The NFL MVP odds for 2024-25 move up and down, so our team makes sure to follow them and share fresh predictions regularly. Lamar Jackson of the Baltimore Ravens took home the trophy last season, but can he do it again?
With the NFL loaded with elite quarterbacks, the MVP race has never been hotter and we have a running back in the mix now! Several top players are looking to win the MVP trophy after an exciting 2024-25 season.
But who is the best value on the board? Which sleeper should everyone keep an eye on this season? Keep reading to find the answers!
NFL MVP 2024-25 Betting Odds
The following NFL MVP odds for 2024-25 are courtesy of Bovada:
| PLAYER | ODDS |
|---|---|
| Josh Allen (BUF) | -500 |
| Saquon Barkley (PHI) | +450 |
| Lamar Jackson (BAL) | +900 |
| Jared Goff (DET) | +1500 |
| Patrick Mahomes (KC) | +3500 |
| Sam Darnold (MIN) | +5000 |
Buffalo’s Josh Allen (-500) has all but wrapped up the award as he is the runaway favorite in these 2024-25 NFL MVP odds! Allen has had a two-week stretch that is up there with any of the best players in NFL history to widen his gap atop NFL betting sites, and he now has an 83.3% chance to win the award!
It’s going to be a tough deficit to overcome for Philadelphia’s Saquon Barkley (+550), who has an implied chance of 18.2% to win now, through no fault of his own. The Eagles’ running back continues to put up incredible numbers, but Allen is putting up video-game stats right now.
The NFL MVP odds then drop to Baltimore’s Lamar Jackson (+950) and Detroit’s Jared Goff (+1500), and both would need to go absolutely nuts to even leapfrog Barkley. Both have had terrific seasons, but they’re definitely behind the top two.
You can find up-to-date odds to win NFL MVP at Bovada by navigating to All Sports > Football > NFL Awards & League Leaders > Most Valuable Player.
NFL MVP Betting Favorites for 2024-25
We have a few obvious candidates for the award, according to both the bookmakers and common sense. You simply can’t ignore them when betting on the NFL MVP, so let’s see what they have to offer.
Josh Allen (-500)
First, Allen became the first player in NFL history to have a passing, receiving, and rushing touchdown in the same game in a 35-10 romp over San Francisco in snowy Buffalo. Then, Allen one-upped that by becoming the first player in NFL history with three passing touchdowns, and three rushing scores, in the same game! The Bills lost 44-42 to the Los Angeles Rams on the road, but it wasn’t Allen’s fault.
What an incredible performance by Josh Allen on Sunday! 🤯
•••
(🎥: @NFL) pic.twitter.com/9PTLVkAmbz— JayOnSC (@JayOnSC) December 9, 2024
The Bills have a massive game against Detroit to headline the NFL Week 15 slate, so Allen has another chance to cement his MVP chances. But it’s probably already a done deal as Allen has passed for 3,033 yards, completing 64.1% of his passes with 23 touchdowns and five picks. He has also added 416 yards and nine scores on the ground.
It was a close race at the time of our last update, as Allen was favored at +125, but he has slammed the door shut on his rivals.
Saquon Barkley (+450)
Again, this is no knock on Barkley, who leads the NFL with 1,623 rushing yards, and has added 11 touchdowns. His 124 yards against Carolina was his fourth straight 100-yard game, and his ninth of the season!
We know you’re gonna like this one 😏🎙️
Watch this week’s episode of Mic’d Up with Saquon Barkley & Quinyon Mitchell!#ProBowlVote | #FlyEaglesFly pic.twitter.com/Ne2fvl8EOP
— Philadelphia Eagles (@Eagles) December 13, 2024
Barkley is 482 yards behind Eric Dickerson’s rushing record mark of 2,105 yards, with four games to go. However, I don’t even think that would be enough for the former Penn State star to beat out Allen in these NFL MVP odds. But once the Eagles figured out that they should ride Barkley, their season turned around and their Super Bowl 59 odds improved at online sportsbooks.
Lamar Jackson (+900)
Jackson was the NFL MVP odds favorite earlier in the season, but Allen and Barkley have surpassed him and the Ravens have lost two of their last three. They fell 24-19 to Philadelphia at home in a game that was winnable, but the offense couldn’t make enough plays, and kicker Justin Tucker missed two field goals.
It’s really not talked about enough that Lamar Jackson has 29 passing touchdowns to 3 interceptions with a passer rating of 116.3 and has an additional 675 yards on the ground along with 3 rushing touchdowns
— Football Analysis (@FBallAnalysisYT) December 11, 2024
The two-time MVP has still had a great season, completing 67% of his passes for 3,290 yards, 29 touchdowns, and three interceptions! Jackson also has 678 rushing yards, by far the most for a quarterback.
That goes to show how good Allen has been because in most other seasons, Jackson is probably lining to win his third MVP and the favorite at offshore sportsbooks. He has a better shot than Goff at +1700.
Best NFL MVP Award Sleepers in 2024-25
The NFL MVP award usually goes to a big-name quarterback on a great team. However, there have been several longshots over the last few seasons to take home this award. Here are some of the best sleepers to win the MVP award and their respective odds.
Sam Darnold (+5000)
This is really just to give Darnold his due for the season he has had because the former USC star is only starting because rookie J.J. McCarthy got hurt. But Darnold has been brilliant, completing 68.4% of his passes for 3,299 yards, 28 touchdowns, and 10 interceptions. The Vikings are 11-2 and only a game behind Detroit in the NFC North, and still in the mix for the #1 seed in the NFC!
Sam Darnold had a DAY today!!! 🔥 pic.twitter.com/6TWCHmkJLe
— FOX Sports: NFL (@NFLonFOX) December 8, 2024
Darnold is in an interesting position because he’s going to get paid very well in the offseason, so the Vikings have to decide if they want to keep him, or let him walk to give the keys to McCarthy. But if Darnold plays well in the playoffs and the Vikings go far, it will be really tough to do that.
2024-25 NFL MVP Prediction and Betting Pick
These NFL MVP odds no longer have any betting value, so I would probably stay away due to the lack of value. However, if you’re insistent on making an NFL MVP prediction, don’t overthink it. Josh Allen is the pick, regardless of whatever else happens this season.
Short of Barkley reaching at least 2,300 yards on the ground, or Jackson losing his mind over the last four weeks, Allen is basically a lock to win the NFL MVP award. But the Bills still have a lot to play for, so he won’t take his foot off the gas in Buffalo!
Who Are You Backing in the NFL MVP Race?
It was a tight race between the league’s best quarterbacks for the most prestigious individual award in football, but it looks like Josh Allen’s award to lose. The NFL MVP odds for 2024-25 reflect that.
Who are you backing this year? Even if you don’t see your favorite in the odds above, that’s because I only cut the list to the top players. Bovada, one of the best sites for NFL betting online, features many more, so visit the sportsbook to place your wager and get a welcome bonus of up to $1,000 in the process!
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