2023-24 NFL Wild Card Weekend Odds and Predictions

Super Wild Card Weekend has arrived and we are breaking down every Wild Card matchup for the 2023-24 NFL Playoffs. Join us as we examine the latest NFL odds, courtesy of the best football betting sites, and make our NFL Wild Card predictions.

In addition to picking the winners, we’ve also identified some NFL prop bets for each game and crafted a juicy Wild Card parlay that should be added to any betting ticket.

NFL Wild Card Odds

The following NFL Wild Card Odds are courtesy of Bovada:

According to NFL betting sites, the Buffalo Bills (-9.5 pts) enter the Wild Card Weekend as the biggest betting favorites. The Cleveland Browns vs. Houston Texans and Philadelphia Eagles vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers are the closest games, according to oddsmakers. Both are listed with a spread of under a field goal.

Where To Bet On The NFL Wild Card Round?

NFL fans, look no further than Bovada for the best Wild Card Weekend betting experience. In addition to some exciting sports betting bonuses of up to $750, this online sportsbook has a wealth of betting options for the start of the 2023-24 NFL Playoffs.

Additionally, Bovada features competitive lines for every Wild Card matchup. But, if you really want to make your Wild Card Weekend a memorable one, check out the Bovada Prop Builder Tool. With this feature, you can create your own prop bets for every NFL Wild Card Round matchup.

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Cleveland Browns vs. Houston Texans Odds

With the Texans’ win and a Jacksonville Jaguars’ loss in Week 18, the Texans won the AFC South and earned a home Wild Card Weekend game. C.J. Stroud scripted another standout performance against the Indianapolis Colts.

Stroud is a lock to win the 2023-24 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year award following an incredible rookie campaign. He and Nico Collins are not only the future, but also the present in Houston.

However, the Texans face an incredibly tough matchup against the Browns’ defense. Led by Myles Garrett, the Browns’ defense is the top-rated unit in the NFL.

On Christmas Eve, the Browns ousted a Davis Mills-led Texans’ squad by a score of 36-22. Stroud gives the Texans a better chance, but look for the Browns’ fresh pass rush to be too much.

The improbable comeback of Joe Flacco should continue into the NFL Divisional Round. This weekend, we like the Browns’ Wild Card odds.

Browns vs. Texans Predictions:

• Point Spread Bet: Cleveland Browns -2.5 (-115)
• Moneyline Bet: Cleveland Browns (-150)
• Over-Under Bet: Under 44 (-110)

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Browns vs. Texans Prop Bets

On Saturday, we have two NFL Wild Card prop bets for the Browns vs. Texans at NRG Stadium:

Cleveland Browns Total Field Goals

The Browns are well above the NFL average for field goals per game. They are fifth with an average of two field goals converted per game¹.

We expect this to be more of a defensive showdown than all offense. The Texans’ defense should get two or three stops.

With that in mind, the Browns should convert at least two field goals. Consider backing the Over in this spot.

Team To Score Longest Touchdown

Stroud is going to take shots downfield. However, the Browns’ pass rush likely won’t allow him to get too comfortable in the pocket.

This defense doesn’t give up many big plays, and should be able to limit Stroud’s deep threat in the passing game. Meanwhile, we like Flacco to connect with Amari Cooper deep.

Cooper torched the Texans’ secondary for 11 receptions, 265 yards, and two touchdowns in their regular season meeting. Expect another quality performance from Cooper against the Texans.

Miami Dolphins vs. Kansas City Chiefs Odds

The Dolphins and Chiefs meet under much different circumstances than in the regular season. In early November, the Chiefs edged out the Dolphins by a score of 21-14 in Germany.

On NFL Wild Card Weekend, the Dolphins and Chiefs clash in freezing temperatures at Arrowhead Stadium. The Dolphins are far away from the perfect weather in Miami.

