After six matchups were settled in the Wild Card, the 2025 NFL Divisional Round odds are on the board at online sportsbooks! The NFL playoffs continue with four matchups to decide who is going to the conference championship.
Below, you can find the latest prices, analysis, prop bets, and my NFL Divisional Round predictions and best bets for each matchup.
NFL Divisional Round 2025 Odds and Betting Lines Overview
The following NFL Divisional Playoff odds are courtesy of Bovada:
| MATCHUP | SPREAD | TOTAL |
|---|---|---|
| Houston Texans (+340) vs. KC Chiefs (-460) | Texans +8 (-110) Chiefs -8 (-110) | Over 41.5 (-110) Under 41.5 (-110) |
| Washington Commanders (+390) vs. Detroit Lions (-550) | Commanders +9.5 (-110) Lions -9.5 (-110) | Over 55 (-110) Under 55 (-110) |
| Los Angeles Rams (+225) vs. Philadelphia Eagles (-270) | Rams +6 (-110) Eagles -6 (-110) | Over 44.5 (-110) Under 44.5 (-110) |
| Baltimore Ravens (-115) vs. Buffalo Bills (-105) | Ravens -1 (-105) Bills +1 (-115) | Over 51 (-110) Under 51 (-110) |
Per the latest NFL Divisional odds, the Baltimore Ravens vs. Buffalo Bills matchup is expected to go down to the wire. Otherwise, NFL betting sites project the favorites to dominate this weekend.
The Lions are the largest favorites to advance to the conference championship round. Meanwhile, the Chiefs and Eagles’ odds don’t suggest they are ready to fall in their Divisional showdowns.
For up-to-date NFL Divisional Round odds at Bovada, navigate to All Sports > Football > NFL.
NFL Divisional Round AI Player Prop Picks and Projections
Our NFL algorithm is here with player prop projections for the divisional round. Here’s what we expect from the quarterbacks involved in the action and what the bookies have for them.
| Player | Projected Passing Yards | Bovada Line | Betting Pick | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CJ Stroud | 238.8 yards | 227.5 yards | Over | BET NOW |
| Patrick Mahomes | 272.8 yards | 247.5 yards | Over | BET NOW |
| Jayden Daniels | 214.5 yards | 235.5 yards | Under | BET NOW |
| Jared Goff | 248 yards | 269.6 yards | Under | BET NOW |
| Matthew Stafford | 255 yards | 227.5 yards | Over | BET NOW |
| Jalen Hurts | 178.5 yards | 204.5 yards | Under | BET NOW |
| Lamar Jackson | 225.6 yards | N/A | N/A | BET NOW |
| Josh Allen | 252.6 yards | 241.5 yards | Over | BET NOW |
We have similar projections for running backs, so let’s check them out, too.
| Player | Projected Rushing Yards | Bovada Line | Betting Pick | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Mixon | 87 yards | 57.5 yards | Over | BET NOW |
| Isiah Pacheco | 35 yards | N/A | N/A | BET NOW |
| Kareem Hunt | 49 yards | 33.5 yards | Over | BET NOW |
| Brian Robinson | 39 yards | 35.5 yards | Over | BET NOW |
| Austin Ekeler | 27 yards | 23.5 yards | Over | BET NOW |
| Kyren Williams | 77 yards | 75.5 yards | Pass (too close to bet) | BET NOW |
| Saquon Barkley | 121 yards | 111.5 yards | Over | BET NOW |
| Derrick Henry | 132 yards | 95.5 yards | Over | BET NOW |
| James Cook | 91 yards | 56.5 yards | Over | BET NOW |
Houston Texans vs. Kansas City Chiefs Odds and Predictions
| TEAM | SPREAD | MONEYLINE | TOTAL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Houston Texans | +8 (-110) | +340 | Over 41.5 (-110) |
| KC Chiefs | -8 (-110) | -460 | Under 41.5 (-110) |
The Kansas City Chiefs are heavy favorites to oust the Houston Texans at Arrowhead Stadium. As a heavy -460 favorite, the Chiefs have an 82.1% implied probability of defeating the Texans.
