The New York mayor odds strongly favor Andrew Cuomo after the current mayor Eric Adams may have finally run out of luck. He’s up for re-election on November 4 but faces a crowded primary on June 24. Adams’ scandals have opened the mayoral field up to many candidates available for betting.
What are their odds to win the position? Here is my expert analysis on the most serious contenders and my New York mayor prediction.
2025 New York Mayor Betting Odds
The following New York City mayor odds are available at BetOnline:
| Candidate | Odds |
|---|---|
| Andrew Cuomo | -350 |
| Adrienne Adams | +1000 |
| Eric Adams | +1200 |
| Zohran Mamdani | +1200 |
| Scott Stringer | +2000 |
| Brad Lander | +2500 |
| Tish James | +2800 |
The New York City mayor odds reflect the rough state of the race. Former New York Governor Andrew Cuomo has the political connections and experience to run a competitive mayoral campaign.
However, candidates like Adrienne Adams and Zohran Mamdani pose challenges to Adams’ incumbency and Cuomo’s insurgency.
Outside of the main players, you can even find odds on Hillary Clinton and any Trump family member, so check out BetOnline if you want to bet on more exotic candidates.
New York City Mayoral Election 2025 Top Candidates
The 2025 New York City mayoral candidates are split into the former governor, a few reasonable challengers, and people who currently have no path to victory. Here are the four most likely winners.
Andrew Cuomo (-350)
Andrew Cuomo is the former governor of New York and is currently favored to win the mayoral race. Cuomo gained national popularity in the early days of the pandemic when he would make videos explaining the COVID-19 pandemic but was pushed out of office by a sexual misconduct scandal in 2021.
While Cuomo hasn’t officially entered the mayoral race at the time of this writing, he’s been reportedly preparing for months and is on the cusp of a campaign announcement.
Former New York Governor Andrew Cuomo, who stepped down from office amid a sexual harassment scandal in 2021 is preparing to announce a run for New York City mayor. https://t.co/dpJ0GZwkzg
— WENY News (@WENYTV) February 26, 2025
Cuomo’s strong connections and recognizability make him a strong candidate and the most likely winner, if he indeed enters the race.
Adrienne Adams (+1000)
Adrienne Adams is Speaker of the New York City Council and reportedly being pushed to challenge Eric Adams and former Governor Cuomo in the mayoral primary. New York Attorney General Letitia James is among Cuomo’s rivals and is behind the push for Adrienne Adams.
ICYMI: @QnsBPRichards on if he wants @NYCSpeakerAdams to run for Mayor, which is growing in rumor by the day with sources telling me she is getting calls and considering.
“She’s led the city with the dignity, respect and integrity and is someone I hold in high regard.” pic.twitter.com/TGlDe5o8NK
— Dan Mannarino (@DanMannarino) February 22, 2025
Adrienne Adams has also pushed back on Eric Adams’ increasingly conservative policy positions, like his support for Trump’s restrictive immigration policies.
Eric Adams (+1200)
Eric Adams’ mayoral term has been marked by scandals. His most high-profile one, which led the governor to consider removing him, concerned illegal campaign contributions he took from Turkish officials in exchange for favors.
For example, he accepted luxurious upgrades on Turkish Airlines in exchange for waiving fire inspection requirements for the new Turkish consulate in New York. Federal prosecutors indicted Adams in September 2024, and the Trump administration dropped those charges in February.
At a Black History Month event at Gracie tonight, Mayor Adams compared himself to Jesus: "This is a biblical moment…When Jesus was on the cross, he said, 'god forgive them for they know not what they do.' All these negros that are asking me to step down, god forgive them." pic.twitter.com/sANImL1vDi
— Chris Sommerfeldt (@C_Sommerfeldt) February 26, 2025
Now the unpopular mayor is in a fight for his life as he tries to recover from his scandals and proximity to Trump in a Democratic stronghold.