This should favor the better defense at home. The Chiefs aren’t what they used to be offensively, but the defense should give an explosive Dolphins’ offense that is predicated on timing some issues.

After the starters sat down last week, the Chiefs will be well-rested for the Dolphins. The Dolphins suffered a 21-14 loss to the Buffalo Bills on Sunday Night Football, and in the process, lost a home playoff game. We like the Chiefs by a touchdown at home.

Dolphins vs. Chiefs Predictions:

• Point Spread Bet: Kansas City Chiefs -3.5 (-105)
• Moneyline Bet: Kansas City Chiefs (-185)
• Over-Under Bet: Under 42.5 (-110)

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Dolphins vs. Chiefs Prop Bets

For the Dolphins vs. Chiefs, we’ve selected two best NFL Wild Card prop bets to add to our card:

Total Touchdowns

The Chiefs are not going to beat the Dolphins in an offensive shootout. Patrick Mahomes and company will slow the game down to play keep-away with the Dolphins.

We anticipate that this strategy will be a success for the Chiefs. It likely won’t be the prettiest win, but it should work in the cold weather at Arrowhead Stadium.

The Under 4.5 total touchdowns is a prop bet to consider.

First Score Method

There is solid betting value on the first score to be a field goal in this matchup. As we’ve noted, this should be more of a defensive game.

The Chiefs aren’t what they used to be offensively, but the defense should rise to the occasion in freezing temps in front of the home crowd. The field goal kickers should come into play at Arrowhead Stadium.

At +125, we like the first score of the game to be a field goal.

Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Buffalo Bills Odds

The Steelers vs. Bills is a matchup where the public will likely be on the road underdog. It isn’t often that the betting public prefers the road underdog, but it’s probably the case here.

However, we are fading the public and the Steelers in Orchard Park, New York. The key here is the absence of pass rusher T.J. Watt. Pittsburgh has been playing solid football with Mason Rudolph at the helm recently, but it’ll be difficult without Watt.

Since 2017, the Steelers are 1-10 outright without Watt on the field. Opponents have averaged 381.3 yards per game in his absence. Despite multiple miscues for the Bills’ offense against the Dolphins, they still moved the ball effectively and won by seven points².

If Josh Allen can clean the mistakes up, the Bills should pull away for a comfortable double-digit victory.

Steelers vs. Bills Predictions:

• Point Spread Bet: Buffalo Bills -9.5 (-115)
• Moneyline Bet: Buffalo Bills (-480)
• Over-Under Bet: Over 35.5 (-110)

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Steelers vs. Bills Prop Bets

Let’s dissect two of our best Steelers vs. Bills prop bets for NFL Wild Card Weekend:

Race To 25

This matchup could snowball out of control for the Steelers. One or two early mistakes by Rudolph could signal a quick end to this contest.

Expect Allen and the Bills to take full advantage of a Steelers’ defense without Watt. They are beatable when Watt isn’t coming off the edge.

Snow is in the forecast for Saturday, but expected to clear up before Sunday afternoon. At even money, the Bills are catching great value to beat the Steelers to 25 points on the scoreboard.

Mason Rudolph Total Interceptions

Rudolph has looked sharp off the bench after replacing the inept Mitch Trubisky. He has done a nice job protecting the ball, as well.

However, this is a much tougher environment to go and win in the postseason. Highmark Stadium is going to be buzzing. We foresee Rudolph getting into trouble at least once against the Bills’ secondary.

The Bills are tied for third with the most interceptions per game. They grabbed 1.1 interceptions per contest, with the 49ers and Bears the only teams to notch more picks³. Look for Rudolph to toss one or two on Sunday afternoon.

Green Bay Packers vs. Dallas Cowboys Odds

After a 17-9 win over the Bears in Week 18, the Packers punched their ticket to Arlington for a date with the Cowboys. The Cowboys are a tough draw for the Packers, but Jordan Love and company are playing confident football right now.