Kansas City is coming off a bye week after securing the No. 1 seed in the AFC. Despite the offense seemingly running on fumes at times, the Chiefs finished the regular season at 15-2. One of those losses was with the starters benched in the final game of the campaign!
The Chiefs overcame the offensive deficiencies and recorded the best record in the NFL. In large part, the offense was lethargic because of injuries. However, when the Chiefs started to get bodies back, things started to click for Andy Reid’s offense.
In the Chiefs’ 27-19 win over the Texans on Dec. 21, QB Patrick Mahomes passed for 260 yards and threw a touchdown. WR Hollywood Brown’s return opened up the field just enough for Mahomes to connect downfield. Kansas City followed up in a tune-up for the playoffs with a 29-10 win over the Steelers.
Mahomes and the offense are on the right page at the perfect time. He has thrown 11 touchdowns and no interceptions in six matchups. Also, the Chiefs’ quarterback has been in great form versus the Texans in his career. He is 3-1 in four matchups with 1,080 yards, nine touchdowns, and one interception.
With the offense heating up, the defense should manage to handle Texans’ QB C.J. Stroud and a shaky Houston offensive line. Kansas City finished fourth in the regular season, allowing an average of 19.2 points per game. The Chargers shot themselves in the foot time and time again in the Wild Card Round.
Houston can’t expect the same from a well-oiled and experienced Chiefs squad this week at home. The Chiefs have covered 72.22% of playoff games with Mahomes under center.
The QB is feeling his best right now, so I expect the trend to continue. For your 2025 NFL Divisional Round best bets, lay the points for a big win for the champions!
NFL Divisional Round Prop Bets: Texans vs. Chiefs
For Saturday’s matchup at Arrowhead Stadium, there are two prop bets to consider for your NFL Divisional Round betting picks:
Total Passing Touchdowns: Patrick Mahomes (KC) Over 1.5 (-145)
- Over 1.5 (-145)
- Under 1.5 (+110)
Mahomes is locked in, and I expect the three-time Super Bowl MVP to touch up the Texans’ secondary. The underdogs are 30th in the NFL, with 1.8 touchdown passes conceded per game. Overall, Houston have conceded 2.4 touchdowns per contest.
As I mentioned, Mahomes has been in strong form against the Texans in his career. The nine touchdowns he’s passed for in four games include two or more in three of four games. He failed to throw two touchdowns in the last meeting, but Mahomes should get going in the postseason off a bye week.
Consider siding with Mahomes over 1.5 touchdown passes for your 2025 NFL Divisional Round props!
Total Touchdowns: KC Chiefs Over 2.5 (-150)
- Over 2.5 (-150)
- Under 2.5 (+115)
Along with Mahomes’ two touchdown passes, the Chiefs should find another score for six points. It very well could be a third touchdown pass, but I expect this to be a well-balanced attack from the Chiefs.
Since the offense has gotten healthier and important players back, the Chiefs’ starters have recorded three or more touchdowns in three straight games. DeMeco Ryans’ defense has some talent but is allowing an average of over two touchdowns per game.
Quick out route for Xavier Worthy. Touchdown @Chiefs!
📺: #HOUvsKC on NBC/Peacock
📱: Stream on #NFLPlus pic.twitter.com/63NoVpM1Wg— NFL (@NFL) December 21, 2024
Overall, the Texans yielded a smudge over three touchdowns at 21.3 per game. In two matchups versus the Texans since 2022, Kansas City netted at least two touchdowns in a 27-19 and 30-24 win.
The best NFL Divisional Round prop here is on the Chiefs to go over 2.5 touchdowns!
Washington Commanders vs. Detroit Lions Odds and Predictions
| TEAM | SPREAD | MONEYLINE | TOTAL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Washington Commanders | +9.5 (-110) | +390 | Over 55 (-110) |
| Detroit Lions | -9.5 (-110) | -550 | Under 55 (-110) |
The Lions are overwhelming betting favorites to qualify for the NFC Championship Game. Currently, Dan Campbell’s resilient group has an implied probability of winning of 84.6%. They opened as an 8.5-point favorite, and the point spread has risen to 9.5 over the last two days.
