The NFL Defensive Player of the Year (DPOY) award is extremely competitive, and the betting odds suggest that won’t change in 2024-25.
Last season, Myles Garrett of the Cleveland Browns won the award, edging out Pittsburgh’s T.J. Watt by just a few votes. But who will take home the honor for the 2024–2025 NFL season? Here are the latest odds and my predictions for next year’s NFL Defensive Player of the Year award.
NFL Defensive Player Of The Year Odds 2024-25
Here are the odds to win the 2024-2025 Defensive Player of the Year award, via BetUS:
| PLAYER | POSITION | TEAM | ODDS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aidan Hutchinson | DE | Detroit Lions | +250 |
| T.J. Watt | LB | Pittsburgh Steelers | +300 |
| Chris Jones | DT | Kansas City Chiefs | +1,000 |
| Nick Bosa | DE | San Francisco 49ers | +1,000 |
| Maxx Crosby | DE | Las Vegas Raiders | +1,400 |
| Xavier McKinney | S | Green Bay Packers | +1,500 |
| Fred Warner | LB | San Francisco 49ers | +1,800 |
| Myles Garrett | DE | Cleveland Browns | +2,000 |
| Micah Parsons | LB | Dallas Cowboys | +2,800 |
| Will Anderson Jr. | DE | Houston Texans | +3,000 |
Aidan Hutchinson (+250) is the new betting favorite to win the 2024-25 NFL Defensive Player of the Year award. The Lions’ edge rusher has an implied probability of 28.6% to win in his third season.
Following Hutchinson, T.J. Watt (+300) has the next shortest odds. According to the latest odds at the best NFL betting sites, Hutchinson and Watt are nearly co-favorites to win the DPOY.
With a 25% implied chance of winning the award, Watt has just 3.6% behind Hutchinson after the Week 5 schedule. Aside from Hutchinson and Watt, there isn’t another player currently in contention.
Myles Garett (+2000) and Micah Parsons (+2,800) have both fallen off the map in recent weeks. They have been regarded as the favorites over the last few years, but neither has done enough on the field this season.
You can find up-to-date 2024-25 DPOY odds at BetUS by navigating to Sportsbook > Football > NFL Season Awards > 2024-2025 NFL Defensive Player of the Year.
NFL Defensive Player of the Year 2024–25 Betting Favorites
There has been a recent shake-up in the NFL DPOY odds, so some of the usual cast of characters are not present. Parsons and Garrett are on the outside looking in. However, Watt
It’s no surprise to see many of the same names listed here as the best NFL bets for this award.
Aidan Hutchinson, Lions (+250)
Lions’ pass rusher Aidan Hutchinson has experienced one of the largest changes in his odds to win Defensive Player of the Year. Feared by offensive lines and quarterbacks, the defensive end’s odds have dropped from +1,100 earlier this season to +250.
In his second season a year ago, Hutchinson broke out for 11.5 sacks and an interception. He is already nearly halfway there in only two games! Hutchinson is on pace for a career year with 6.5 sacks in four games. Coming off a bye week, Hutchinson leads the NFL by a half sack.
Aidan Hutchinson takes the crown in sacks after Week 5. 👑 #NFL pic.twitter.com/RiTq27BTWG
— Sunday Night Football on NBC (@SNFonNBC) October 8, 2024
I don’t foresee any offensive line in the NFL eager to play this guy. He was already a major threat a season ago and has only improved. At this rate, Hutchinson will surpass the 11.5 sacks he recorded in 2023-24 before very long.
Hutchinson is showing no signs of stopping, so he could be on a collision course with the NFL Defensive Player of the Year award! I suggested last month that it was likely going to be difficult to find +450 DPOY odds on Hutchinson in two or three weeks. Here we are and Hutchinson is +250, so you were warned! But, is the Lions’ star edge rusher the best pick to win Defensive Player of the Year?
T.J. Watt, Steelers (+300)
Watt nearly won his second DPOY award last season after leading the NFL in sacks with 19. It was the third time he’s led the league in sacks since 2020, and he is one of the top sack artists of this generation.
However, there’s been some pushback to his game, as he’s not nearly as effective as some of the other top pass rushers. In 2023-24, Watt’s overall win rate was significantly lower than Micah Parsons and Myles Garrett. That’s why he didn’t take home the award last season, despite the gaudy sack totals.
Watt has overshadowed Parsons and Garrett this season, though. He has recorded 20 combined tackles and 4.5 sacks. The Steelers’ defensive leader is on the heels of a standout performance against the Cowboys on Sunday Night Football.
He notched eight combined tackles and 1.5 sacks! Watt also forced a fumble to add to his big night. This performance puts Watt in the same conversation as Hutchinson, and perhaps a little ahead of him with the Lions on a bye week.
