The NFL Conference Championships are scheduled for this Sunday in Kansas City and Philadelphia. There are only three games left this season, including Super Bowl 57 at State Farm Stadium. We are looking at the best NFL Conference Championship odds from Bovada and prop bets.
Along with prop bets for the AFC and NFC Championships, we are providing our latest NFC Conference Championship predictions. We already put out some leans for the NFL Conference Championship games on the blog.
In the first of two semifinal matchups on Sunday, we have the Philadelphia Eagles hosting the San Francisco 49ers at Lincoln Financial Field. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:00 p.m. EST in Philadelphia for the NFC Championship.
Who’s headed to #SBLVII? pic.twitter.com/qJuoepa5BX
— NFL (@NFL) January 23, 2023
In the late game, the Kansas City Chiefs welcome a familiar foe to Arrowhead Stadium for the AFC Championship. The Cincinnati Bengals won in an upset in Orchard Park to reach the AFC Championship Game for the second consecutive year.
Cincinnati made it to Super Bowl 56 at SoFi Stadium but lost a close one to the LA Rams. They were not expected to make it that far last year. The same could be said for this season.
The Eagles are looking to go back to the Super Bowl five years after winning Super Bowl LII. From the top to the bottom, the Eagles have a more talented team than they did back then. They didn’t have an elite defense and Nick Foles was fortunate to go on a hot run.
Jalen Hurts is not just a one-trick pony. He is in the NFL MVP race and isn’t just going through a phase like Foles. Is rookie Brock Purdy of the 49ers going through a phase or is this for real?
We are going to try to answer this question with our NFL Conference Championship predictions. Let’s get into the most recent NFL Conference Championship odds for the NFC Championship and AFC Championship.
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2023 NFL Conference Championship Betting Odds
If you are looking for a clear favorite to win this weekend, you are not going to find it. There isn’t really a favorite on the board in the NFL Conference Championship games. That means there isn’t a true Super Bowl 57 favorite.
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The Eagles are the biggest favorite this weekend. They are favored by 2.5 points over the 49ers. After the Divisional Round games on Sunday, the Chiefs were the favorites to win Super Bowl 57.
Kansas City is now the third team to win the Super Bowl at +330. The Eagles are +230 while the Bengals are +240 to win Super Bowl 57. The news of Patrick Mahomes’ high ankle sprain is having a big impact at sportsbooks.
The Chiefs are 1.5-point underdogs at home against the Bengals. The public likes what they saw last week from the Bengals over the Bills. Is there too much overreaction to Mahomes’ injury?
NFC Championship Odds and Predictions
NFC Championship Betting Odds Courtesy of Bovada:
| Teams | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| San Francisco 49ers | +2.5 (-105) | +125 | Over 46.5 (-110) |
| Philadelphia Eagles | -2.5 (-115) | -145 | Under 46.5 (-110) |
The 49ers fly across the country from the west to the east coast with a trip to Arizona on the line. The NFC Championship is a balanced matchup featuring two teams that do a lot of things well.
They are not as high flying as the Bengals and Chiefs, but the Eagles and 49ers play fundamentally sound football. The old adage is that defense wins championships. If that is true this season, the winner of Super Bowl 57 is going to come from the NFC.
The Eagles are 2.5-point favorites thanks to having home field on Sunday. The NFC Championship odds would be flipped if this game was in California. Talent wise there is not too much to differentiate the Eagles and 49ers.
More Purdy Magic?
The question is if the rookie is going to stay hot with the lights getting bigger and brighter. Brock Purdy possibly has two more tests in front of him before completing an improbable run as Mr. Irrelevant. He took over following an injury to Jimmy Garoppolo against the Miami Dolphins on December 4.
.@JalenHurts: 341 TOT YDS, 5 TOT TDs@brockpurdy13: 337 TOT YDS, 6 TOT TDs
These two battled in college in 2019, now they meet up in the NFC Championship Game 🔥 (via @CFBONFOX)
📺: #SFvsPHI — 3pm ET on FOX
📱: Stream on NFL+ https://t.co/RqOcaBtu9E pic.twitter.com/D8uAuEoaNs— NFL (@NFL) January 23, 2023
Purdy passed for 1,374 yards, 13 touchdowns, and 4 interceptions on 67.1% completions. He added 546 yards and 3 touchdowns with no interceptions in the playoffs. This is a tough assignment against one of the best secondaries in football.