The soon-to-be NFL Rookie of the Year, QB Jayden Daniels, will look to keep the magic alive for the Washington Commanders. The team had a phenomenal bounce-back story after drafting Daniels. Last season, they finished dead last in the NFC East.
In 2024-25, the Commanders won eight more games for a record of 12-5! The arrival of head coach Dan Quinn and Daniels has turned the franchise around.
Daniels is a dynamic quarterback who has put the team on his back this season. In his rookie campaign, Daniels passed for 3,568 yards, 25 touchdowns, and nine interceptions on 69% completions.
However, a well-disciplined Aaron Glenn defense is likely to give Daniels problems. Many pundits expected the Lions’ defense to crash and burn due to multiple injuries!
Glenn kept this unit firing on all cylinders and making their assignments, though. The Lions are seventh in the NFL, with 20.1 points allowed per contest. LB Alex Anzalone being cleared back is a huge plus for the Lions’ defense.
I expect the defense to throw off Daniels’ confidence just enough. Where the Lions can pull away is with their unstoppable offense led by QB Jared Goff and a multitude of other weapons. The Commanders do not have the personnel to stop this Lions’ offense.
Lions’ RB David Montgomery’s return to the starting lineup comes at the worst time for the Commanders. Detroit will have “Sonic and Knuckles” back together, and Montgomery and RB Jahmyr Gibbs should do plenty of damage! Washington is 27th with 135.4 yards rushing allowed per game this season.
This is an awful mismatch for Washington in the trenches. Look for the Lions’ offensive line to bully their way past the Commanders at Ford Field. They should dominate the time of possession and keep Daniels off the field.
I have the Lions down for a double-digit victory, so your Divisional Round NFL predictions and picks should include the favorite covering!
NFL Divisional Round Prop Bets: Commanders vs. Lions
For Saturday night’s showdown in downtown Detroit, the Commanders and Lions have a couple of appealing NFL Divisional Round prop bets on sports betting sites:
Total Rushing Attempts: Brian Robinson Jr. (WSH) Over 9.5 (-135)
- Over 9.5 (-135)
- Under 9.5 (+105)
Daniels is a special talent, but he’s going into the most hostile environment in his career. Ford Field is going to be unhinged on Saturday night. Although Daniels will make plays, the Commanders will lean heavily on RB Brian Robinson Jr.
Robinson Jr. will have to take some of the pressure off the rookie quarterback. He’s done a fine job alongside Daniels in the backfield. He has received at least 10 carries in five of the Commanders’ last six games.
Additionally, since Sept. 8, Robinson Jr. had a minimum of 10 rushing attempts in 12 of 14 matchups. With Daniels needing a bit of pressure taken off, the Commanders need to establish the run to set up the pass. That should lead to Robinson Jr. getting 12 or 13 carries on Saturday night!
Both Teams to Score 21 Points: Yes (-115)
- Yes (-115)
- No (-115)
There should be points on the board at Ford Field on Saturday night. I expect the Lions to get off to a fast start, and the Commanders will be forced to keep pace. In enemy territory, it might take the Commanders a couple of quarters to get the offense in order.
In any event, the Commanders should eventually find a few chunk plays to get the offense moving. The Lions have an opportunistic defense that will come up with a few clutch plays. However, Washington should score garbage points to make the score look better in the second half.
The Lions’ explosive offense leads the NFL, averaging 33.2 points per game in the regular season. Meanwhile, the Commanders are fifth with 28.2 points this season. Both teams should score 21 points or more, so consider this wager for your NFL Divisional Round prop bets!