2nd fastest player to ever reach this milestone…
@_TJWatt on 💯 pic.twitter.com/0JVpwnHnhf
— NFL (@NFL) October 7, 2024
Despite approaching 30 years old, which is a key age for physical players like him, Watt is expected to be in great shape for his eighth year in the NFL. Watt was recently named the No. 8 ranked player in the NFL Top 100. He’s up 19 places from last year, and the third-highest ranked defensive player.
Watch out for Watt, as he should return with a vengeance in the AFC North after missing out on his second Defensive Player of the Year award.
He is off to a strong start, and certainly going to be in DPOY talks if he stays healthy this season. We backed Watt to win defensive honors at +400 earlier, so he is still worth considering for your NFL Defensive Player of the Year picks at +300!
Chris Jones, Chiefs (+1000)
Patrick Mahomes might be the favorite to win NFL MVP, but the Chiefs are 5-0 because of a dominant defense. Following a 26-13 win over the Saints, the Chiefs’ defense ranks ninth in the NFL with 305.4 yards allowed per game.
The Chiefs are especially stout against the run, which is largely credited to big man Chris Jones in the middle of the defensive line. Jones signed a five-year, $158.7 million contract to stay in Kansas City in the offseason. He is repaying the Chiefs with a productive campaign in 2024-25.
Jones heads into Week 6 with 11 combined tackles and three sacks. While his numbers aren’t as eye-opening as the other DPOY contenders, Jones’ impact isn’t always felt on the stat sheet. His presence alone is forcing offenses to adapt.
This really is such a cold photo. The story of Chris Jones’ night. Held all night. Face masks. No calls in his favor. And still managed 9 pressures. Beast. pic.twitter.com/3xEpiKlhZ3
— Lexi (@lexiosborne) October 8, 2024
Winning Defensive Player of the Year usually has to include superior statistics against the competition, but Jones has been that good regardless, he has to be in the mix. That said, it’s a tough ask to have voters bypass Watt and Hutchinson in favor of Jones.
Top Defensive Player of the Year Sleepers in 2024
It’s not too often that a player comes out of nowhere to win the Defensive Player of the Year award, but it does happen.
Even last season, Daron Bland of the Cowboys was one of the finalists for the award despite being a Day 3 pick in the 2022 NFL Draft. Bland will miss at least the first four games this season due to a stress fracture in his foot.
However, if you plan to bet on a sleeper, be sure to take someone who could be on a great defense and has a chance to play in a bunch of prime-time games in the national spotlight. Here are three sleepers for the Defensive Player of the Year award:
Myles Garett, Browns (+2000)
Browns’ edge rusher Myles Garrett as a longshot DPOY pick? At +2000, Garrett is a sleeper to win and not among the favorites. Last season, Garrett won the Defensive Player of the Year award after a fantastic season. There was some controversy, with many believing Watt should have won.
Nevertheless, Garrett had a DPOY season, so I was fine with the award. He’s going to have a tougher time winning it this year. However, at +2000, Garrett is worth a sprinkle considering the price. Although the Browns have been bad, Garrett’s numbers are solid.
He has nine tackles and four sacks through four games. Garrett is coming off a two-sack performance against the Raiders. All it can take is another couple of games like that to put Garrett back in the DPOY conversation. It’s possible he can do it, too!
Garrett has to get going, but it’s still early enough in the season that I recommend a look at +2000 odds.
Will Anderson Jr., Texans (+3000)
After an outstanding debut season that resulted in Will Anderson Jr. winning Defensive Rookie of the Year honors, the rising star is having a solid sophomore campaign.
Anderson Jr. finished last season with 45 tackles and 9.5 sacks. He was a constant disruptor and a critical key to the turnaround of the Texans’ defense. In 2024-25, Anderson Jr. is back to his typical self being a game wrecker.
He was instrumental in getting pressure and making life uncomfortable for Josh Allen in the Texans’ big 23-20 Week 5 win over the Bills. Anderson Jr. has recorded 11 tackles and 2.5 sacks. Like Jones, Anderson Jr.’s contributions go beyond numbers on a stat sheet.
If the numbers start to reflect Anderson Jr.’s effort, his NFL 2024-25 Defensive Player of the Year will soar! Consequently, he is a worthy addition to your card at +3000.
2024-25 NFL Defensive of the Year Prediction and Betting Pick
If you believe that the trend of pass rushers winning the Defensive Player of the Year award will continue, the best bet on the board is T.J. Watt. Because of that unit, the Steelers have the NFL’s most expensive defense, and they are expected to be competitive again this season.
Watt has proven that he can post big sack numbers year after year, and that matters a lot to voters. And if the Steelers can make the playoffs with their defense, voters might reward him with another DPOY award after missing out last season. At +300, he is the best value on the board at sports betting sites!
Where To Bet on the 2024–25 NFL Defensive Player of the Year Odds?
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