Helping Purdy is going to be a strong run game. Christian McCaffrey and Elijah Mitchell should chew up yardage against a mediocre defensive front. The Eagles are just 16th in the league against the run.
The 49ers can stop the run with the second-best unit on the ground in the NFL. They’ve allowed 77.7 rushing yards per game. In this type of game, that could be the difference.
NFC Championship Prop Bets
For these NFL Conference Championship odds, let’s get into the NFC Championship prop bet odds. We are finding the three best props for the NFC Championship Game.
Christian McCaffrey Total Rushing Yards (O/U 60.5 Yards)
The 49ers cannot put Purdy in danger in the pocket. They must stick to the game plan and attack a so-so run defense. Philadelphia is the best team in the NFL with 179.8 passing yards allowed per game.
Purdy will have to make plays, but the focal point of the 49ers is going to be on the ground. They are going to use Christian McCaffrey often in this one. He was brought to San Francisco to put the 49ers over the top, so it’s time for him to earn his money.
San Francisco is 11-0 after Christian McCaffrey joined the @49ers.
“Don’t sleep on Christian McCaffrey and the 49ers and Kyle Shanahan’s offense. Another reason why they’re going to beat Dallas. Another reason why they’re going to the Super Bowl!” pic.twitter.com/Npha2UdEaB
— NFL on CBS 🏈 (@NFLonCBS) January 19, 2023
McCaffrey gained over 1,139 yards and 8 touchdowns on 4.7 yards per attempt. He had a huge showing in the Wild Card Round against the Seahawks with 119 rushing yards on 15 attempts.
The Eagles are 16th in the NFL with 121.6 rushing yards allowed per game. There should be holes for McCaffrey to run. At 60.5 yards, his rushing prop looks too low.
George Kittle Total Receptions (O/U 3.5)
Purdy will be asked to get rid of the ball quickly. He can’t pass into the teeth of the Eagles’ secondary. If this is what happens, the 49ers are going to be in trouble.
George Kittle should prove to be a difference-maker for the 49ers. Kittle may not put up huge numbers, but could ultimately be the Most Valuable Player. His presence across the middle of the field is going to be a problem for the Eagles.
Kittle hauled in 5 receptions for 95 yards last week. It was the sixth time in seven games that Kittle notched at least 4 receptions. He figures to play an important role again this week.
Tie game in the 3rd quarter, the @49ers needed a big play.@gkittle46 put the game in his hands, then his helmet, then back in his hands. (by @FanDuel) pic.twitter.com/Q70JXGH8cw
— NFL (@NFL) January 24, 2023
The 29-year-old should see plenty of targets from Purdy. Purdy feels comfortable with Kittle and he has come down with some circus receptions lately. Expect the star tight end to have at least 5 receptions in the NFC Championship Game.
Longest Rushing Attempt – Jalen Hurts (O/U 12.5 Yards)
The Eagles’ offense is unlikely to run a smooth operation on Sunday. They will have to hit a big play or two here and there. Moving the ball methodically down the field for 4 quarters will not be easy.
Hurts running around and improvising could be a big part of the Eagles’ offense. The 49ers should do a fine job containing Hurts. He is not going to run for over 100 yards.
▪️ 3,701 passing yards
▪️ 22 passing touchdowns
▪️ 760 rushing yards
▪️ 13 rushing touchdowns
▪️ #1 seed in NFCRT if Jalen Hurts is your MVP. pic.twitter.com/Em6bNAzGk3
— NFL UK (@NFLUK) January 25, 2023
However, it’s likely that Hurts is going to break at least one big run. It does not even have to be a big gainer for him to hit the OVER on this prop bet. At 12.5 yards, Hurts just needs to find a lane for a 13-yard run.
He should manage to accomplish that much in the NFC Championship Game. Go with the OVER on Hurts’ longest rushing attempt in the game.
AFC Championship Odds and Predictions
AFC Championship Betting Odds Courtesy of Bovada:
| Teams | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cincinnati Bengals | -1 (-110) | -120 | Over 47 (-110) |
| KC Chiefs | +1 (-110) | +100 | Under 47 (-110) |
The Bengals are currently a 1-point favorite on the road at Arrowhead Stadium. This would not have happened without the injury to Patrick Mahomes. The Chiefs would be favored to win the Super Bowl if Mahomes wasn’t dealing with a high ankle sprain.
Despite the injury, Mahomes has been practicing throughout the week. Head coach Andy Reid did not report any setbacks. Look for Mahomes to be ready to play at Arrowhead on Sunday.
It took overtime to crown last season’s AFC champion.