Los Angeles Rams vs. Philadelphia Eagles Odds and Predictions
| TEAM | SPREAD | MONEYLINE | TOTAL |
|---|---|---|---|
| LA Rams | +6 (-110) | +225 | Over 43.5 (-110) |
| Philadelphia Eagles | -6 (-110) | -270 | Under 43.5 (-110) |
The Eagles and Rams took care of business on Wild Card Weekend, so it’s on to the NFL Divisional Round in Philadelphia. This has the potential to be a highly entertaining matchup between two teams in their best form. It has the makings of a closely played game that could go down to the wire.
Despite winning the NFC West in a season where they had to overcome serious injuries, the Rams entered the postseason as an underdog. Not many people gave them much of a chance, but as I’ve repeated in the past. The Rams team now is much different than we saw earlier in the year.
If you recall, the Rams were without their top two receiving weapons and the offensive line was putting players way down the depth chart on the field. Rams’ QB Matthew Stafford had to do his best to make it work, and they were able to hold their heads above water before reinforcements returned.
With the 27-9 win over the Vikings in the books, the Rams have won six of their previous seven games! This is a healthy Rams squad with WR Puka Nacua and WR Cooper Kupp active. They were trounced by the Eagles on Nov. 24, 37-20, but I think the experience for Stafford and head coach Sean McVay pays off here.
Look for the Rams to have a stronger game plan to counter for the Eagles this time around. while I expect Eagles’ RB Saquon Barkley and QB Jalen Hurts to be too much in clutch time, the Rams should be competitive. They are a better squad than their 10-7 record suggests.
As an underdog, the Rams went 6-4-0 against the spread (ATS) and 5-3-0 ATS on the road. The stage won’t be too large for this cast of veterans in Philadelphia, so back the Rams at +6 for your 2025 NFL Divisional Round picks!
NFL Divisional Round Prop Bets: Rams vs. Eagles
Now, let’s wrap up our thoughts on the Rams vs. Eagles with two strong NFL Divisional Round props. I have identified an anytime touchdown bet and team prop in this matchup:
Anytime Touchdown: (LAR) Puka Nacua (+160)
Given how much of a big target WR Puka Nacua has been for Stafford, he is getting solid betting value for your anytime touchdown prop. Nacua is coming off a solid performance against the Vikings. He was one of Stafford’s favorite targets, with five receptions and 44 receiving yards.
Nacua was held off the field earlier this season, and his absence was quite evident. The 23-year-old receiver left the field in the season opener and didn’t come back until Oct. 24. He immediately made an impact, and the offense started to find its bearings again.
Puka Nacua with the rushing TD!
📺: #BUFvsLAR on FOX
📱: https://t.co/waVpO909ge pic.twitter.com/Dd6lW9M8tk— NFL (@NFL) December 8, 2024
Nacua hasn’t scored a touchdown since Dec. 8, but he played a massive role against the Eagles earlier this year. The second-year receiver hauled in eight receptions for 117 yards.
In a game where the Rams need their playmakers to step up, I have confidence in Nacua showing up for your NFL Divisional Round props!
Total Touchdowns: Over 4.5 (-140)
- Over 4.5 (-140)
- Under (+110)
The offenses are likely to open up at Lincoln Financial Field. The play action should work to perfection for the Eagles, but the Rams are unlikely to go down quietly. As mentioned above, Stafford has been a technician for the Rams in the playoffs during his career.
He and the Rams aren’t flying to the East Coast and laying an egg against the Eagles. Despite the injuries this season, the Rams averaged 2.4 touchdowns per game. If they had a healthy team all year, that number would likely be closer to three a game.
The Eagles notched 3.1 touchdowns per game for seventh in the NFL. Barkley has put a lot of strain on defenses, so they have had success. I anticipate five or six touchdowns total. Consider backing the over 4.5 touchdowns for your NFL betting strategy in the Divisional Round!
Baltimore Ravens vs. Buffalo Bills Odds and Predictions
| TEAM | SPREAD | MONEYLINE | TOTAL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Baltimore Ravens | -1 (-105) | -115 | Over 51 (-110) |
| Buffalo Bills | +1 (-115) | -105 | Under 51 (-110) |
The Baltimore Ravens are slight favorites on the road in Orchard Park. They opened as a one-point underdog, but the NFL Divisional Round 2025 betting odds have flipped on offshore sportsbooks in the last 24 hours.
