The NFL MVP odds for 2024-25 move up and down, so our team makes sure to follow them and share fresh predictions regularly. Lamar Jackson of the Baltimore Ravens took home the trophy last season, but can he do it again?
With the NFL loaded with elite quarterbacks, the MVP race has never been hotter. That will be the case again heading into the 2024-2025 season with several top quarterbacks looking for their first-ever MVP trophy.
But who is the best value on the board? Which sleeper should everyone keep an eye on this season? Keep reading to find the answers!
NFL MVP 2024-25 Betting Odds
The following NFL MVP odds for 2024-25 are courtesy of Bovada:
| PLAYER | ODDS |
|---|---|
| Josh Allen (BUF) | +270 |
| Lamar Jackson (BAL) | +350 |
| Patrick Mahomes (KC) | +500 |
| Jared Goff (DET) | +600 |
| Jayden Daniels (WSH) | +900 |
| C.J. Stroud (HOU) | +2000 |
| Jalen Hurts (PHI) | +2000 |
| Brock Purdy (SF) | +2200 |
| Joe Burrow (CIN) | +2200 |
| Jordan Love (GB) | +3000 |
| Sam Darnold (MIN) | +3300 |
| Kyler Murray (ARI) | +3300 |
| Kirk Cousins (ATL) | +3300 |
The updated NFL MVP odds have experienced a shift in the online betting markets over the last two weeks. Patrick Mahomes (+500) was the favorite to win MVP, but he has regressed from +350 to +500 since Week 5. Currently, the Chiefs’ quarterback has an implied probability of 16.7 % to win MVP.
The new favorite is Buffalo’s Josh Allen (+270), who was at +600 following a 23-20 loss to the Texans at NRG Stadium in Week 5. Allen, who was favored after the Bills got out to a 3-0 start, is back on top at the best NFL betting sites. The Bills have won three straight since that loss in Houston, and sit at 6-2! Allen has an implied probability of 27% to win the MVP award.
Meanwhile, Baltimore’s Lamar Jackson (+350) is in second to win his third MVP award, and second in a row! But right behind him is Detroit’s Jared Goff (+600), who was at +2000, but has surged up the board thanks to a lights-out October.
Who is the best bet on the board for the upcoming season? And who is a sleeper worth watching? Let’s dive into the favorites next.
You can find up-to-date odds to win NFL MVP at Bovada by navigating to All Sports > Football > NFL Awards & League Leaders > Most Valuable Player.
NFL MVP Betting Favorites for 2024-25
We have a few obvious candidates for the award, according to both the bookmakers and common sense. You simply can’t ignore them when betting on the NFL MVP, so let’s see what they have to offer.
Josh Allen (+270)
Allen has been brilliant this season, passing for 1,766 yards, 14 touchdowns, and a single interception! He has also run for 204 yards and three touchdowns for the Bills.
Beauty of a day. @Ticketmaster | #BillsMafia
— Buffalo Bills (@BuffaloBills) October 31, 2024
He has done this without a true #1 receiver as well! Khalil Shakir has caught 36 passes for 421 yards and a pair of touchdowns for the Bills, but he’s not a #1 receiver. I am concerned that the Bills’ rivals, Kansas City and Baltimore, have gone out and traded for receivers to help their quarterbacks, whom you’ll find on this list.
But right now, Allen is holding down the fort, although his NFL MVP odds don’t have as much value as the others.
Lamar Jackson (+350)
Ravens’ QB Lamar Jackson is back in the MVP discussions after a fantastic performance in Week 4. Jackson’s NFL MVP odds have improved considerably this season. Previously a longshot at +2800, he is down to +450 to repeat as MVP, and now he’s back up to +350!
In 2023-24, he won MVP with 49 of 50 first-place votes. This made Jackson the NFL’s first two-time unanimous MVP! He is back in contention, and the way I see it, Jackson should be the betting favorite to win the top individual award in the NFL.
The quarterback’s performance against the Bengals was Week 5 is a game-changer for the NFL MVP betting markets at sports betting sites. He passed for 348 yards, four touchdowns, and no interceptions in a wild 41-38 win in overtime. Jackson also ran for 55 yards on the ground to send his 2024-25 NFL MVP odds riding high.
LAMAR JACKSON IS UNREAL 😂
Just a HILARIOUS hurdle pic.twitter.com/0N7xIVvsni
— Kyle (@ImKyleMangum) October 27, 2024
Jackson hasn’t slowed down since that win over the Bengals, although the Ravens did lose 29-24 in Cleveland in Week 8 to fall to 5-3. He passed for 289 yards, two touchdowns, and an interception in that game, and the defense couldn’t help him out.