When the Packers are confident, they can play with any team in the NFL. With three straight Packers’ wins, both sides of the ball are humming at the moment. As a -340 favorite on the moneyline, the NFC East champions are expected to win this matchup.

We see the Cowboys winning and advancing to the Divisional Round, but Love and the Packers should be competitive. Side with the Packers to cover the point spread at +7.5.

Packers vs. Cowboys Predictions:

• Point Spread Bet: Green Bay Packers +7.5 (-115)
• Moneyline Bet: Dallas Cowboys (-340)
• Over-Under Bet: Over 50 (-105)

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Packers vs. Cowboys Prop Bets

There is one Packers vs. Cowboys prop bet that stands above the rest at AT&T Stadium on NFL Wild Card Weekend:

Jordan Love Total Passing Touchdowns

Love has asserted himself as the Packers’ next franchise quarterback. In his first season as the starter, Love passed for 4,159 yards, 32 touchdowns, and 11 interceptions on 64.2 percent completions.

The 25-year-old has thrown for at least two touchdowns in four straight outings. Additionally, Love has achieved this mark in eight of the Packers last nine games⁴.

With Dak Prescott and a high-powered Cowboys’ offense on the other side, Love has to put the ball in the air. This looks like a 2-or-3 touchdown performance for Love in Arlington.

Los Angeles Rams vs. Detroit Lions Odds

In the Sunday Night Football matchup of NFL Wild Card Weekend, the Rams and Lions meet for an intriguing storyline in Detroit, Michigan, at Ford Field. Expect an explosive game from both offenses in the dome.

Matthew Stafford isn’t returning to Detroit and leaving without big stats in his portfolio. The Rams’ strength with Stafford passing to Cooper Kupp and Puka Nacua should exploit the Lions’ weakness in the secondary.

Losing tight end Sam LaPorta is a significant deal for the Lions. In only his first season, LaPorta has developed into one of the best tight ends in the league. His absence will especially be felt on third downs.

The Lions should score, but there will be two or three critical plays where Dan Campbell will miss his presence. This has the makings of a high-scoring shootout settled by a field goal in favor of Detroit.

Rams vs. Lions Predictions:

• Point Spread Bet: Los Angeles Rams +3.5 (-115)
• Moneyline Bet: Detroit Lions (-180)
• Over-Under Bet: Over 51.5 (-110)

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Rams vs. Lions Prop Bets

Let’s wrap up our Rams vs. Lions betting preview with two NFL Wild Card prop bets:

Cooper Kupp Anytime Touchdown (+110)

Stafford will look for his primary target in a big playoff game. As much as rookie Puka Nacua has come on, Kupp is still Stafford’s guy. That is especially going to be true in the NFL Playoffs.

Despite starting missing the first month of the season, Kupp recorded 59 receptions and 737 yards in 12 games. Additionally, Kupp has scored a touchdown in four out of his previous five starts.

Kupp is a solid anytime touchdown bet on Sunday night at Ford Field.

Los Angeles Rams Total Touchdowns

Like we’ve mentioned, this is projected to be a high-scoring affair. It should be the most entertaining matchup of NFL Wild Card Weekend.

Are the Rams going to be held to one or two touchdowns? We don’t see that happening. At 2.5 touchdowns, this is a low number that you should take advantage of at Bovada.

In a 34-31 game, we’re backing the Rams to score a minimum of three touchdowns.

Philadelphia Eagles vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers Odds

Every team starts fresh and at 0-0 in the NFL Playoffs. Despite limping into the NFL Playoffs, the Eagles have an opportunity to forget about their recent struggles.

Following a 37-34 OT win over the Bills on November 26, the Eagles have lost five of their previous six games. Nevertheless, this looks like a good spot for the Eagles in Tampa.

In Week 18, the Buccaneers clinched the NFC South with a 9-0 win over the Panthers. However, over the last two weeks, the offense has scored just 22 points, and Bucs’ QB Baker Mayfield was limping after taking a hit.