It’s expected to be the game of the weekend between the Ravens and Bills. You can make an argument for either side in this matchup. However, in my eyes, the difference is workhorse Ravens’ RB Derrick Henry.
Fans and bettors can go back and forth on who should win the NFL MVP award this season. Should Ravens’ QB Lamar Jackson win back-to-back MVP titles, or is Bills’ QB Josh Allen more deserving? These are both fantastic quarterbacks and lead terrific offenses.
That said, Jackson can hand the ball off to Henry and use him as a battering ram. Allen doesn’t have that luxury, and Henry has previously smashed the Bills. He led the Ravens to a 35-10 win in the regular season meeting in September. The RB ran for 199 yards and three scores on 8.3 yards per carry in the big victory!
The Bills’ secondary wasn’t special this season, either. The defense yielded 221.6 passing yards per game for 20th. If Jackson wants to hit the Bills deep, he should be able to have some success. Buffalo must sell out to stop Henry, so Jackson will have opportunities downfield.
Baltimore went 6-3-0 against the spread (ATS) on the road this season. Additionally, they are 5-0 ATS in their last five games, and 4-1-1 ATS in their previous six meetings versus the Bills. Give me the Ravens to go on the road and end the Bills’ Super Bowl 59 dreams!
NFL Divisional Round Prop Bets: Ravens vs. Bills
Before the weekend wraps up and the conference championship matchups are decided, don’t forget to lock in your 2025 NFL Divisional props for the Ravens vs. Bills:
Total Receiving Yards: Derrick Henry (BAL) Over 4.5 (-125)
- Over 4.5 (-125)
- Under 4.5 (-105)
The Ravens will get Henry involved in any way they can against the Bills in this one. He wasn’t used in the passing game last week, but the Ravens didn’t need to get too creative in the 28-14 win over the Steelers. Baltimore must open the offense up in Buffalo and I certainly see them doing so.
LAMAR FINDS DERRICK HENRY FOR HIS 5TH TD PASS OF THE GAME 🔥 pic.twitter.com/Bz2cOF7D76
— SportsCenter (@SportsCenter) October 22, 2024
Prior to the Wild Card Round, Henry caught two receptions for at least 18 yards in three consecutive weeks. He hauled in a minimum of 18 yards in four of five games before the playoffs. The one he didn’t was against the Giants — another matchup where the Ravens just had to keep things simple.
Overall, Henry recorded 193 yards receiving on 10.3 yards per catch in the regular season. If he just catches one ball, Henry should eclipse five yards. This is a bargain play for your NFL Divisional Round 2025 predictions!
Total Passing Yards: Josh Allen (BUF) Over 238.5 (-115)
- Over 238.5 (-115)
- Under 238.5 (-115)
If the Bills have success with anything, it’s going to be the passing game. I have no doubts that Allen will spin the ball well in this matchup, so your NFL betting card for the Divisional Round should include his passing prop.
JOSH ALLEN. TY JOHNSON. WOW
📺: #DENvsBUF on CBS/Paramount+
📱: Stream on @NFLPlus pic.twitter.com/mG8n29QALD— NFL (@NFL) January 12, 2025
Allen threw for 3,731 yards, 28 touchdowns, and six interceptions in the regular season. He came out firing in the Wild Card versus the Broncos, with 272 yards passing and two touchdowns. Earlier this year, Allen notched just 180 yards against the Ravens’ defense.
However, the Ravens finished the season 30th in the NFL in passing yards allowed per game. The secondary gave up 244.5 yards per game, so Allen will have a huge chance to redeem himself. Although I believe the Bills come up short, Allen’s passing prop makes for a great option on the over 238.5. It’ll be an option you’ll find at NFL Same-Game Parlay contests during the playoffs!