Zohran Mamdani (+1200)
Zohran Mamdani is a self-described Democratic Socialist who has performed well in recent mayoral polls. Mamdani is an assemblyman from Queens who polled second behind Cuomo in a recent Tusk Strategies poll.
Among the progressives, Mamdani is the most competitive, with $641,000 in one fundraising round.
A poll commissioned by Tusk Strategies, a firm closely aligned with Andrew Cuomo, finds what I would imagine is his dream fundraising scenario: Mamdani, a Democratic socialist, in second place.https://t.co/Sy0HpHGVjT
— Sally Goldenberg (@SallyGold) February 25, 2025
He has a record which includes populist policies like frozen rent and free bus travel. However, he has also accused Israel of committing genocide in Gaza, going so far as to say he’d arrest the Israeli prime minister if he came to New York City. The city that Mamdani hopes to govern has one of the largest Jewish populations in the world, so he has created an opening for his opponents.
Key Issues in the New York City Mayoral Election
A People’s Pulse survey released in February 2025 found that some of the most important issues to New York City residents are:
- Housing prices
- Public safety
- Mental health
Each of these issues is important on their own. New York City is notoriously expensive, and a walking city requires safe streets. Work rhythms can also make residents isolated among the mass of people each resident shares the city with.
But all three issues are related to one crucial issue: homelessness. The survey found that New York City residents broadly have compassion for homeless people. However, there have also been some viral incidents with violent and mentally ill homeless people on New York City subways. Commuter concern has put public safety and mental health on the public agenda together.
So, the next mayor will face the challenge of implementing a compassionate and affordable solution to reduce homelessness in one of the country’s most expensive cities.
New York City Mayoral Election 2025 Polls
As of the end of February, polling data is light on the mayoral candidates. There are two polls that show basic patterns. One is the Tusk Strategies poll, which has ties to Andrew Cuomo. The other comes from Unite NY/Citizens Data.
NYC mayoral polls continue to be all over the place — these two out today show huge variations for Lander, Mamdani, Stringer and Ramos. (Only constant: Cuomo with a big lead.) pic.twitter.com/MjXhSexuPb
— Nick Garber (@nick_garber) February 25, 2025
Both polls show Cuomo ahead, which is unsurprising given the political career he’s had and the infrastructure that is likely built to power his campaign. That’s the only thing they have in common.
The Tusk Strategies poll is likely more reliable because it’s a survey of likely Democratic voters instead of registered voters in New York City. The Democratic candidate is likely to win the mayoral race, especially as Democrats bristle at Trump and Musk’s DOGE cuts. So, the candidate that Democrats choose is likely to win.
Astute bettors will notice that the Tusk Strategies poll aligns more closely with BetOnline’s New York mayor odds than the Unite NY poll.
New York City Mayoral Election 2024 Prediction and Best Bet
My prediction is that Governor Cuomo will make his comeback and win the New York City mayorship. Ever since he’s left office, he’s been working on recovering his image. The mayorship of the United State’s largest city is also a high-profile position that he could relaunch a political career from.
The former governor was also able to become an admired figure that contrasted with Trump’s bombast during the pandemic. Cuomo could bring that same skillset to a party that is struggling to define itself after its electoral losses in 2024 and inability to focus on a target to direct voters’ rage onto.
Although, Elon Musk is becoming that figure. Whether anger at Musk has significant electoral consequences remains to be seen.
Cuomo’s national experience makes him the favorite for a good reason, so that’s the best betting prediction for next New York City mayor.
Where to Bet the 2024 New York City Mayoral Election?
New York City’s mayoral election will shape the vision Democrats have for the future after Eric Adams’ many scandals. Eight months out, Cuomo is best positioned to win the race, and as of this writing, he hasn’t even made his official campaign announcement yet.
BetOnline has odds on many mayoral candidates from the serious to outlandish, giving bettors lots of ways to interact with what will be among the most-watched races in 2025. If you decide to place a wager, you can grab a $250 no-strings attached welcome bonus!
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