Mayfield will be going into Wild Card Weekend with a rib and ankle injury. Eagles’ QB Jalen Hurts popped his finger out of its socket, but he is expected to be fine. Expect the Eagles to establish the run and time of possession.

Mayfield’s production noticeably took a hit due to his injuries against the Panthers. The Buccaneers need him at full health, but that appears unlikely. Philadelphia should extend their season by at least one more week.

Eagles vs. Buccaneers Predictions:

• Point Spread Bet: Philadelphia Eagles -2.5 (-120)
• Moneyline Bet: Philadelphia Eagles (-150)
• Over-Under Bet: Under 44 (-110)

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Eagles vs. Buccaneers Prop Bets

We’ve identified one Eagles vs. Buccaneers game prop that we like in the NFL Wild Card odds at Bovada:

Mayfield is a tough player. While we don’t foresee him being healthy enough to get the Buccaneers a win, he will come up with some plays.

We have this handicapped as a 4-to-6-point win in favor of the Eagles. That’s enough to cover the -2.5 points. Additionally, you can consider betting on the Eagles’ winning margin prop bet.

If the Eagles win by a field goal to six points, you’ll win your bet at +280 odds. Even if they don’t cover and win by a point or two, you’ll still win this winning margin prop bet.

Best NFL Bets This Week

Two NFL Wild Card bets are on our shortlist of best NFL bets this week. We have a selection against the spread and Over-Under to consider playing at sports betting sites:

Dolphins at Chiefs (-3.5)

The Dolphins do not have it easy in the NFL Wild Card Round. Failing to beat the Bills and get a home playoff game might have been the beginning of the end for the Dolphins.

On Saturday, the high temperature in Kansas City is only supposed to be 14 degrees. With the wind chill, it will feel even colder. The Chiefs are a cold-weather team, and have been accustomed to this atmosphere in January before.

This should benefit the defensive team, and limit the team with a high-octane offense. Also, in their last seven trips to Arrowhead, the Dolphins are just 2-5 against the spread (ATS).

As an underdog, the Dolphins have been a horrible bet this season. They’ve typically shown up against inferior opponents, but buckle against top-tier squads. The Dolphins are 1-5 ATS in an underdog role.

Lastly, the Dolphins are dealing with a rash of injuries on both sides of the ball at the worst time possible. We like the Chiefs to win and cover at home.

Los Angeles Rams at Detroit Lions (O51.5)

The Rams and Lions is a must-watch matchup on Sunday night. We anticipate a back-and-forth contest between Stafford and Jared Goff.

Playing against their former teams, both QBs are expected to have strong showings. Even without that angle, Stafford and Goff are likely to have success.

When Goff has time to throw, he is a dangerous QB in the pocket. The Rams ranked 23rd in sacks, with 2.4 per game. We are not particularly scared of the Rams’ pass rush playing a huge impact.

Conversely, can the Lions’ secondary slow down Stafford? At times, perhaps, but Stafford is expected to dice up the Lions. He’ll put the ball in the end zone in his first game back to Ford Field since the trade.

The Rams vs. Lions Over is one of our top bets for NFL Wild Card Weekend.

Best NFL Wild Card Round Parlay

Before calling it a weekend, let’s play our best NFL Wild Card parlay at Bovada. With the best NFL parlay odds, and a generous 50% match bonus, Bovada is your place for parlay betting. We are playing a five-team NFL Wild Card Weekend parlay, with a chance for a huge payout on a small bet.

The following NFL Wild Card Round parlay pays $1,835.66 for a winning bet on a $100 wager at Bovada:

• Cleveland Browns (-150)
• Kansas City Chiefs -3.5 (-105)
• Rams vs. Lions Over 51.5 (-110)
• Buffalo Bills -9.5 (-115)
• Philadelphia Eagles (-150)

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