2025 PGA Players Championship  Odds and Predictions: Will Scheffler Three-Peat?

Scottie Scheffler (+350)

After a monumental season and back-to-back Players Championship titles, it’s a no-brainer to insert Scheffler as the betting favorite.

He had an unforgettable season on the PGA Tour 2024. Scheffler won seven tournaments, including the Masters, Players Championship, and Tour Championship.

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Scheffler’s form was unmatched by competitors in 2024. The PLAYERS Stadium Course is one of Scheffler’s favorite courses. He won by five strokes (-17) over Tyrrell Hatton in 2023 and then edged out Schauffele by one (-20) last year.

With +350 odds to win The Players, public sentiment is up on Scheffler as he enters the start of the marquee events this season. Currently, the star ranks first by a considerable margin in the Official World Golf Ranking.

The 28-year-old native of Dallas, TX, enters TPC Sawgrass with 574.8 points compared to McIlroy’s 386 points.

Tournament Form

Scheffler will play in his fifth tournament of the year in The Players Championship. Despite not winning a tournament, Scheffler was in the hunt for the majority of events. His best finish is T3 in the Genesis Open at Torrey Pines on Feb. 16.

Recent 2025 Results:

• • T11 – Arnold Palmer Invitational (March 9)
  • T3 – The Genesis Open (Feb. 16)
  • T25 – WM Phoenix Open (Feb. 9)
  • T9 – AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am (Feb. 2)

Scheffler 2025 Stats:

Despite not winning any tournaments in 2025, Scheffler remains near the top of many crucial statistical metrics.

• • Scoring Average: 15th (28.92)
  • SG Total: 3rd (1.829)
  • SG Off the Tee: 50th (0.289)
  • SG Approach the Green: 7th (0.960)
  • SG Around the Green: 74th (0.092)
  • SG Putting: 30th (0.488)

Rory McIlroy (+800)

McIlroy hasn’t won a major championship since the PGA Championship in 2014! At the time, it appeared that he was well on his way to stacking major trophies for the next decade. Over 10 years later, McIlroy is still searching for a major.

Nevertheless, McIlroy has still enjoyed success. He’s won eight tournaments since the 2022 season. Additionally, McIlroy captured the FedExCup title in 2016, 2019, and 2022. The majors haven’t been there for the native of Northern Ireland, but success has still followed him.

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In 2019, McIlroy won his first Players Championship. Is he on course to win his second title this year?

Tournament Form

McIlroy has already grabbed a win on the PGA Tour this year. He cleared the field in the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am to win with a final score of -21 over Shane Lowry’s -19. He’s coming off a respectable showing in the Arnold Palmer Invitational at Bay Hill.

Recent 2025 Results:

• • T15 – Arnold Palmer Invitational (March 9)
  • T17 – The Genesis Open (Feb. 16)
  • 1st – AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am (Feb. 2)
  • T4 – Dubai Desert Classic (Jan. 19)

McIlroy 2025 Stats:

Thanks to his big driver, McIlroy is off to a promising start this season. He’s consistently been the best player on the PGA leading up to The Players Championship.

However, does he have the best value for your 2025 Players Championship picks? We’ll get into that later, but for now, check out these impressive numbers from McIlroy.

• • Scoring Average: 1st (69.00)
  • SG Total: 1st (2.162)
  • SG Off the Tee: 1st (1.323)
  • SG Approach the Green: 28th (0.521)
  • SG Around the Green: 34th (0.269)
  • SG Putting: 93rd (0.050)

Xander Schauffele (+1200)

Schauffele remains one of the most reliable golfers on the PGA Tour. Although he couldn’t keep up with Scheffler’s unbelievable effort in 2024, Schauffele is typically always competing for a title on Sunday afternoons.

He won two tournaments a season ago and came close in several more. In the three FedExCup events, Schauffele finished in the top 5. Appearing in just two tournaments this year, we’ll see if he can snap into form after struggling in the Arnold Palmer Invitational.

Tournament Form

If anything, Schauffele should be fresh for The Players Championship. He is coming off only his second outing since early January due to an injury. It’s difficult to evaluate his current form, but the 31-year-old San Diego native typically brings his “A” game in marquee events.

Last year, Schauffele had a terrific performance in The Players. He shot a -19 to put him just one stroke behind Scheffler.

It’s the second consecutive year that Schauffele finished in the top 20 at TPC Sawgrass on the PLAYERS Stadium Course. Nevertheless, he missed time with an injury recently, so he’s a wildcard entering TPW Sawgrass.

Recent 2025 Results:

• • T40 – Arnold Palmer Invitational (March 9)
  • T30 – The Sentry (Jan. 5)

Schauffele 2024 Stats:

Since Schauffele has only played in two tournaments this year, I will rewind to his production from last year. This provides us with a much better snapshot of his ability.

If you want to include only those two starts in 2025, then Schauffele is well behind the field. He was well off the mark in both tournaments this year! However, a larger sample size from 2024 paints a much stronger picture.

• • Scoring Average: 2nd (68.52)
  • SG Total: 2nd (1.941)
  • SG Off the Tee: 10th (0.557)
  • SG Approach the Green: 6th (0.678)
  • SG Around the Green: 42nd (0.195)
  • SG Putting: 12th (0.510)

Collin Morikawa (+1600)

Could Morikawa be the breakout star of the 2025 season? It’s entirely possible that Morikawa will finally reach his full potential this year. He has been very consistent but is yet to enter superstar territory.

Nevertheless, Morikawa has won two major championships, with the PGA Championship in 2020 and The Open just months later in 2021. He also came close at the Masters this past year in T3.

I’m confident that Morikawa will bring a full effort in 2025 and score some big wins. With nine top 5 finishes over the last two seasons, Morikawa is ready for huge things this year.

Tournament Form

Morikawa heads into The Players after a strong performance in the Arnold Palmer Invitational. He went right down to the wire with Russell Henley but ultimately lost by a stroke.

No putter needed!@Collin_Morikawa leads by two after a birdie at the first @APInv.

📺 Golf Channel pic.twitter.com/C2FFRtdm4G

— PGA TOUR (@PGATOUR) March 9, 2025

The 28-year-old from Los Angeles, CA, is heading in the right direction with The Players Championship right around the corner.

Recent 2025 Results:

• • T2 – Arnold Palmer Invitational (March 9)
  • T17 – The Genesis Open (Feb. 16)
  • T17 – AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am (Feb. 2)
  • 2nd – The Sentry (Jan. 5)

Morikawa 2025 Stats:

Morikawa is off to a quick start and is among the best performers through four tournaments on the PGA Tour. That being said, Morikawa’s Players Championship 2025 betting odds don’t reflect this sentiment.

You wouldn’t know Morikawa is playing this well given his +1600 price to win at TPC Sawgrass! If Morikawa can maintain his current numbers and form, he is one of the best Players Championship picks.

• • Scoring Average: 4th (68.50)
  • SG Total: 2nd (1.856)
  • SG Off the Tee: 37th (0.341)
  • SG Approach the Green: 10th (0.908)
  • SG Around the Green: 74th (0.092)
  • SG Putting: 27th (0.515)