the Defensive Player of the Year!

Draymond Green (+105)

Green has been superb defensively, and it’s gotten the Warriors through some tough times. They were ninth in defensive rating before the All-Star break, just one spot behind Cleveland.

Since the All-Star break, the Warriors are third in defensive rating, and the trade of Jimmy Butler has had a lot to do with it. But Green is still the defensive linchpin of the Warriors, even though the numbers might not suggest it. Green is averaging 6.1 rebounds, more than three less than Mobley, along with 1.4 steals and 1.0 blocks.

Most of Green’s defensive ability comes from just watching how he conducts the defense, much like a point guard on offense. His odds offer a decent return as well, as Green was -175 ten days ago. Green has had a fantastic year, and even better the last two months. But is it enough to get him his second DPOY?


Best NBA Defensive Player of the Year 2024-25 Sleeper

Dyson Daniels (+1800)

Unlike Mobley and Green, Daniels doesn’t guard every position on the floor. He is 6’7”, but at around 200 pounds, Daniels can’t play in the post. But he makes up for it by making life miserable for anyone on the perimeter.

It might be even more important now as the NBA is very wing-heavy, and don’t play as much in the post. Daniels is an absolute menace against whomever he guards and has to be because Trae Young is a sieve on defense. The former New Orleans Pelican leads the league in steals with 3.0 per game, 1.2 more than second-placed Nikola Jokić of Denver.

You could also make an argument for Daniels for Most Improved, and the bookies agree! Daniels is now a massive favorite over Detroit’s Cade Cunningham in the NBA Most Improved Player odds. This is a considerable swing from a month ago.

Daniels might have to settle for that award as it looks like the DPOY will come down to Mobley and Green. But Daniels will be a terrifying perimeter defender for years to come.


NBA Defensive Player of the Year Predictions and Betting Pick

I’m sticking with my NBA DPOY prediction of Evan Mobley, even though he offers less of a return now at -130. The biggest factor to me is that Mobley is the defensive backbone of a 60-plus-win team and the #1 seed in the East.

I think Green has had a great season, but Mobley has been better from start to finish. Evan Mobley is my NBA Defensive Player of the Year prediction at -130!

The Bet
EVAN MOBLEY


Where to Bet on the NBA Defensive Player of the Year 2024-25?

Bet on NBA Defensive Player of the Year odds for the 2024-25 season at Bovada! Place your wager to win the award at a trusted and well-reviewed online bookie.

Whether you agree with our NBA Defensive Player of the Year predictions or are interested in fading, Bovada will have you covered with the best odds in the industry! Also, Bovada is offering a tremendous sign-up bonus to new customers right now.

Register at Bovada for a 100% match bonus of up to $1,000. Use promo code BV1000 to get yours when you sign up today!


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About the Author
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Finn Archer
Editor, Sports and Casino
Finn is a writer with 4+ years of experience publishing articles under the pseudonym Phil Bowman. He’s also a longtime sports enthusiast and bettor with a strong passion for soccer. That said, he’ll dabble in anything involving a ball, bat, or boxing gloves! His writing mainly focuses on helping bettors learn from their mistakes and gamble responsibly. Finn currently lives in Europe.
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