NFL Betting Trends You Should Know For Preseason Week 3

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Will Salvarinas
Will Salvarinas in NFL
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NFL Preseason Week 3

The final week of the NFL preseason is upon us, and we have compiled key betting trends for each of the 16 games to help you make some informed wagers this weekend.

Here are some ‘quick hit’ general trends to keep in mind when betting on the NFL preseason. To start, track the betting line movement. Going back to 2011, short underdogs who opened higher than three points, and closed inside a field goal by kickoff time have gone 68-39-8 against the number (64%).

As for relevant total trends to keep in mind when betting the NFL pre-season, don’t forget that 37 is often a key number. It’s the third-most common landing number after both 41 points, and 44 points.

Going back to 2008, preseason totals listed at 37 points or less, where the home team is the underdog have gone 46-24 historically, for a 66% clip.

Those trends should make for a thrilling final week of NFL preseason action, especially with many teams gearing up to play their starters for longer stretches.

Keep reading below for specific game trends on these matchups, and don’t forget to take a look at all of the point spreads, totals, moneylines, and props for all 16 NFL Preseason Week 3 games at the best NFL betting sites.

Pittsburgh Steelers at Atlanta Falcons NFL Preseason Week 3 Trends

  • The Steelers have won on the second-half moneyline in their past five games
  • Pittsburgh is 6-0 against the spread in their last six games
  • The Steelers are 6-0 in their previous six matches against Atlanta
  • The total has gone over in nine of Pittsburgh’s last 11 games played on a Thursday
  • The total has gone under in seven of Atlanta’s last eight games
  • The Falcons are 2-5 ATS in their last seven games at home

Indianapolis Colts at Philadelphia Eagles NFL Preseason Week 3 Trends

  • The Colts are 1-4 in their past five games against the spread
  • The total has gone over in five of Indianapolis’ last six games played in the month of August
  • Indianapolis is winless in their last six games against Philadelphia
  • The total has gone under in five of the past seven Eagles’ games
  • Philadelphia is 4-12-1 against the spread in their last 17 games played in August.
  • The total has gone under in five of Philadelphia’s last six games at home

Detroit Lions at Carolina Panthers NFL Preseason Week 3 Trends

  • Detroit have covered the spread in four of their past five road games
  • The total has gone over in eleven of Detroit’s last 15 games played in August
  • Carolina is 4-1 straight up in their last five games Friday home games
  • Eight of the past twelve home games for Carolina have gone under the total
  • The Panthers have covered seven of their past ten games against the spread
  • The Lions have won just two of their past ten games against Carolina

New England Patriots at Tennessee Titans NFL Preseason Week 3 Trends

  • New England is 1-5 against the spread in their previous six games
  • New England is 9-4 straight up in their last 13 games played in August
  • Tennessee has won just one game from their previous nine contests
  • Tennessee is 2-7 against the spread in their last nine games played on a Friday
  • The Titans are 0-5 in their past five games against AFC opponents
  • The total has gone under in 11 of Tennessee’s past 16 contests

Los Angeles Chargers at San Francisco 49ers NFL Preseason Week 3 Trends

  • The Chargers have covered the spread in their last four games against the 49ers
  • The total has gone over in four of the past five Chargers’ games
  • The Chargers are 1-6 in their last seven August games
  • The Niners are 5-2 straight up in their past seven games in August
  • San Francisco has won four of their past five Friday games
  • San Francisco is 8-0 against the spread in their last eight games at home.

Arizona Cardinals at Minnesota Vikings NFL Preseason Week 3 Trends

  • Arizona has won just one of their past eight games
  • The Cardinals have won one of their past six road games
  • The total has gone over in four of Arizona’s last five games played in August
  • The Vikings have covered the spread in just one of their past eight games
  • The total has gone over in four of Minnesota’s last six games played on a Saturday when at home
  • Minnesota is 0-9 straight up in their last nine games played in August

Buffalo Bills at Chicago Bears NFL Preseason Week 3 Trends

  • The total has gone over in five of Buffalo’s last seven games
  • The Bills have covered the spread in nine of their past eleven games
  • Buffalo is 11-2 against the spread in their past thirteen games in August
  • Chicago has won just one of their past 12 games
  • Chicago is 4-2 against the number in their last six games Saturday home games
  • The game total has gone over in four of the last five meetings between the Bears and Bills