No quarterback in the league has rushed for more yards than Jackson’s 501 yards, but he does need to close out games better, as do the Ravens as a team. The trade for WR Diontae Johnson gives Jackson another weapon, and the former Steeler/Panther can be really dynamic. Keep an eye on Jackson’s 2024-2025 NFL MVP odds!
Jared Goff (+600)
I’m going to skip over Patrick Mahomes’ NFL MVP odds for 2024-2025 right now because quite frankly, he has been playing bad by his standards. He’s still leading the Chiefs to wins, but the defense has been even better than he has, and Mahomes leads the league in interceptions.
Instead, can I interest you in Detroit’s Jared Goff? The Lions’ QB is coming off a monster October in which he threw eight touchdowns with no picks in three games!
“Jared Goff.”
You heard that right. @stephenasmith picks Jared Goff as his Mid-Season MVP 👀🥲 #OnePride pic.twitter.com/PPsQ8DonvP
— Natalie Sparbeck (@NatSparbeck) October 31, 2024
The Lions may be the best team in the entire league, and Goff has been at the center of it. WR Amon-Ra St. Brown is back and healthy, and TE Sam Laporta is getting back to his best. The RB duo of Jahmyr Gibbs and David Montgomery allows Goff to get the play-action going and find receivers downfield!
Most certainly, the Lions and Goff will be a popular selection in The Sports Geek’s free NFL pick’em contest this year. Goff has much better value than Mahomes, which is why he earns this spot in my list of 2024-2025 NFL MVP favorites!
Best NFL MVP Award Sleepers in 2024-25
The NFL MVP award usually goes to a big-name quarterback on a great team. However, there have been several longshots over the last few seasons to take home this award. Here are some of the best sleepers to win the MVP award and their respective odds.
Jalen Hurts (+2000)
Hurts got off to a slow start this season, but he has played better in recent weeks as the Eagles are on a three-game winning streak heading into Week 9! He hasn’t thrown an interception in four games, tossing five touchdown passes during that time.
Jalen Hurts over the past three weeks:
🦅 87.1 PFF grade (3rd among QBs)
🦅 10.4 yards per pass (2nd)
🦅 79.6% adjusted comp %
🦅 9 total TDs
🦅 0 INTs pic.twitter.com/up3pe5zOTY— PFF PHI Eagles (@PFF_Eagles) November 1, 2024
The Eagles would probably have to get the #1 seed for Hurts to be considered as a serious MVP candidate. However, it’s a talented team that seems to be figuring things out for the second half of the season, and Hurts is at the forefront of their team. He and RB Saquon Barkley are dangerous out of the backfield, and Hurts gets the goal-line touches, so he’ll rack up scores!
Jordan Love (+3000)
The Packers can’t really go without him. He has passed for 1,547 yards and 15 touchdowns, along with nine interceptions this season. Love has been hampered by injuries this season, and an groin ailment might keep him out of a massive Week 9 matchup with Detroit, although he thinks he’s playing.
Jordan Love said his groin is definitely feeling better.
How realistic is it to play Sunday against the Lions?
“I think it’s realistic.” pic.twitter.com/Ro2OQu9OpU
— Matt Schneidman (@mattschneidman) October 30, 2024
This game will have a lot of sway in Love’s NFL MVP odds. If he plays and has a fantastic game against the Lions, he’ll surge up the board at Bovada. Love has weapons on this team, although no one stands out, but Love likes to spread it around. There is a lot to like about his betting value right now!
2024-25 NFL MVP Prediction and Betting Pick
Although offshore sportsbooks have Allen as the favorite, there is little value in the Bills’ QB at +270 odds. Instead, I recommend looking at Goff, who is getting fantastic betting value to win MVP at +600!
Goff has been incredible and if he continues to play as he did in October, the Lions have a good shot to take the #1 seed in the NFL, and be favored in the 2024-2025 Super Bowl odds! He and head coach Dan Campbell have a great rapport, and Goff will have all the chances to play well. At +600, he’s a much better wager than the rest of the favorites, so I’m taking Detroit’s Jared Goff heading into Week 9!
Who Are You Backing in the NFL MVP Race?
I expect a tight race between the league’s best quarterbacks for the most prestigious individual award in football, and the NFL MVP odds for 2024-25 reflect that. Still, you should keep an eye on Jayden Daniels, C.J. Stroud, and some of the young guns.
Who are you backing this year? Even if you don’t see your favorite in the odds above, that’s because I only cut the list to the top 10 players. Bovada, one of the best sites for NFL betting online, features many more, so visit the sportsbook to place your wager and get a welcome bonus of up to $1,000 in the process!
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