Will the rematch be just as thrilling? 👀
📺: #CINvsKC — Sunday 6:30pm ET on CBS
📱: Stream on NFL+ pic.twitter.com/TGUM1zeFgU— NFL (@NFL) January 24, 2023
He will have his ankle shot up to limit the pain from playing through an injury. The public is overreacting just a tad to this news. Mahomes is going to play and he should play well.
The Bengals are on a torrid pace with ten straight wins going into Kansas City. They also beat the Chiefs in this spot last year, too. It is understandable to see the love for the Bengals in the AFC Championship.
Mahomes Unfazed By Ankle Injury?
He is going to have to bite his tongue and dig deep in this one. Mahomes will feel some discomfort. However, he should take care of a spotty Cincinnati defense at home.
The Bengals are 23rd against the pass in the NFL. They are dealing with the top passing unit on Sunday. Mahomes passed for almost 300 yards per game this season.
Overall, the Chiefs lead the league with 413.6 yards per game. The offense should be in good shape despite the injury to Mahomes. Look for some big plays through the air.
Joe Mixon was able to get on track last week behind a strong performance from the Bengals’ offensive line. Do we expect to see this in back-to-back weeks? The Bengals are 29th with 95.5 rushing yards per game.
In a game that could be remembered for a long time, expect Mahomes to will his side to victory. The Chiefs as a small home underdog are worth considering in the AFC Championship.
AFC Championship Prop Bets
We have three more NFL Conference Championship prop bets for the AFC Championship. These NFL Conference Championship odds come from the matchup at Arrowhead Stadium between the Bengals and Chiefs.
Patrick Mahomes Total Passing Yards (O/U 279.5 Yards)
Bettors are scared of the ankle injury to Mahomes going into the AFC Championship. The public is backing the Bengals largely because of the injury. While Mahomes will be limited running around, he should be able to stand in the pocket and fire away.
Patrick Mahomes off his LEFT foot for the touchdown.
Wowza. #JAXvsKC | #NFLPlayoffs
— Lukas Weese (@Weesesports) January 22, 2023
Mahomes passed for a career-high 5,250 yards this season. The extra game helped, but it was still a successful campaign. So successful that it looks like Mahomes is going to win his second career MVP.
He should find room in the secondary to connect downfield. Cincinnati is 23rd in the league with 229.1 passing yards allowed per game. They are not the worst, but there is a good feeling that Mahomes is not going down easily after losing to the Bengals last year.
Look for Mahomes to touch around 300 yards against the Bengals on Sunday.
Hayden Hurst Total Receiving Yards (O/U 34.5 Yards)
Hayden Hurst has been a sleeper target for Joe Burrow over the last two weeks. Hurst has been a favorite of Burrow. The former Baltimore Raven has been targeted 12 times in the playoffs.
He had 6 targets for 4 receptions and 45 yards in the Wild Card Round. He came back the following week and had 5 receptions and 59 yards with a touchdown.
Two Bengals drives, two Bengals touchdowns. Joe Burrow hits Hayden Hurst in the end zone for a 15-yard score! Bengals lead the Bills 14-0! 🏈 pic.twitter.com/fZWIduIOH2
— WLWT (@WLWT) January 22, 2023
In the last three games, Hurst has been targeted at least 5 times. As defenses try to blanket Ja’Marr Chase and Tee Higgins, opportunities are opening up for Hurst.
The total for this prop bet is about 5 or 6 yards too short. Look for Hurst to go for a minimum of 40 yards against the Chiefs.
Travis Kelce Total Receptions (O/U 6.5)
Travis Kelce is coming off a huge performance in the Divisional Round against the Jaguars. He was a reception machine with 14 receptions and 98 yards. Kelce also found the end zone twice, as the Jaguars had no response to him.
💪 14 receptions
💪 Most catches by a TE in a playoff game
💪 Jumped to 2nd all-time in playoff receptions (120)Just another day at the office for @tkelce 🤷♂️ pic.twitter.com/NbfG6swWhQ
— NFL (@NFL) January 23, 2023
Last week was the third game this season where Kecle has gotten into the double digits for receptions. Kelce being a magnet for receptions isn’t anything new. He recorded 110 receptions, 1,338 yards, and 12 touchdowns in the regular season this season.
Since December 18 against the Houston Texans, Kelce has averaged 8.6 receptions per game. In the biggest game of the season, it’s likely that he is the main target for Mahomes. Kelce is getting good value at 6.5 receptions.