Cleveland Browns at Kansas City Chiefs NFL Preseason Week 3 Trends

  • Eight of Cleveland’s last ten games have gone under
  • Cleveland is 14-5-1 in their last 20 games played in August
  • Kansas City is 0-6 against the spread in their last six games home games against the Browns
  • Kansas City has gone under the game total in their past five Saturday games
  • The total has gone under in nine of Cleveland’s last 10 games played on a Saturday
  • Cleveland is winless in their past five games against the Chiefs

Seattle Seahawks at Green Bay Packers NFL Preseason Week 3 Trends

  • Seattle has covered the spread in only three of their past eleven games
  • Seattle is 0-5 against the spread in their last five games when playing on the road against Green Bay
  • The Seahawks have won just one of their past five games against the Packers
  • Seattle is 1-7 straight up in their last eight road games played on a Saturday
  • The total has gone under in eight of Green Bay’s last 11 games played on a Saturday
  • Green Bay has gone 5-2 against the spread in their past seven games

New York Jets at New York Giants NFL Preseason Week 3 Trends

  • The Jets have won just one game in their past seven contests
  • NY Jets are 7-3 against the spread in their last 10 games played in August
  • The Jets have covered seven of their past eight games when the road team vs. the Giants
  • The Giants have gone over the game total in five of their last seven games
  • The NY Giants are 2-5 in their past seven Saturday games
  • The total has gone over the number in five of NY Giants’ last seven games

Cincinnati Bengals at Washington Commanders NFL Preseason Week 3 Trends

  • The Bengals have won 14 of their past 19 contests
  • Cincinnati has covered the spread in six of their past seven road games
  • The Bengals have just one win in their last seven games played in August
  • Washington is 0-8 straight up in their last eight games played on a Saturday
  • The Commanders have covered just four of their past 14 games in August
  • Four of Cincinnati’s last five games have gone under the game total when playing Washington

Baltimore Ravens at Tampa Bay Buccaneers NFL Preseason Week 3 Trends

  • The total has gone over in four of the Ravens’ last 5 games
  • Baltimore has won just one game in their past six contests on the road
  • The total has gone over in five of the Ravens’ last six August games
  • The Buccaneers have covered just twice from their last ten games
  • The total has gone under in eight of Tampa Bay’s last 10 Saturday home games
  • Tampa Bay has won just once from their past seven games against the Ravens

Miami Dolphins at Jacksonville Jaguars NFL Preseason Week 3 Trends

  • The Dolphins have covered four of their past five games
  • Miami has won five of their past seven contests in August
  • Miami has won 10 of their previous 13 games against the Jaguars
  • Jacksonville is 5-0 in their past five home games
  • The Jaguars have won just three games over their past 13 contests in August
  • The total has gone under in seven of Jacksonville’s last eight games against Miami

Las Vegas Raiders at Dallas Cowboys NFL Preseason Week 3 Trends

  • The Raiders have covered the spread in seven of their past 10 games
  • Las Vegas has covered their last six games in August
  • The Raiders have won just two of their last six games against the Cowboys
  • The Cowboys have won just one of their past five contests
  • Dallas is 2-4 against the number in their last six games played on a Saturday when playing at home
  • The Cowboys are 2-8 against the spread in their last 10 August games

Los Angeles Rams at Denver Broncos NFL Preseason Week 3 Trends

  • The Rams have won just two times in their past 13 games
  • The Rams are 0-7 straight up in their last seven games on the road
  • The Rams have gone over the total in four of their past five games in August
  • The total has gone over in six of Denver’s last seven games
  • The Broncos are 2-5 against the spread in their last seven August games
  • Denver is 2-9 straight up across their last 11 games
  • Five of the last six Broncos vs. Rams games have gone under the game total

Houston Texas at New Orleans Saints NFL Preseason Week 3 Trends

  • Houston has won just three times in their past 14 games
  • The Texans have covered five of their past six games against the Saints
  • Houston is 6-2 against the spread in their last eight games played in August
  • The Saints are 5-1 straight up in their past six games
  • The total has gone under in five of New Orleans’ last six games against Houston
  • Four of the past six Saints’ home games have gone under
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About the Author
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Will Salvarinas
Content Writer
Content Covered on TSG: Blog and News
Will has been working with The Sports Geek since its early days back in 2010. He began as a soccer specialist providing top-notch analysis on the World Cup and European Championships. Over the years, he’s expanded his coverage to include other major sports like the NFL, NHL and MLB. As an avid sports bettor and daily fantasy player, Salvarinas is always eager to share his insight or get into a healthy debate over what bets to make.
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